Concurrent Neural Network : A model of competition between times series

Competition between times series often arises in sales prediction, when similar products are on sale on a marketplace. This article provides a model of the presence of cannibalization between times series. This model creates a "competitiveness" function that depends on external features su...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Gespeichert in:
Bibliographische Detailangaben
1. Verfasser: Garnier, Rémy
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
Schlagworte:
Online-Zugang:Volltext bestellen
Tags: Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:Competition between times series often arises in sales prediction, when similar products are on sale on a marketplace. This article provides a model of the presence of cannibalization between times series. This model creates a "competitiveness" function that depends on external features such as price and margin. It also provides a theoretical guaranty on the error of the model under some reasonable conditions, and implement this model using a neural network to compute this competitiveness function. This implementation outperforms other traditional time series methods and classical neural networks for market share prediction on a real-world data set.
DOI:10.48550/arxiv.2009.14610