Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments connecting the dots
This unique book on intelligence analysis covers several vital but often overlooked topics. It teaches the evidential and inferential issues involved in 'connecting the dots' to draw defensible and persuasive conclusions from masses of evidence: from observations we make, or questions we a...
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| Sprache: | English |
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Cambridge University Press
2016
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| 100 | 1 | |a Tecuci, Gheorghe | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments |b connecting the dots |c Gheorghe Tecuci, David A. Schum, Dorin Marcu, Mihai Boicu |
| 264 | 1 | |a New York |b Cambridge University Press |c 2016 | |
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| 520 | |a This unique book on intelligence analysis covers several vital but often overlooked topics. It teaches the evidential and inferential issues involved in 'connecting the dots' to draw defensible and persuasive conclusions from masses of evidence: from observations we make, or questions we ask, we generate alternative hypotheses; we make use of our hypotheses to generate new lines of inquiry and evidence; and we test the hypotheses on the basis of the evidence we are discovering. To facilitate the learning of these issues and enable the performance of complex analyses, the book introduces an intelligent analytical tool, called Disciple-CD. Readers will practice with Disciple-CD and learn how to formulate hypotheses; develop arguments that reduce complex hypotheses to simpler ones; collect evidence to evaluate the simplest hypotheses; assess the relevance, believability, and inferential force of evidence; and finally judge the probability of the hypotheses. | ||
| 700 | 1 | |a Boicu, Mihai | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| spelling | Tecuci, Gheorghe Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments connecting the dots Gheorghe Tecuci, David A. Schum, Dorin Marcu, Mihai Boicu New York Cambridge University Press 2016 1 Online-Ressource (xxii, 262 Seiten) txt c cr This unique book on intelligence analysis covers several vital but often overlooked topics. It teaches the evidential and inferential issues involved in 'connecting the dots' to draw defensible and persuasive conclusions from masses of evidence: from observations we make, or questions we ask, we generate alternative hypotheses; we make use of our hypotheses to generate new lines of inquiry and evidence; and we test the hypotheses on the basis of the evidence we are discovering. To facilitate the learning of these issues and enable the performance of complex analyses, the book introduces an intelligent analytical tool, called Disciple-CD. Readers will practice with Disciple-CD and learn how to formulate hypotheses; develop arguments that reduce complex hypotheses to simpler ones; collect evidence to evaluate the simplest hypotheses; assess the relevance, believability, and inferential force of evidence; and finally judge the probability of the hypotheses. Boicu, Mihai Marcu, Dorin Schum, David A. Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe 9781107122604 TUM01 ZDB-20-CTM TUM_PDA_CTM https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781316388488 Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Tecuci, Gheorghe Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments connecting the dots |
| title | Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments connecting the dots |
| title_auth | Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments connecting the dots |
| title_exact_search | Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments connecting the dots |
| title_full | Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments connecting the dots Gheorghe Tecuci, David A. Schum, Dorin Marcu, Mihai Boicu |
| title_fullStr | Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments connecting the dots Gheorghe Tecuci, David A. Schum, Dorin Marcu, Mihai Boicu |
| title_full_unstemmed | Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments connecting the dots Gheorghe Tecuci, David A. Schum, Dorin Marcu, Mihai Boicu |
| title_short | Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments |
| title_sort | intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence hypotheses and arguments connecting the dots |
| title_sub | connecting the dots |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781316388488 |
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