Towards predicting liquid fuel physicochemical properties using molecular dynamics guided machine learning models

Accurate determination of fuel properties of complex mixtures over a wide range of pressure and temperature conditions is essential to utilizing alternative fuels. The present work aims to construct cheap-to-compute machine learning (ML) models to act as closure equations for predicting the physical properties of alternative fuels. Those models can be trained using the database from MD simulations and/or experimental measurements in a data-fusion-fidelity approach. Here, Gaussian Process (GP) and probabilistic generative models are adopted. GP is a popular non-parametric Bayesian approach to build surrogate models mainly due to its capacity to handle the aleatory and epistemic uncertainties. Generative models have shown the ability of deep neural networks employed with the same intent. In this work, ML analysis is focused on two particular properties, the fuel density and diffusion, but it can also be extended to other physicochemical properties. This study explores the versatility of the ML models to handle multi-fidelity data. The results show that ML models can predict accurately the fuel properties of a wide range of pressure and temperature conditions. •Fuel properties are predicted using molecular dynamics simulation data and machine learning.•Gaussian process regression and conditional probability learning are employed in the machine learning.•The machine learning models can be effectively used in predicting thermophysical properties of new fuels.•The methodology can be used for complex surrogate fuels and extreme conditions (such as supercritical).