Trends in adult body-mass index in 200 countries from 1975 to 2014: a pooled analysis of 1698 population-based measurement studies with 19·2 million participants
Background: Underweight and severe and morbid obesity are associated with highly elevated risks of adverse health outcomes. We estimated trends in mean body-mass index (BMI), which characterises its population distribution, and in the prevalences of a complete set of BMI categories for adults in all...
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| creator | Di Cesare, Mariachiara Bentham, James Lu, Yuan Adams, Robert Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer Balakrishna, Nagalla Beneet, Mikhail Bi, HongSheng Bjertness, Espen Bo, Simona Bragt, Marjolijn C. E Cama, Tilema Chamukuttan, Snehalatha Chan, Angelique W Christensen, Kaare Dauchet, Luc Doua, Kouamelan Ekelund, Ulf De La Pena, Jorge Escobedo Fall, Caroline H Ferguson, Trevor S Finn, Joseph D Fuchs, Sandra C Gaspoz, Jean-Michel Ghasemian, Anoosheh Rivas, Juan P. Gonzalez Grajda, Aneta Grodzicki, Tomasz Gruden, Grabriella Guan, Ong Peng Gupta, Prakash C Htike, Maung Maung Than Hussieni, Abdullatif S Jamil, Kazi M Jasienska, Grazyna Juolevi, Anne Katz, Joanne Khalili, Davood Klimont, Jeannette Kromhout, Daan Kumar, R. Krishna Landrove, Orlando Lappas, Georg Laugsand, Lars Erik Lee, Jeonghee Lima-Costa, M. Fernanda Machi, Suka Mann, Jim I Manzato, Enzo Marrugat, Jaume Miller, Jody C Motlagh, Mohammad Esmaeel Motta, Jorge Mueisan, Maria Lorenza neuhauser, Hannelore K Ninomiya, Toshiharu O'Reilly, Dermot Parsaeian, Mahboubeh Pednekar, Mangesh S Pham, Son Thai Portegies, Marileen L. P Poulimeneas, Dimitrios Qorbani, Mostafa Bao, Tran Quoc Radic, Ivana Ribeiro, Robespierre Rivera, Juan A Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca Sandra Rutkowski, Marcin Sachdev, Harshpal S Martinez, Eduardo Salazar Sandjaja Santos, Osvaldo Dos Santos, Renata Nunes Savva, Savvas C Rosario, Angelika Schaffrath Sepanlou, Sadaf G Smith, Margaret C Sobngwi, Eugene Stratton, Gareth Sundström, Johan Swinburn, Boyd A Tao, Yong Tarawneh, Mohammad Thuesen, Betina H Trivedi, Atul Tynelius, Per Tzourio, Christophe Vega, Tomas Viegi, Giovanni Vollenweider, Peter Wang, Ming-Dong Wiecek, Andrzej Wojtyniak, Bogdan Woo, Jean Xu, Haiquan Yamborisut, Uruwan Zhao, Wenhua Zhu, Dan Arlappa, Nimmathota |
| description | Background: Underweight and severe and morbid obesity are associated with highly elevated risks of adverse health outcomes. We estimated trends in mean body-mass index (BMI), which characterises its population distribution, and in the prevalences of a complete set of BMI categories for adults in all countries. Methods: We analysed, with use of a consistent protocol, population-based studies that had measured height and weight in adults aged 18 years and older. We applied a Bayesian hierarchical model to these data to estimate trends from 1975 to 2014 in mean BMI and in the prevalences of BMI categories ( |
| format | Article |
| fullrecord | <record><control><sourceid>cristin_3HK</sourceid><recordid>TN_cdi_cristin_nora_11250_2433013</recordid><sourceformat>XML</sourceformat><sourcesystem>PC</sourcesystem><sourcerecordid>11250_2433013</sourcerecordid><originalsourceid>FETCH-cristin_nora_11250_24330133</originalsourceid><addsrcrecordid>eNqNjEFOwzAQRbNhUUHvMBwgUpy0QNmiIg7QfTSNHXUkeybyjEV7HS7BnpPhSByA1Zfee_qb5uuUA3sFYkBfosFZ_K1NqCvy4bqKvutgksKWKSjMWRK4w_MeTKpyu1dAWERi8ICM8aakIDO4p8NL5UuJaCTcnlFrkQJqySEFNlArfn38JLvUx5_vHhLFWGNYMBtNtCCbPjR3M0YN27-9bx7fj6e3j3bKpEY8smQcnev33djvhqFzw_Cf5hdpOVKa</addsrcrecordid><sourcetype>Open Access Repository</sourcetype><iscdi>true</iscdi><recordtype>article</recordtype></control><display><type>article</type><title>Trends in adult body-mass index in 200 countries from 1975 to 2014: a pooled analysis of 1698 population-based measurement studies with 19·2 million participants</title><source>NORA - Norwegian Open Research Archives</source><creator>Di Cesare, Mariachiara ; Bentham, James ; Lu, Yuan ; Adams, Robert ; Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer ; Balakrishna, Nagalla ; Beneet, Mikhail ; Bi, HongSheng ; Bjertness, Espen ; Bo, Simona ; Bragt, Marjolijn C. E ; Cama, Tilema ; Chamukuttan, Snehalatha ; Chan, Angelique W ; Christensen, Kaare ; Dauchet, Luc ; Doua, Kouamelan ; Ekelund, Ulf ; De La Pena, Jorge Escobedo ; Fall, Caroline H ; Ferguson, Trevor S ; Finn, Joseph D ; Fuchs, Sandra C ; Gaspoz, Jean-Michel ; Ghasemian, Anoosheh ; Rivas, Juan P. Gonzalez ; Grajda, Aneta ; Grodzicki, Tomasz ; Gruden, Grabriella ; Guan, Ong Peng ; Gupta, Prakash C ; Htike, Maung Maung Than ; Hussieni, Abdullatif S ; Jamil, Kazi M ; Jasienska, Grazyna ; Juolevi, Anne ; Katz, Joanne ; Khalili, Davood ; Klimont, Jeannette ; Kromhout, Daan ; Kumar, R. Krishna ; Landrove, Orlando ; Lappas, Georg ; Laugsand, Lars Erik ; Lee, Jeonghee ; Lima-Costa, M. Fernanda ; Machi, Suka ; Mann, Jim I ; Manzato, Enzo ; Marrugat, Jaume ; Miller, Jody C ; Motlagh, Mohammad Esmaeel ; Motta, Jorge ; Mueisan, Maria Lorenza ; neuhauser, Hannelore K ; Ninomiya, Toshiharu ; O'Reilly, Dermot ; Parsaeian, Mahboubeh ; Pednekar, Mangesh S ; Pham, Son Thai ; Portegies, Marileen L. P ; Poulimeneas, Dimitrios ; Qorbani, Mostafa ; Bao, Tran Quoc ; Radic, Ivana ; Ribeiro, Robespierre ; Rivera, Juan A ; Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca Sandra ; Rutkowski, Marcin ; Sachdev, Harshpal S ; Martinez, Eduardo Salazar ; Sandjaja ; Santos, Osvaldo ; Dos Santos, Renata Nunes ; Savva, Savvas C ; Rosario, Angelika Schaffrath ; Sepanlou, Sadaf G ; Smith, Margaret C ; Sobngwi, Eugene ; Stratton, Gareth ; Sundström, Johan ; Swinburn, Boyd A ; Tao, Yong ; Tarawneh, Mohammad ; Thuesen, Betina H ; Trivedi, Atul ; Tynelius, Per ; Tzourio, Christophe ; Vega, Tomas ; Viegi, Giovanni ; Vollenweider, Peter ; Wang, Ming-Dong ; Wiecek, Andrzej ; Wojtyniak, Bogdan ; Woo, Jean ; Xu, Haiquan ; Yamborisut, Uruwan ; Zhao, Wenhua ; Zhu, Dan ; Arlappa, Nimmathota</creator><creatorcontrib>Di Cesare, Mariachiara ; Bentham, James ; Lu, Yuan ; Adams, Robert ; Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer ; Balakrishna, Nagalla ; Beneet, Mikhail ; Bi, HongSheng ; Bjertness, Espen ; Bo, Simona ; Bragt, Marjolijn C. E ; Cama, Tilema ; Chamukuttan, Snehalatha ; Chan, Angelique W ; Christensen, Kaare ; Dauchet, Luc ; Doua, Kouamelan ; Ekelund, Ulf ; De La Pena, Jorge Escobedo ; Fall, Caroline H ; Ferguson, Trevor S ; Finn, Joseph D ; Fuchs, Sandra C ; Gaspoz, Jean-Michel ; Ghasemian, Anoosheh ; Rivas, Juan P. Gonzalez ; Grajda, Aneta ; Grodzicki, Tomasz ; Gruden, Grabriella ; Guan, Ong Peng ; Gupta, Prakash C ; Htike, Maung Maung Than ; Hussieni, Abdullatif S ; Jamil, Kazi M ; Jasienska, Grazyna ; Juolevi, Anne ; Katz, Joanne ; Khalili, Davood ; Klimont, Jeannette ; Kromhout, Daan ; Kumar, R. Krishna ; Landrove, Orlando ; Lappas, Georg ; Laugsand, Lars Erik ; Lee, Jeonghee ; Lima-Costa, M. Fernanda ; Machi, Suka ; Mann, Jim I ; Manzato, Enzo ; Marrugat, Jaume ; Miller, Jody C ; Motlagh, Mohammad Esmaeel ; Motta, Jorge ; Mueisan, Maria Lorenza ; neuhauser, Hannelore K ; Ninomiya, Toshiharu ; O'Reilly, Dermot ; Parsaeian, Mahboubeh ; Pednekar, Mangesh S ; Pham, Son Thai ; Portegies, Marileen L. P ; Poulimeneas, Dimitrios ; Qorbani, Mostafa ; Bao, Tran Quoc ; Radic, Ivana ; Ribeiro, Robespierre ; Rivera, Juan A ; Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca Sandra ; Rutkowski, Marcin ; Sachdev, Harshpal S ; Martinez, Eduardo Salazar ; Sandjaja ; Santos, Osvaldo ; Dos Santos, Renata Nunes ; Savva, Savvas C ; Rosario, Angelika Schaffrath ; Sepanlou, Sadaf G ; Smith, Margaret C ; Sobngwi, Eugene ; Stratton, Gareth ; Sundström, Johan ; Swinburn, Boyd A ; Tao, Yong ; Tarawneh, Mohammad ; Thuesen, Betina H ; Trivedi, Atul ; Tynelius, Per ; Tzourio, Christophe ; Vega, Tomas ; Viegi, Giovanni ; Vollenweider, Peter ; Wang, Ming-Dong ; Wiecek, Andrzej ; Wojtyniak, Bogdan ; Woo, Jean ; Xu, Haiquan ; Yamborisut, Uruwan ; Zhao, Wenhua ; Zhu, Dan ; Arlappa, Nimmathota</creatorcontrib><description><![CDATA[Background: Underweight and severe and morbid obesity are associated with highly elevated risks of adverse health outcomes. We estimated trends in mean body-mass index (BMI), which characterises its population distribution, and in the prevalences of a complete set of BMI categories for adults in all countries. Methods: We analysed, with use of a consistent protocol, population-based studies that had measured height and weight in adults aged 18 years and older. We applied a Bayesian hierarchical model to these data to estimate trends from 1975 to 2014 in mean BMI and in the prevalences of BMI categories (<18・5 kg/m2 [underweight], 18・5 kg/m2 to <20 kg/m2, 20 kg/m2 to <25 kg/m2, 25 kg/m2 to <30 kg/m2, 30 kg/m2 to <35 kg/m2, 35 kg/m2 to <40 kg/m2, ≥40 kg/m2 [morbid obesity]), by sex in 200 countries and territories, organised in 21 regions. We calculated the posterior probability of meeting the target of halting by 2025 the rise in obesity at its 2010 levels, if post-2000 trends continue. Findings: We used 1698 population-based data sources, with more than 19・2 million adult participants (9・9 million men
and 9・3 million women) in 186 of 200 countries for which estimates were made. Global age-standardised mean BMI increased from 21・7 kg/m2 (95% credible interval 21・3–22・1) in 1975 to 24・2 kg/m2 (24・0–24・4) in 2014 in men, and from 22・1 kg/m2 (21・7–22・5) in 1975 to 24・4 kg/m2 (24・2–24・6) in 2014 in women. Regional mean BMIs in 2014 for men ranged from 21・4 kg/m2 in central Africa and south Asia to 29・2 kg/m2 (28・6–29・8) in Polynesia and Micronesia; for women the range was from 21・8 kg/m2 (21・4–22・3) in south Asia to 32・2 kg/m2 (31・5–32・8) in Polynesia and Micronesia. Over these four decades, age-standardised global prevalence of underweight decreased from 13・8% (10・5–17・4) to 8・8%
(7・4–10・3) in men and from 14・6% (11・6–17・9) to 9・7% (8・3–11・1) in women. South Asia had the highest prevalence of underweight in 2014, 23・4% (17・8–29・2) in men and 24・0% (18・9–29・3) in women. Age-standardised prevalence of obesity increased from 3・2% (2・4–4・1) in 1975 to 10・8% (9・7–12・0) in 2014 in men, and from 6・4% (5・1–7・8) to 14・9% (13・6–16・1) in women. 2・3% (2・0–2・7) of the world’s men and 5・0% (4・4–5・6) of women were severely obese (ie, have BMI ≥35 kg/m2). Globally, prevalence of morbid obesity was 0・64% (0・46–0・86) in men and 1・6% (1・3–1・9) in women. Interpretation: If post-2000 trends continue, the probability of meeting the global obesity target is virtually zero. Rather, if these trends continue, by 2025, global obesity prevalence will reach 18% in men and surpass 21% in women; severe obesity will surpass 6% in men and 9% in women. Nonetheless, underweight remains prevalent in the world’s poorest regions, especially in south Asia.]]></description><language>eng</language><publisher>Elsevier</publisher><subject>adolescent ; adult ; Bayes theorem ; Body Mass Index ; developed countries ; developing countries ; female ; forecasting ; global health ; humans ; male ; models, statistical ; obesity/epidemiology ; prevalence ; thinness/epidemiology ; young adult</subject><creationdate>2016</creationdate><rights>info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess</rights><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><link.rule.ids>230,776,881,26544</link.rule.ids><linktorsrc>$$Uhttp://hdl.handle.net/11250/2433013$$EView_record_in_NORA$$FView_record_in_$$GNORA$$Hfree_for_read</linktorsrc></links><search><creatorcontrib>Di Cesare, Mariachiara</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bentham, James</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lu, Yuan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Adams, Robert</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Balakrishna, Nagalla</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Beneet, Mikhail</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bi, HongSheng</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bjertness, Espen</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bo, Simona</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bragt, Marjolijn C. E</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Cama, Tilema</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chamukuttan, Snehalatha</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chan, Angelique W</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Christensen, Kaare</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dauchet, Luc</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Doua, Kouamelan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ekelund, Ulf</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>De La Pena, Jorge Escobedo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fall, Caroline H</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ferguson, Trevor S</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Finn, Joseph D</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fuchs, Sandra C</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gaspoz, Jean-Michel</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ghasemian, Anoosheh</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rivas, Juan P. Gonzalez</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Grajda, Aneta</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Grodzicki, Tomasz</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gruden, Grabriella</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Guan, Ong Peng</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gupta, Prakash C</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Htike, Maung Maung Than</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hussieni, Abdullatif S</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jamil, Kazi M</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jasienska, Grazyna</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Juolevi, Anne</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Katz, Joanne</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Khalili, Davood</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Klimont, Jeannette</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kromhout, Daan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kumar, R. Krishna</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Landrove, Orlando</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lappas, Georg</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Laugsand, Lars Erik</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lee, Jeonghee</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lima-Costa, M. Fernanda</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Machi, Suka</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mann, Jim I</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Manzato, Enzo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Marrugat, Jaume</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Miller, Jody C</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Motlagh, Mohammad Esmaeel</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Motta, Jorge</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mueisan, Maria Lorenza</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>neuhauser, Hannelore K</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ninomiya, Toshiharu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>O'Reilly, Dermot</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Parsaeian, Mahboubeh</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pednekar, Mangesh S</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pham, Son Thai</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Portegies, Marileen L. P</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Poulimeneas, Dimitrios</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Qorbani, Mostafa</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bao, Tran Quoc</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Radic, Ivana</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ribeiro, Robespierre</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rivera, Juan A</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca Sandra</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rutkowski, Marcin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sachdev, Harshpal S</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Martinez, Eduardo Salazar</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sandjaja</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Santos, Osvaldo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dos Santos, Renata Nunes</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Savva, Savvas C</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rosario, Angelika Schaffrath</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sepanlou, Sadaf G</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Smith, Margaret C</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sobngwi, Eugene</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Stratton, Gareth</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sundström, Johan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Swinburn, Boyd A</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tao, Yong</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tarawneh, Mohammad</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Thuesen, Betina H</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Trivedi, Atul</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tynelius, Per</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tzourio, Christophe</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Vega, Tomas</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Viegi, Giovanni</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Vollenweider, Peter</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wang, Ming-Dong</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wiecek, Andrzej</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wojtyniak, Bogdan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Woo, Jean</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Xu, Haiquan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yamborisut, Uruwan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhao, Wenhua</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhu, Dan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Arlappa, Nimmathota</creatorcontrib><title>Trends in adult body-mass index in 200 countries from 1975 to 2014: a pooled analysis of 1698 population-based measurement studies with 19·2 million participants</title><description><![CDATA[Background: Underweight and severe and morbid obesity are associated with highly elevated risks of adverse health outcomes. We estimated trends in mean body-mass index (BMI), which characterises its population distribution, and in the prevalences of a complete set of BMI categories for adults in all countries. Methods: We analysed, with use of a consistent protocol, population-based studies that had measured height and weight in adults aged 18 years and older. We applied a Bayesian hierarchical model to these data to estimate trends from 1975 to 2014 in mean BMI and in the prevalences of BMI categories (<18・5 kg/m2 [underweight], 18・5 kg/m2 to <20 kg/m2, 20 kg/m2 to <25 kg/m2, 25 kg/m2 to <30 kg/m2, 30 kg/m2 to <35 kg/m2, 35 kg/m2 to <40 kg/m2, ≥40 kg/m2 [morbid obesity]), by sex in 200 countries and territories, organised in 21 regions. We calculated the posterior probability of meeting the target of halting by 2025 the rise in obesity at its 2010 levels, if post-2000 trends continue. Findings: We used 1698 population-based data sources, with more than 19・2 million adult participants (9・9 million men
and 9・3 million women) in 186 of 200 countries for which estimates were made. Global age-standardised mean BMI increased from 21・7 kg/m2 (95% credible interval 21・3–22・1) in 1975 to 24・2 kg/m2 (24・0–24・4) in 2014 in men, and from 22・1 kg/m2 (21・7–22・5) in 1975 to 24・4 kg/m2 (24・2–24・6) in 2014 in women. Regional mean BMIs in 2014 for men ranged from 21・4 kg/m2 in central Africa and south Asia to 29・2 kg/m2 (28・6–29・8) in Polynesia and Micronesia; for women the range was from 21・8 kg/m2 (21・4–22・3) in south Asia to 32・2 kg/m2 (31・5–32・8) in Polynesia and Micronesia. Over these four decades, age-standardised global prevalence of underweight decreased from 13・8% (10・5–17・4) to 8・8%
(7・4–10・3) in men and from 14・6% (11・6–17・9) to 9・7% (8・3–11・1) in women. South Asia had the highest prevalence of underweight in 2014, 23・4% (17・8–29・2) in men and 24・0% (18・9–29・3) in women. Age-standardised prevalence of obesity increased from 3・2% (2・4–4・1) in 1975 to 10・8% (9・7–12・0) in 2014 in men, and from 6・4% (5・1–7・8) to 14・9% (13・6–16・1) in women. 2・3% (2・0–2・7) of the world’s men and 5・0% (4・4–5・6) of women were severely obese (ie, have BMI ≥35 kg/m2). Globally, prevalence of morbid obesity was 0・64% (0・46–0・86) in men and 1・6% (1・3–1・9) in women. Interpretation: If post-2000 trends continue, the probability of meeting the global obesity target is virtually zero. Rather, if these trends continue, by 2025, global obesity prevalence will reach 18% in men and surpass 21% in women; severe obesity will surpass 6% in men and 9% in women. Nonetheless, underweight remains prevalent in the world’s poorest regions, especially in south Asia.]]></description><subject>adolescent</subject><subject>adult</subject><subject>Bayes theorem</subject><subject>Body Mass Index</subject><subject>developed countries</subject><subject>developing countries</subject><subject>female</subject><subject>forecasting</subject><subject>global health</subject><subject>humans</subject><subject>male</subject><subject>models, statistical</subject><subject>obesity/epidemiology</subject><subject>prevalence</subject><subject>thinness/epidemiology</subject><subject>young adult</subject><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2016</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>3HK</sourceid><recordid>eNqNjEFOwzAQRbNhUUHvMBwgUpy0QNmiIg7QfTSNHXUkeybyjEV7HS7BnpPhSByA1Zfee_qb5uuUA3sFYkBfosFZ_K1NqCvy4bqKvutgksKWKSjMWRK4w_MeTKpyu1dAWERi8ICM8aakIDO4p8NL5UuJaCTcnlFrkQJqySEFNlArfn38JLvUx5_vHhLFWGNYMBtNtCCbPjR3M0YN27-9bx7fj6e3j3bKpEY8smQcnev33djvhqFzw_Cf5hdpOVKa</recordid><startdate>2016</startdate><enddate>2016</enddate><creator>Di Cesare, Mariachiara</creator><creator>Bentham, James</creator><creator>Lu, Yuan</creator><creator>Adams, Robert</creator><creator>Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer</creator><creator>Balakrishna, Nagalla</creator><creator>Beneet, Mikhail</creator><creator>Bi, HongSheng</creator><creator>Bjertness, Espen</creator><creator>Bo, Simona</creator><creator>Bragt, Marjolijn C. E</creator><creator>Cama, Tilema</creator><creator>Chamukuttan, Snehalatha</creator><creator>Chan, Angelique W</creator><creator>Christensen, Kaare</creator><creator>Dauchet, Luc</creator><creator>Doua, Kouamelan</creator><creator>Ekelund, Ulf</creator><creator>De La Pena, Jorge Escobedo</creator><creator>Fall, Caroline H</creator><creator>Ferguson, Trevor S</creator><creator>Finn, Joseph D</creator><creator>Fuchs, Sandra C</creator><creator>Gaspoz, Jean-Michel</creator><creator>Ghasemian, Anoosheh</creator><creator>Rivas, Juan P. Gonzalez</creator><creator>Grajda, Aneta</creator><creator>Grodzicki, Tomasz</creator><creator>Gruden, Grabriella</creator><creator>Guan, Ong Peng</creator><creator>Gupta, Prakash C</creator><creator>Htike, Maung Maung Than</creator><creator>Hussieni, Abdullatif S</creator><creator>Jamil, Kazi M</creator><creator>Jasienska, Grazyna</creator><creator>Juolevi, Anne</creator><creator>Katz, Joanne</creator><creator>Khalili, Davood</creator><creator>Klimont, Jeannette</creator><creator>Kromhout, Daan</creator><creator>Kumar, R. Krishna</creator><creator>Landrove, Orlando</creator><creator>Lappas, Georg</creator><creator>Laugsand, Lars Erik</creator><creator>Lee, Jeonghee</creator><creator>Lima-Costa, M. Fernanda</creator><creator>Machi, Suka</creator><creator>Mann, Jim I</creator><creator>Manzato, Enzo</creator><creator>Marrugat, Jaume</creator><creator>Miller, Jody C</creator><creator>Motlagh, Mohammad Esmaeel</creator><creator>Motta, Jorge</creator><creator>Mueisan, Maria Lorenza</creator><creator>neuhauser, Hannelore K</creator><creator>Ninomiya, Toshiharu</creator><creator>O'Reilly, Dermot</creator><creator>Parsaeian, Mahboubeh</creator><creator>Pednekar, Mangesh S</creator><creator>Pham, Son Thai</creator><creator>Portegies, Marileen L. P</creator><creator>Poulimeneas, Dimitrios</creator><creator>Qorbani, Mostafa</creator><creator>Bao, Tran Quoc</creator><creator>Radic, Ivana</creator><creator>Ribeiro, Robespierre</creator><creator>Rivera, Juan A</creator><creator>Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca Sandra</creator><creator>Rutkowski, Marcin</creator><creator>Sachdev, Harshpal S</creator><creator>Martinez, Eduardo Salazar</creator><creator>Sandjaja</creator><creator>Santos, Osvaldo</creator><creator>Dos Santos, Renata Nunes</creator><creator>Savva, Savvas C</creator><creator>Rosario, Angelika Schaffrath</creator><creator>Sepanlou, Sadaf G</creator><creator>Smith, Margaret C</creator><creator>Sobngwi, Eugene</creator><creator>Stratton, Gareth</creator><creator>Sundström, Johan</creator><creator>Swinburn, Boyd A</creator><creator>Tao, Yong</creator><creator>Tarawneh, Mohammad</creator><creator>Thuesen, Betina H</creator><creator>Trivedi, Atul</creator><creator>Tynelius, Per</creator><creator>Tzourio, Christophe</creator><creator>Vega, Tomas</creator><creator>Viegi, Giovanni</creator><creator>Vollenweider, Peter</creator><creator>Wang, Ming-Dong</creator><creator>Wiecek, Andrzej</creator><creator>Wojtyniak, Bogdan</creator><creator>Woo, Jean</creator><creator>Xu, Haiquan</creator><creator>Yamborisut, Uruwan</creator><creator>Zhao, Wenhua</creator><creator>Zhu, Dan</creator><creator>Arlappa, Nimmathota</creator><general>Elsevier</general><scope>3HK</scope></search><sort><creationdate>2016</creationdate><title>Trends in adult body-mass index in 200 countries from 1975 to 2014: a pooled analysis of 1698 population-based measurement studies with 19·2 million participants</title><author>Di Cesare, Mariachiara ; Bentham, James ; Lu, Yuan ; Adams, Robert ; Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer ; Balakrishna, Nagalla ; Beneet, Mikhail ; Bi, HongSheng ; Bjertness, Espen ; Bo, Simona ; Bragt, Marjolijn C. E ; Cama, Tilema ; Chamukuttan, Snehalatha ; Chan, Angelique W ; Christensen, Kaare ; Dauchet, Luc ; Doua, Kouamelan ; Ekelund, Ulf ; De La Pena, Jorge Escobedo ; Fall, Caroline H ; Ferguson, Trevor S ; Finn, Joseph D ; Fuchs, Sandra C ; Gaspoz, Jean-Michel ; Ghasemian, Anoosheh ; Rivas, Juan P. Gonzalez ; Grajda, Aneta ; Grodzicki, Tomasz ; Gruden, Grabriella ; Guan, Ong Peng ; Gupta, Prakash C ; Htike, Maung Maung Than ; Hussieni, Abdullatif S ; Jamil, Kazi M ; Jasienska, Grazyna ; Juolevi, Anne ; Katz, Joanne ; Khalili, Davood ; Klimont, Jeannette ; Kromhout, Daan ; Kumar, R. Krishna ; Landrove, Orlando ; Lappas, Georg ; Laugsand, Lars Erik ; Lee, Jeonghee ; Lima-Costa, M. Fernanda ; Machi, Suka ; Mann, Jim I ; Manzato, Enzo ; Marrugat, Jaume ; Miller, Jody C ; Motlagh, Mohammad Esmaeel ; Motta, Jorge ; Mueisan, Maria Lorenza ; neuhauser, Hannelore K ; Ninomiya, Toshiharu ; O'Reilly, Dermot ; Parsaeian, Mahboubeh ; Pednekar, Mangesh S ; Pham, Son Thai ; Portegies, Marileen L. P ; Poulimeneas, Dimitrios ; Qorbani, Mostafa ; Bao, Tran Quoc ; Radic, Ivana ; Ribeiro, Robespierre ; Rivera, Juan A ; Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca Sandra ; Rutkowski, Marcin ; Sachdev, Harshpal S ; Martinez, Eduardo Salazar ; Sandjaja ; Santos, Osvaldo ; Dos Santos, Renata Nunes ; Savva, Savvas C ; Rosario, Angelika Schaffrath ; Sepanlou, Sadaf G ; Smith, Margaret C ; Sobngwi, Eugene ; Stratton, Gareth ; Sundström, Johan ; Swinburn, Boyd A ; Tao, Yong ; Tarawneh, Mohammad ; Thuesen, Betina H ; Trivedi, Atul ; Tynelius, Per ; Tzourio, Christophe ; Vega, Tomas ; Viegi, Giovanni ; Vollenweider, Peter ; Wang, Ming-Dong ; Wiecek, Andrzej ; Wojtyniak, Bogdan ; Woo, Jean ; Xu, Haiquan ; Yamborisut, Uruwan ; Zhao, Wenhua ; Zhu, Dan ; Arlappa, Nimmathota</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-cristin_nora_11250_24330133</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2016</creationdate><topic>adolescent</topic><topic>adult</topic><topic>Bayes theorem</topic><topic>Body Mass Index</topic><topic>developed countries</topic><topic>developing countries</topic><topic>female</topic><topic>forecasting</topic><topic>global health</topic><topic>humans</topic><topic>male</topic><topic>models, statistical</topic><topic>obesity/epidemiology</topic><topic>prevalence</topic><topic>thinness/epidemiology</topic><topic>young adult</topic><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Di Cesare, Mariachiara</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bentham, James</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lu, Yuan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Adams, Robert</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Balakrishna, Nagalla</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Beneet, Mikhail</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bi, HongSheng</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bjertness, Espen</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bo, Simona</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bragt, Marjolijn C. E</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Cama, Tilema</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chamukuttan, Snehalatha</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chan, Angelique W</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Christensen, Kaare</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dauchet, Luc</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Doua, Kouamelan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ekelund, Ulf</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>De La Pena, Jorge Escobedo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fall, Caroline H</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ferguson, Trevor S</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Finn, Joseph D</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fuchs, Sandra C</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gaspoz, Jean-Michel</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ghasemian, Anoosheh</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rivas, Juan P. Gonzalez</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Grajda, Aneta</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Grodzicki, Tomasz</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gruden, Grabriella</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Guan, Ong Peng</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gupta, Prakash C</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Htike, Maung Maung Than</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hussieni, Abdullatif S</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jamil, Kazi M</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jasienska, Grazyna</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Juolevi, Anne</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Katz, Joanne</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Khalili, Davood</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Klimont, Jeannette</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kromhout, Daan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kumar, R. Krishna</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Landrove, Orlando</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lappas, Georg</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Laugsand, Lars Erik</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lee, Jeonghee</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lima-Costa, M. Fernanda</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Machi, Suka</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mann, Jim I</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Manzato, Enzo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Marrugat, Jaume</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Miller, Jody C</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Motlagh, Mohammad Esmaeel</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Motta, Jorge</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mueisan, Maria Lorenza</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>neuhauser, Hannelore K</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ninomiya, Toshiharu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>O'Reilly, Dermot</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Parsaeian, Mahboubeh</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pednekar, Mangesh S</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pham, Son Thai</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Portegies, Marileen L. P</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Poulimeneas, Dimitrios</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Qorbani, Mostafa</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bao, Tran Quoc</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Radic, Ivana</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ribeiro, Robespierre</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rivera, Juan A</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca Sandra</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rutkowski, Marcin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sachdev, Harshpal S</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Martinez, Eduardo Salazar</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sandjaja</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Santos, Osvaldo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dos Santos, Renata Nunes</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Savva, Savvas C</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rosario, Angelika Schaffrath</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sepanlou, Sadaf G</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Smith, Margaret C</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sobngwi, Eugene</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Stratton, Gareth</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sundström, Johan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Swinburn, Boyd A</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tao, Yong</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tarawneh, Mohammad</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Thuesen, Betina H</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Trivedi, Atul</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tynelius, Per</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tzourio, Christophe</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Vega, Tomas</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Viegi, Giovanni</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Vollenweider, Peter</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wang, Ming-Dong</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wiecek, Andrzej</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wojtyniak, Bogdan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Woo, Jean</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Xu, Haiquan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yamborisut, Uruwan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhao, Wenhua</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhu, Dan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Arlappa, Nimmathota</creatorcontrib><collection>NORA - Norwegian Open Research Archives</collection></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext_linktorsrc</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Di Cesare, Mariachiara</au><au>Bentham, James</au><au>Lu, Yuan</au><au>Adams, Robert</au><au>Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer</au><au>Balakrishna, Nagalla</au><au>Beneet, Mikhail</au><au>Bi, HongSheng</au><au>Bjertness, Espen</au><au>Bo, Simona</au><au>Bragt, Marjolijn C. E</au><au>Cama, Tilema</au><au>Chamukuttan, Snehalatha</au><au>Chan, Angelique W</au><au>Christensen, Kaare</au><au>Dauchet, Luc</au><au>Doua, Kouamelan</au><au>Ekelund, Ulf</au><au>De La Pena, Jorge Escobedo</au><au>Fall, Caroline H</au><au>Ferguson, Trevor S</au><au>Finn, Joseph D</au><au>Fuchs, Sandra C</au><au>Gaspoz, Jean-Michel</au><au>Ghasemian, Anoosheh</au><au>Rivas, Juan P. Gonzalez</au><au>Grajda, Aneta</au><au>Grodzicki, Tomasz</au><au>Gruden, Grabriella</au><au>Guan, Ong Peng</au><au>Gupta, Prakash C</au><au>Htike, Maung Maung Than</au><au>Hussieni, Abdullatif S</au><au>Jamil, Kazi M</au><au>Jasienska, Grazyna</au><au>Juolevi, Anne</au><au>Katz, Joanne</au><au>Khalili, Davood</au><au>Klimont, Jeannette</au><au>Kromhout, Daan</au><au>Kumar, R. Krishna</au><au>Landrove, Orlando</au><au>Lappas, Georg</au><au>Laugsand, Lars Erik</au><au>Lee, Jeonghee</au><au>Lima-Costa, M. Fernanda</au><au>Machi, Suka</au><au>Mann, Jim I</au><au>Manzato, Enzo</au><au>Marrugat, Jaume</au><au>Miller, Jody C</au><au>Motlagh, Mohammad Esmaeel</au><au>Motta, Jorge</au><au>Mueisan, Maria Lorenza</au><au>neuhauser, Hannelore K</au><au>Ninomiya, Toshiharu</au><au>O'Reilly, Dermot</au><au>Parsaeian, Mahboubeh</au><au>Pednekar, Mangesh S</au><au>Pham, Son Thai</au><au>Portegies, Marileen L. P</au><au>Poulimeneas, Dimitrios</au><au>Qorbani, Mostafa</au><au>Bao, Tran Quoc</au><au>Radic, Ivana</au><au>Ribeiro, Robespierre</au><au>Rivera, Juan A</au><au>Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca Sandra</au><au>Rutkowski, Marcin</au><au>Sachdev, Harshpal S</au><au>Martinez, Eduardo Salazar</au><au>Sandjaja</au><au>Santos, Osvaldo</au><au>Dos Santos, Renata Nunes</au><au>Savva, Savvas C</au><au>Rosario, Angelika Schaffrath</au><au>Sepanlou, Sadaf G</au><au>Smith, Margaret C</au><au>Sobngwi, Eugene</au><au>Stratton, Gareth</au><au>Sundström, Johan</au><au>Swinburn, Boyd A</au><au>Tao, Yong</au><au>Tarawneh, Mohammad</au><au>Thuesen, Betina H</au><au>Trivedi, Atul</au><au>Tynelius, Per</au><au>Tzourio, Christophe</au><au>Vega, Tomas</au><au>Viegi, Giovanni</au><au>Vollenweider, Peter</au><au>Wang, Ming-Dong</au><au>Wiecek, Andrzej</au><au>Wojtyniak, Bogdan</au><au>Woo, Jean</au><au>Xu, Haiquan</au><au>Yamborisut, Uruwan</au><au>Zhao, Wenhua</au><au>Zhu, Dan</au><au>Arlappa, Nimmathota</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Trends in adult body-mass index in 200 countries from 1975 to 2014: a pooled analysis of 1698 population-based measurement studies with 19·2 million participants</atitle><date>2016</date><risdate>2016</risdate><abstract><![CDATA[Background: Underweight and severe and morbid obesity are associated with highly elevated risks of adverse health outcomes. We estimated trends in mean body-mass index (BMI), which characterises its population distribution, and in the prevalences of a complete set of BMI categories for adults in all countries. Methods: We analysed, with use of a consistent protocol, population-based studies that had measured height and weight in adults aged 18 years and older. We applied a Bayesian hierarchical model to these data to estimate trends from 1975 to 2014 in mean BMI and in the prevalences of BMI categories (<18・5 kg/m2 [underweight], 18・5 kg/m2 to <20 kg/m2, 20 kg/m2 to <25 kg/m2, 25 kg/m2 to <30 kg/m2, 30 kg/m2 to <35 kg/m2, 35 kg/m2 to <40 kg/m2, ≥40 kg/m2 [morbid obesity]), by sex in 200 countries and territories, organised in 21 regions. We calculated the posterior probability of meeting the target of halting by 2025 the rise in obesity at its 2010 levels, if post-2000 trends continue. Findings: We used 1698 population-based data sources, with more than 19・2 million adult participants (9・9 million men
and 9・3 million women) in 186 of 200 countries for which estimates were made. Global age-standardised mean BMI increased from 21・7 kg/m2 (95% credible interval 21・3–22・1) in 1975 to 24・2 kg/m2 (24・0–24・4) in 2014 in men, and from 22・1 kg/m2 (21・7–22・5) in 1975 to 24・4 kg/m2 (24・2–24・6) in 2014 in women. Regional mean BMIs in 2014 for men ranged from 21・4 kg/m2 in central Africa and south Asia to 29・2 kg/m2 (28・6–29・8) in Polynesia and Micronesia; for women the range was from 21・8 kg/m2 (21・4–22・3) in south Asia to 32・2 kg/m2 (31・5–32・8) in Polynesia and Micronesia. Over these four decades, age-standardised global prevalence of underweight decreased from 13・8% (10・5–17・4) to 8・8%
(7・4–10・3) in men and from 14・6% (11・6–17・9) to 9・7% (8・3–11・1) in women. South Asia had the highest prevalence of underweight in 2014, 23・4% (17・8–29・2) in men and 24・0% (18・9–29・3) in women. Age-standardised prevalence of obesity increased from 3・2% (2・4–4・1) in 1975 to 10・8% (9・7–12・0) in 2014 in men, and from 6・4% (5・1–7・8) to 14・9% (13・6–16・1) in women. 2・3% (2・0–2・7) of the world’s men and 5・0% (4・4–5・6) of women were severely obese (ie, have BMI ≥35 kg/m2). Globally, prevalence of morbid obesity was 0・64% (0・46–0・86) in men and 1・6% (1・3–1・9) in women. Interpretation: If post-2000 trends continue, the probability of meeting the global obesity target is virtually zero. Rather, if these trends continue, by 2025, global obesity prevalence will reach 18% in men and surpass 21% in women; severe obesity will surpass 6% in men and 9% in women. Nonetheless, underweight remains prevalent in the world’s poorest regions, especially in south Asia.]]></abstract><pub>Elsevier</pub><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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| source | NORA - Norwegian Open Research Archives |
| subjects | adolescent adult Bayes theorem Body Mass Index developed countries developing countries female forecasting global health humans male models, statistical obesity/epidemiology prevalence thinness/epidemiology young adult |
| title | Trends in adult body-mass index in 200 countries from 1975 to 2014: a pooled analysis of 1698 population-based measurement studies with 19·2 million participants |
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