Simulation-based Bayesian optimal design of aircraft trajectories for air traffic management

In this paper, we consider a specific Air Traffic Management problem, where multiple aircraft in a specific region are required to reach a different target zone in the minimum expected time, while maintaining safe separation. The problem is complicated by the presence of random wind disturbances. We propose a realistic policy to automatically generate optimal and safe maneuvres for each aircraft. The parameters of the optimal policy are computed using a sequential Monte Carlo approach. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.