Chaos theory meets deep learning: A new approach to time series forecasting

We explore the influence and advantages of integrating chaotic systems with deep learning for time series forecasting in this paper. It proposes a novel deep learning method based on the Chen system, which leverages the randomness, sensitivity, and diversity of chaotic mapping to enhance the perform...

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Veröffentlicht in:Expert systems with applications 2024-12, Vol.255, p.124533, Article 124533
Hauptverfasser: Jia, Bowen, Wu, Huyu, Guo, Kaiyu
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Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:We explore the influence and advantages of integrating chaotic systems with deep learning for time series forecasting in this paper. It proposes a novel deep learning method based on the Chen system, which leverages the randomness, sensitivity, and diversity of chaotic mapping to enhance the performance and efficiency of deep learning models. We introduce a deep learning framework that integrates chaotic systems, providing an innovative and effective approach for time series forecasting. The research utilizes three different types of deep learning models as baselines—Long Short-Term Memory, Neural Basis Expansion Analysis, and Transformer—and compares them with their chaotic counterparts to demonstrate the impact of chaotic systems on various deep learning architectures. Experimental validation is conducted on thirteen available time series datasets, assessing the models’ forecasting accuracy, runtime, and resource occupancy. The effectiveness and superiority of the chaotic deep learning method are verified across diverse datasets, including stock markets, electricity, and air quality, showcasing significant improvements over traditional model initialization methods. •Chen system boosts deep learning for precise time series forecasting.•Chaotic models outperform traditional deep learning in accuracy and robustness.•Models save resources and adapt better across diverse datasets.•Promising results in finance, power systems, and weather forecasting.
ISSN:0957-4174
DOI:10.1016/j.eswa.2024.124533