Hydrogeological processes and hydrochemical effects in the Manas river catchment, Northwest China, over the past 60 years

•We investigate the variability of hydrogeological processes and hydrochemical effects over the past 60 years using multiple methods.•Human activities explain the decrease in groundwater levels and flow rates under the warming trend, resulting in the enrichment of chemical solutes in the shallow groundwater.•The risk management and control measures for groundwater development and utilization in the arid regions under human control are proposed. The arid inland regions around the world are suffering from extreme water shortages and ecological crises due to the impacts of climate change and enhanced human activities. This study used multiple methods including trend and abrupt analysis, correlation analysis, water-balance analysis, and hydrochemical analysis to evaluate the hydrogeological processes and hydrochemical effects in 5 periods in the Manas River catchment, a typical arid inland catchment in China. The results show that groundwater storage in the catchment decreased by 5.45 × 108 m3 over the past 60 years, while glacial melt, snowmelt, and precipitation showed an increasing trend since the 1980 s. A drop in the groundwater level in the alluvial fan and a 28 % reduction in spring discharge in the lower alluvial fan since 1959 were caused by reduced river infiltration owing to the water diversion projects. Meanwhile, the concentrations of SO42- and Cl- in the alluvial fan groundwater have more than doubled over the period 1957–2018 as a result of the decrease of both groundwater level and flow rate. Long-term over-exploitation of groundwater associated with irrigation after 1978 strongly depleted the groundwater storage and altered the flow path of groundwater in the oasis zone. In addition, the expansion of arable land and increased temperatures enhanced evapotranspiration and salinization of shallow groundwater in the oasis and desert zones. Based on the results, we propose making full use of natural underground reservoirs to increase infiltration of river water and flood water in the alluvial fan zone, and reducing the arable land area to ensure the sustainability of water resources and ecology in the middle and lower reaches of the catchment. The results will provide reference for the sustainable development of water resources and environmental protection in arid inland regions and similar catchments worldwide.