Analyzing the effects of extreme cold waves on urban water supply network safety: A case study from 2020 to 2021

Urban water supply networks are crucial for the transportation of water resources. However, with the increasing frequency and severity of cold wave disasters linked to climate change, the impact on water supply systems has become a critical concern. These impacts include pipe failures, customer water outages, and challenges in meeting peak winter water demand. To address this, our study analyzes data from cold waves in Shanghai from late 2020 to early 2021. We statistically examined daily water supply volume, pressure, and pipe failures to detect abnormal changes. We also analyzed pipe failure rates based on different characteristics to identify which pipes are most vulnerable to cold wave damage. Understanding the winter cold wave's effects can help water companies prioritize maintenance on aging pipes before such events, reducing damage and improving service. This research adds to the understanding of climate change's impact on urban infrastructure and provides valuable insights for global water companies to optimize their maintenance strategies. •Cold waves increase pipe failures and water supply demand.•Soil temperature lag raises risk of pipeline failure during post-cold wave warming.•Longer, colder cold waves cause more severe disruption to the water supply system.•Cast iron pipes are prone to failure due to low strength and poor ductility.