Medidas de distanciamento social e mobilidade na Am\'erica do Sul durante a pandemia por COVID-19: Condi\c{c}\~oes necess\'arias e suficientes?
In a scenario where there is no vaccine for COVID-19, non-pharmaceutical interventions are necessary to contain the spread of the virus and the collapse of the health system in the affected regions. One of these measures is social distancing, which aims to reduce interactions in the community by clo...
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Zusammenfassung: | In a scenario where there is no vaccine for COVID-19, non-pharmaceutical
interventions are necessary to contain the spread of the virus and the collapse
of the health system in the affected regions. One of these measures is social
distancing, which aims to reduce interactions in the community by closing
public and private establishments that involve crowds of people. The lockdown
presupposes a drastic reduction in community interactions, representing a more
extreme measure of social distancing. Based on geolocation data provided by
Google for six categories of physical spaces, this article identifies the
variations in the circulation of people in South America for different types of
social distancing measures adopted during the COVID-19 pandemic. In this study,
population mobility trends for a group of countries between February 15, 2020
and May 16, 2020 were analyzed. To summarize these trends in a single metric, a
general circulation index was created, and to identify regional mobility
patterns, descriptive analyzes of spatial autocorrelation (global and local
Moran index) were used. The first hypothesis of this study is that countries
with a lockdown decree can achieve greater success in reducing the mobility of
the population, and the second hypothesis is that Argentina, Brazil and
Colombia have regional mobility patterns. The first hypothesis was partially
confirmed (considering 10 countries in South America), and the results obtained
in the spatial analyzes confirmed the second hypothesis. In general, the
observed data shows that less rigid lockdown or social distancing measures are
necessary, however, they are not sufficient to achieve a significant reduction
in the circulation of people during the pandemic. |
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DOI: | 10.48550/arxiv.2006.04985 |