Discovering Effective Policies for Land-Use Planning with Neuroevolution

How areas of land are allocated for different uses, such as forests, urban areas, and agriculture, has a large effect on the terrestrial carbon balance, and therefore climate change. Based on available historical data on land-use changes and a simulation of the associated carbon emissions and remova...

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Hauptverfasser: Miikkulainen, Risto, Francon, Olivier, Young, Daniel, Meyerson, Elliot, Schwingshackl, Clemens, Bieker, Jacob, Cunha, Hugo, Hodjat, Babak
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Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:How areas of land are allocated for different uses, such as forests, urban areas, and agriculture, has a large effect on the terrestrial carbon balance, and therefore climate change. Based on available historical data on land-use changes and a simulation of the associated carbon emissions and removals, a surrogate model can be learned that makes it possible to evaluate the different options available to decision-makers efficiently. An evolutionary search process can then be used to discover effective land-use policies for specific locations. Such a system was built on the Project Resilience platform and evaluated with the Land-Use Harmonization dataset LUH2 and the bookkeeping model BLUE. It generates Pareto fronts that trade off carbon impact and amount of land-use change customized to different locations, thus providing a potentially useful tool for land-use planning.
DOI:10.48550/arxiv.2311.12304