Evaluating the role of data quality when sharing information in hierarchical multi-stock assessment models, with an application to Dover Sole
An emerging approach to data-limited fisheries stock assessment uses hierarchical multi-stock assessment models to group stocks together, sharing information from data-rich to data-poor stocks. In this paper, we simulate data-rich and data-poor fishery and survey data scenarios for a complex of dove...
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Zusammenfassung: | An emerging approach to data-limited fisheries stock assessment uses
hierarchical multi-stock assessment models to group stocks together, sharing
information from data-rich to data-poor stocks. In this paper, we simulate
data-rich and data-poor fishery and survey data scenarios for a complex of
dover sole stocks. Simulated data for individual stocks were used to compare
estimation performance for single-stock and hierarchical multi-stock versions
of a Schaefer production model. The single-stock and best performing
multi-stock models were then used in stock assessments for the real dover sole
data. Multi-stock models often had lower estimation errors than single-stock
models when assessment data had low statistical power. Relative errors for
productivity and relative biomass parameters were lower for multi-stock
assessment model configurations. In addition, multi-stock models that estimated
hierarchical priors for survey catchability performed the best under data-poor
scenarios. We conclude that hierarchical multi-stock assessment models are
useful for data-limited stocks and could provide a more flexible alternative to
data-pooling and catch only methods; however, these models are subject to
non-linear side-effects of parameter shrinkage. Therefore, we recommend testing
hierarchical multi-stock models in closed-loop simulations before application
to real fishery management systems. |
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DOI: | 10.48550/arxiv.1804.03353 |