Geopolitical risk and bank stability

•This paper investigates how geopolitical risk affects bank stability.•We show that an increase in geopolitical risk is associated with a decline in bank stability.•The effect is less pronounced for the groups of large banks, well-capitalized banks, and banks with lower deposit-to-asset ratios.•The...

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Veröffentlicht in:Finance research letters 2022-05, Vol.46, p.102453, Article 102453
Hauptverfasser: Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach, Tran, Vuong Thao, Iyke, Bernard Njindan
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Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:•This paper investigates how geopolitical risk affects bank stability.•We show that an increase in geopolitical risk is associated with a decline in bank stability.•The effect is less pronounced for the groups of large banks, well-capitalized banks, and banks with lower deposit-to-asset ratios.•The results are consistent in several robustness tests. In this paper, we present evidence supporting our hypothesis that geopolitical risk hurts bank stability. Using annual bank stability, bank-specific, macroeconomic, and geopolitical risk datasets, we show that an increase in geopolitical risk is associated with a decline in bank stability. This finding is robust to different geopolitical risk and bank stability measures, removing the period of extreme financial events, excluding banks with less than ten years of data, potential endogeneity issues, and controlling for other risk factors. Our results also emphasize the role of holding capital and bank size in attenuating the destabilizing effect of geopolitical risk.
ISSN:1544-6123
1544-6131
DOI:10.1016/j.frl.2021.102453