CHA2DS2-VASc and CHADS2 scores for risk stratification of major adverse cardiovascular events in the COMPASS trial

Abstract Background The COMPASS (Cardiovascular Outcomes for People Using Anticoagulation Strategies) trial demonstrated that the combination therapy of rivaroxaban and aspirin reduced major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) compared to aspirin alone in patients with chronic coronary artery disease (CAD) and/or peripheral artery disease (PAD). Purpose We assessed whether the CHA2DS2-VASc (congestive heart failure (CHF), hypertension, age ≥75 years, diabetes, stroke/transient ischemic attack (TIA)/thromboembolism, vascular disease, age 65–75 years, and sex category) and CHADS2 (CHF, hypertension, age ≥75 years, diabetes, stroke/TIA) scores used to predict the risk of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation, can be used identify vascular patients at highest risk of recurrent events who may derive greatest benefits of treatment. Methods In COMPASS patients, the predictive accuracy of CHA2DS2-VASc and CHADS2 scores were assessed for MACE, bleeding and net clinical benefit using Cox proportional hazards model. Kaplan-Meier estimates of cumulative risk and absolute risk differences were used to examine the effects of rivaroxaban plus aspirin compared with aspirin alone over 30 months according to risk score categories. Results In 27,395 participants with CAD and/or PAD, a high CHA2DS2-VASc score (6–9) was associated with 3 times greater absolute risk of MACE compared to a low score (1–2) (hazard ratio=3.39, 95% CI: 2.54–4.51, p