Desirable gambles based on pairwise comparisons

This paper proposes a model for imprecise probability information based on bounds on probability ratios, instead of bounds on events. This model is studied in the language of coherent sets of desirable gambles, which provides an elegant mathematical formulation and a more expressive power. The paper...

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Veröffentlicht in:International journal of approximate reasoning 2024-06, Vol.169, p.109180, Article 109180
1. Verfasser: Moral, Serafín
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:This paper proposes a model for imprecise probability information based on bounds on probability ratios, instead of bounds on events. This model is studied in the language of coherent sets of desirable gambles, which provides an elegant mathematical formulation and a more expressive power. The paper provides methods to check avoiding sure loss and coherence, and to compute the natural extension. The relationships with other formalisms such as imprecise multiplicative preferences, the constant odd ratio model, or comparative probability are analyzed.
ISSN:0888-613X
1873-4731
DOI:10.1016/j.ijar.2024.109180