Forward-looking disclosure effects on stock liquidity in China: Evidence from MD&A text analysis

We investigate the impact of forward-looking disclosures in annual reports on stock liquidity in China. Analysis of the MD&A sections within annual reports demonstrate a strong positive correlation between forward-looking disclosures and a company's stock liquidity. This promotional effect appears more pronounced within high-tech companies and those with lower levels of information transparency. Mechanistic tests indicate that the increase in equity liquidity attributable to forward-looking disclosures can be traced to heightened interest from analysts and media coverage. Further examination of the impact of MD&A textual characteristics reveals that improvements in the readability and tone of the text strengthen the effect of forward-looking information on enhancing stock liquidity. Economic consequence tests show that forward-looking disclosures not only enhance stock liquidity but also contribute to expanding investment scale, reducing financing costs, and improving both future firm performance and market valuation. These findings suggest that augmenting the efficiency of capital market information dissemination could significantly bolster financial support for the real economy. •We find a strong positive correlation between forward-looking disclosures and a company's stock liquidity.•Forward-looking disclosures boost stock liquidity, driven by increased analyst and media interest.•Improving readability and tone of forward-looking information strengthens its role in enhancing stock liquidity.•Forward-looking disclosures not only enhance stock liquidity but also contribute to expanding investment scale.