Assessment of O3-induced yield and economic losses for wheat in the North China Plain from 2014 to 2017, China

Tropospheric ozone (O3) is a pollutant of widespread concern in the world and especially in China for its negative effects on agricultural crops. For the first time, yield and economic losses of wheat between 2014 and 2017 were estimated for the North China Plain (NCP) using observational hourly O3 data from 312 monitoring stations and exposure-response functions based on AOT40 index (accumulated hourly O3 concentration above 40 ppb) from a Chinese study. AOT40 values from 2014 to 2017 during the wheat growing seasons (75-days, 44 before and 30 after mid-anthesis) ranged from 3.1 to 14.9 ppm h, 4.9–17.5 ppm h, 7.3–17.6 ppm h, and 0.5–18.6 ppm h, respectively. The highest AOT40 values were observed in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. The values of relative yield losses from 2014 to 2017 were in the ranges of 6.4–30.5%, 10.0–35.8%, 14.9–34.1%, and 21.6–38.2%, respectively. The total wheat production losses in NCP for 2014–2017 accounted for 18.5%, 22.7%, 26.2% and 30.8% in the whole production, while the economic losses amounted to 6,292 million USD, 8,524 million USD, 10,068 million USD, and 12,404 million USD, respectively. The important impact of O3 in this area, which is of global importance, should be considered when assessing wheat yield production. Our results also show an increasing trend in AOT40, relative yield loss, total crop production loss and economic loss in the four consecutive years. [Display omitted] •Wheat yield loss by ambient O3 was estimated by using observed O3 data.•AOT40, yield and economic losses at county levels were calculated in North China Plain.•Four consecutive years data were used to increase the representative of assessment results.•The value of AOT40 and yield loss showed an increasing trend from 2014 to 2017.•The wheat yield loss due to O3 from 2014 to 2017 accounts for 18.5–30.8%.