Association of neighbourhood-level poverty with outcomes and clinical care following atrial fibrillation diagnosis in a universal healthcare system

Abstract Background There are limited data on the association of poverty with outcomes and care patterns after an atrial fibrillation (AF) diagnosis in jurisdictions with universal healthcare. The Canadian province of Ontario provides publicly funded healthcare and prohibits private payment for medically necessary physician and in-hospital care. It also covers prescription medications for residents aged >65 years. Purpose Determine the association of neighbourhood-level poverty with outcomes and processes of care after AF diagnosis in older people within a universal healthcare system. Methods Using linked administrative databases, we conducted a population-based cohort study of community-dwelling adults aged ≥66 years who were newly diagnosed with AF in Ontario between April 1, 2007 and March 31, 2019. The primary exposure was material deprivation of patients' neighborhood of residence. This metric is derived using Canadian census data to estimate inability to access and attain basic material needs. Neighborhoods were categorized by quintile of material deprivation from Q1 (wealthiest) to Q5 (poorest). We used cause-specific hazards regression models to study the association of deprivation quintile with time to the following outcomes over one year from AF diagnosis: death, ischemic stroke, bleeding, heart failure (HF) hospitalization, cardiology services, and AF-specific treatments. Models accounted for clustering by region of residence and adjusted for age, sex, diabetes, HF, stroke/transient ischemic attack, vascular disease, hypertension, bleeding history, rural residence, renal function, and setting of AF diagnosis (hospital, emergency department [ED] or outpatient). Results We studied 350,353 patients with AF (median age 78 years, 48.9% female). People from neighborhoods in higher deprivation quintiles (poorer) were more likely to be diagnosed in hospital/ED than outpatient settings. Relative to people from the wealthiest neighbourhoods (Q1), patients in the poorest neighbourhoods (Q5) had higher prevalence of baseline hypertension, diabetes, HF, vascular disease and other comorbidities. In adjusted analyses (Figure), higher quintiles of neighborhood poverty were associated with greater rates of death, ischemic stroke, bleeding, and HF hospitalization, but lower rates of cardiology visits, cardiac testing, anticoagulation, anti-arrhythmic medications, cardioversion, or AF ablation. Conclusions In a setting of universal healthcare and prescription medi