A Study of the Cyclicity Indicators of the Country's Economic Development

A Study of the Cyclicity Indicators of the Country's Economic Development

This article analyzes the main indicators of Russia's economic development (gross domestic product, unemployment rate, consumer price index, fixed investment, and the growth rate of industrial production) in 2000-2013. Such indicators make it possible to construct economic cycles. In addition,...

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Veröffentlicht in:Problems of economic transition 2017-05, Vol.59 (5), p.398-409
Hauptverfasser: Tiapkina, M.F., Mongush, I.D., Akimova, I.O.
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
Schlagworte:
crisis
cyclical behavior
economic cycles
economic growth
gross domestic product
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Zusammenfassung:This article analyzes the main indicators of Russia's economic development (gross domestic product, unemployment rate, consumer price index, fixed investment, and the growth rate of industrial production) in 2000-2013. Such indicators make it possible to construct economic cycles. In addition, this article provides a polynomial forecast for 2014-2015 with respect to the medium-term cycles in the country's economic development. This forecast does not take into account the government's anticyclical policy.
ISSN:1061-1991
1557-931X
DOI:10.1080/10611991.2017.1352342