Best practice for the use of scenarios for restoration planning
Scenarios are important tools to facilitate the communication among scientists, practitioners, and decision-makers, and, thus to support policy and management decisions. The use of scenarios has an enormous potential to reduce ecosystem restoration costs and to optimize benefits, but this potential...
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Zusammenfassung: | Scenarios are important tools to facilitate the communication
among scientists, practitioners, and decision-makers, and, thus
to support policy and management decisions. The use of
scenarios has an enormous potential to reduce ecosystem
restoration costs and to optimize benefits, but this potential
remains poorly explored. Here, we recommend and illustrate six
best practices to guide the use of scenarios for planning native
ecosystem restoration. We argue, first, for a participatory
process to consider aspirations of multiple stakeholders along
the whole scenario building process, from planning to
implementation and review phases. Second, targeted
restoration outcomes should be defined by key-actors (those
who have direct interests in restoration) and directly involved
stakeholders, within a clear socio-environmental context and
under a well-defined problem statement, considering a broad
range of nature and human benefits that can be derived from
ecosystem restoration. Third, methodological choices, such as
scenario types, spatial and temporal scales, drivers, restorationrelated
variables, and indicators, should be defined according to
the multiple desired outcomes. Fourth, we encourage the
consideration of the interactions among variables, within a
spatially explicit, and temporally dynamic multi-criteria
approach. Fifth, analysis and dissemination of scenario results
should highlight the trade-offs and synergies among different
restoration outcomes, identifying the scenarios that maximize
benefits and minimize costs and resistance (i.e. the costeffective
and most feasible scenario) for multiple targets. Finally,
promoting capacity building, through a wider consultation
process including interaction with a broader group of
stakeholders, is critical for the successful implementation and
review of restoration interventions. Scenarios that support
ecosystem restoration should follow an adaptive and iterative
process, aiming to continuously improve restoration
interventions and outcomes. |
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