Asymmetric volatility spillover between crude oil and other asset markets

This study uses the Multiplicative Error Model (MEM) to explore asymmetric volatility spillovers between crude oil and other major asset markets. We have extended the MEM of Engle et al. (2012) to include asymmetric volatility spillovers and developed the spillover balance as well as asymmetric spil...

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Veröffentlicht in:Energy economics 2024-02, Vol.130, p.1-13, Article 107305
Hauptverfasser: Guan, Bo, Mazouz, Khelifa, Xu, Yongdeng
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Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:This study uses the Multiplicative Error Model (MEM) to explore asymmetric volatility spillovers between crude oil and other major asset markets. We have extended the MEM of Engle et al. (2012) to include asymmetric volatility spillovers and developed the spillover balance as well as asymmetric spillover indexes. We have then allowed these indexes to vary over time. Our results reveal that the stock market is the dominant contributor to volatility spillover, while the crude oil is mostly the volatility spillover recipient. The asymmetric spillover effects are predominantly negative in the stock and crude oil markets and positive in the bond market. We further show that the spillover indexes are dynamic and influenced by specific events, such as the global financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as varying economic conditions. •We use the Multiplicative Error Model (MEM) to explore asymmetric volatility spillovers between crude oil and other major asset markets.•We develop asymmetric spillover indexes and time varying spillover balance.•We show that the stock market is the dominant contributor to volatility spillover, while the crude oil is the spillover recipient.•The asymmetric spillovers are negative in the stock and crude oil markets and positive in the bond market.•The spillovers are influenced by specific events, such as the financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic.
ISSN:0140-9883
1873-6181
DOI:10.1016/j.eneco.2024.107305