The impact of the revised ESC Dyslipidaemia Guidelines on lipid-lowering therapy: simulating the need for PCSK9 inhibition in a contemporary ASCVD cohort

Abstract Introduction The recently updated ESC guidelines on the management of dyslipidaemias recommend a more intense LDL-cholesterol (LDL-C) reduction. For patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) the LDL-C goal has been revised to ≤55 mg/dl with a concomitant class IA upgrade for cost intensive PCSK9 inhibitors. Purpose We aim to quantify the need for PCSK9 inhibitors to achieve the revised LDL-C target compared to former ESC recommendations in ASCVD patients Methods We included all patients with ASCVD (angiographically documented coronary artery disease, history of peripheral artery disease or stroke) from an observational cohort study ongoing since 2015. A simulation treatment algorithm adding sequentially a high intensity statin, ezetimibe and a PCSK9 inhibitor in case of a missed treatment target was applied with consideration of both partial and total statin intolerance. The need for PCSK9 inhibitors was calculated for 3 recommendations: 1. LDL-C treatment target ≤55 mg/dl (ESC 2019 Guidelines), 2. LDL-C treatment target ≤70 mg/dl (ESC 2016 Guidelines) and 3. risk-based use of PCSK9 inhibitors restricted to patients with a residual LDL-C >140 mg/dl or >100 mg/dl with clinical/angiographic risk factors (ESC consensus update 2017). Results We included 1936 patients (mean age 69 years, 74% male). Median LDL-C at inclusion was 86 mg/dl, with 60% of patients taking lipid lowering medication (55% statin only, 4% statin + ezetimibe, 1% ezetimibe only). Table 1 shows the distribution of medications required to meet recommendations 1–3. After simulated stepwise intensification of lipid lowering therapy 99% of patients achieved the revised LDL-C target of ≤55 mg/dl, with a need of 23.5% for a PCSK9 inhibitor. For the former LDL-C target of ≤70 mg/dl the need for PCSK9 inhibitors was 10.5%. Restricting the use of PCSK9 inhibitors to the highest risk patients according to the ESC 2017 consensus statement reduced the need for PCSK9 inhibition to only 1.4% with slightly fewer patients achieving their LDL-C target (78% for ≤55 mg/dl and 91% for ≤70 mg/dl respectively). Conclusion The revised LDL-C treatment goals substantially increase the projected need for PCSK9 inhibitors with an unclear health economic impact. Identification of ASCVD patients with a reasonable benefit/cost-ratio of PCSK9 inhibition remains to be investigated urgently. Table 1. Distribution of medications required to meet different ESC recommendations Statin monotherapy Sta