Transition Scenarios via Backcasting
This article offers "transition scenarios" as a variation on the backcasting technique. The variation in essence developed a shorter-term version of a long-term set of scenarios that had been developed just a few years prior. The scenarios themselves are only briefly highlighted as the principal emp...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Journal of Futures Studies 2019-09, Vol.24 (1), p.1-14 |
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Hauptverfasser: | , , |
Format: | Artikel |
Sprache: | eng |
Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
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Zusammenfassung: | This article offers "transition scenarios" as a variation on the backcasting technique. The variation in essence developed a shorter-term version of a long-term set of scenarios that had been developed just a few years prior. The scenarios themselves are only briefly highlighted as the principal emphasis is on the methodological variation. A full version of the scenarios is part of a separate "Global Technical Report" publication (Hines, Schutte, Romero, & Bengston, 2019). The variation is offered in the spirit of an experiment in the hope that it might be useful to futurists and others confronted with a similar methodological challenge of working with a client who "already has" scenarios that are judged to be outside of a useful planning horizon. |
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ISSN: | 1027-6084 |
DOI: | 10.6531/JFS.201909_24(1).0001 |