Network connectedness and the contagion structure of informed trading: Evidence from the time and frequency domains

In this paper, the network connectedness of informed trading between industries and its contagion structure are studied in the time and frequency domains based on Chinese stock markets. Using the spillover index method, we find significant interindustry spillover effects of informed trading. Specifi...

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Veröffentlicht in:International review of financial analysis 2023-11, Vol.90, p.102907, Article 102907
Hauptverfasser: Zhao, Wandi, Gao, Yang
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:In this paper, the network connectedness of informed trading between industries and its contagion structure are studied in the time and frequency domains based on Chinese stock markets. Using the spillover index method, we find significant interindustry spillover effects of informed trading. Specifically, Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, and Materials are the primary spillover sources that have strong outward spillover effects on all other industries, while Communication Services and Financial represent the top recipients in the market. In addition, using the network community detection algorithm, a 2-community structure of contagion is further revealed. The two communities are driven by Industrials and Consumer Discretionary, respectively. More important, the strong outward effects of Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, and Materials and their interlinkages would cause both intracommunity and intercommunity spillovers and result in market-wide informed trading contagion. Furthermore, the frequency decomposition analysis illustrates that interindustry spillovers of informed trading are usually dominated by low-frequency (6–200 days) connectedness. Finally, the contributing factor analysis demonstrates that macroeconomic changes are the main determinants of informed trading spillovers. •We find significant interindustry spillover effects and 2-community contagion structures of informed trading.•Industrials, Cons Disc and Materials are the primary spillover sources exhibit strong spillover to all other industries.•Communication Services and Financial are the main receivers with the weakest external spillover ability.•Low-frequency spillover effect dominates the overall connectedness.•Macroeconomic changes are the main determinants of informed trading connectedness.
ISSN:1057-5219
1873-8079
DOI:10.1016/j.irfa.2023.102907