Stacked-based machine learning to predict the uniaxial compressive strength of concrete materials
•The XGB model was the top performer among the base models, followed by the RF model.•The Stacked Model-based Linear Regression outperformed all base models with an R2 of 0.953 and RMSE of 3.315 MPa.•SHAP and PDP analyses highlighted that curing duration and cement content of concrete were the most...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Computers & structures 2025-02, Vol.308, p.107644, Article 107644 |
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Sprache: | eng |
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Zusammenfassung: | •The XGB model was the top performer among the base models, followed by the RF model.•The Stacked Model-based Linear Regression outperformed all base models with an R2 of 0.953 and RMSE of 3.315 MPa.•SHAP and PDP analyses highlighted that curing duration and cement content of concrete were the most critical factors for accurate CS predictions.•Developed a user-friendly GUI for efficient and cost-effective compressive strength prediction.
Compressive strength is a key factor in the design and durability of concrete structures. Accurate prediction of compressive strength helps optimize material use and reduce construction costs. This study proposes a novel stacked model for predicting compressive strength, integrating three base models with linear regression. The base models include Artificial Neural Networks, Random Forest, and Extreme Gradient Boosting, while the stacked model uses Linear Regression as the metamodel. A dataset of 1,030 concrete mix samples covering eight critical input parameters, including cement, blast furnace slag, coarse aggregates, fine aggregates, fly ash, water, superplasticizer, and curing days, was used for training and evaluation. The dataset was split into training (80%), validation (10%), and testing (10%) subsets. The models were trained independently, and their predictions were used to develop the stacked model. Among the base models, the Extreme Gradient Boosting model achieved the highest accuracy, with an R2 of 0.947 during testing. However, the stacked model outperformed it, attaining an R2 of 0.953 in the testing phase. Shapley additive explanations analysis identified curing duration as the most influential factor in compressive strength prediction. A user-friendly graphical interface was developed to facilitate efficient prediction of compressive strength in concrete structures. |
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ISSN: | 0045-7949 |
DOI: | 10.1016/j.compstruc.2025.107644 |