Centurial evidence of breaks in the persistence of unemployment

A novel procedure is applied to test for switches between hysteresis and the natural rate theory over more than a century of UK and USA unemployment data. For both the countries we see a period conforming to hysteresis starting in the early 1920s for the UK and 1930 for USA.

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Veröffentlicht in:Economics Letters 2015-04, p.74-76
Hauptverfasser: Ghoshray, Atanu, Stamatogiannis, Michalis P.
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:A novel procedure is applied to test for switches between hysteresis and the natural rate theory over more than a century of UK and USA unemployment data. For both the countries we see a period conforming to hysteresis starting in the early 1920s for the UK and 1930 for USA.
ISSN:0165-1765
1873-7374
DOI:10.1016/j.econlet.2015.02.012