Sequential change-point detection for mixing random sequences under composite hypotheses

The problem of sequential detection of a change-point in the density function of one-dimensional distribution of observations from a mixing random sequence is considered when both before and after a change-point this density function belongs to a certain family of distributions, i.e. in the situatio...

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Veröffentlicht in:Statistical inference for stochastic processes : an international journal devoted to time series analysis and the statistics of continuous time processes and dynamic systems 2008-02, Vol.11 (1), p.35-54
Hauptverfasser: Brodsky, Boris, Darkhovsky, Boris
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:The problem of sequential detection of a change-point in the density function of one-dimensional distribution of observations from a mixing random sequence is considered when both before and after a change-point this density function belongs to a certain family of distributions, i.e. in the situation of composite hypotheses. A new quality criterion for change-point detection is proposed. The asymptotic a priori lower bound for this criterion is proved for wide class of methods of change-point detection. An asymptotically optimal method of change-point detection is proposed for which this lower bound is attained asymptotically. In particular, for the case of a simple hypothesis before a change-point, this method coincides with the generalized cumulative sums (CUSUM) method.
ISSN:1387-0874
1572-9311
DOI:10.1007/s11203-006-9004-6