Tracking Economic Fluctuations in Bangladesh with Electricity Consumption

This paper investigates whether electricity consumption is a useful indicator for tracking economic fluctuations in Bangladesh. It presents monthly data on national electricity consumption since 1993 and daily consumption data since February 2010 for the country's eight divisions. National elec...

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1. Verfasser: Arshad, Selvia (VerfasserIn)
Format: Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Washington, D.C The World Bank 2022
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520 3 |a This paper investigates whether electricity consumption is a useful indicator for tracking economic fluctuations in Bangladesh. It presents monthly data on national electricity consumption since 1993 and daily consumption data since February 2010 for the country's eight divisions. National electricity consumption is strongly correlated with other high-frequency indicators of economic activity, and it has declined during natural disasters and the COVID-19 lockdowns. The paper estimates an electricity consumption model that explains over 90 percent of the variation in daily consumption based on the trend, seasonality, within-week variation, holidays, Ramadan, and temperature. Deviations from the model prediction can act as in indicator of economic fluctuations. For example, during the first COVID-19 lockdown in April 2020, electricity consumption in Dhaka fell over 40 percent compared with normal and remained below the normal level until early 2021. The later lockdowns, in contrast, had only small additional impacts, in line with less stringent containment measures and more effective adaptation 
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Tracking Economic Fluctuations in Bangladesh with Electricity Consumption Selvia Arshad
Washington, D.C The World Bank 2022
1 Online-Ressource (22 Seiten)
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This paper investigates whether electricity consumption is a useful indicator for tracking economic fluctuations in Bangladesh. It presents monthly data on national electricity consumption since 1993 and daily consumption data since February 2010 for the country's eight divisions. National electricity consumption is strongly correlated with other high-frequency indicators of economic activity, and it has declined during natural disasters and the COVID-19 lockdowns. The paper estimates an electricity consumption model that explains over 90 percent of the variation in daily consumption based on the trend, seasonality, within-week variation, holidays, Ramadan, and temperature. Deviations from the model prediction can act as in indicator of economic fluctuations. For example, during the first COVID-19 lockdown in April 2020, electricity consumption in Dhaka fell over 40 percent compared with normal and remained below the normal level until early 2021. The later lockdowns, in contrast, had only small additional impacts, in line with less stringent containment measures and more effective adaptation
Consumption
Coronavirus
COVID-19
Economic Activity Indicator
Economic Fluctuations
Economic Forecasting
Economic Indicators
Electricity Consumption
Energy
Energy Consumption
Macroeconomics and Economic Growth
Natural Disasters
Pandemic
Beyer, Robert C.M Sonstige oth
http://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/book/10.1596/1813-9450-10002 Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext
spellingShingle Arshad, Selvia
Tracking Economic Fluctuations in Bangladesh with Electricity Consumption
Consumption
Coronavirus
COVID-19
Economic Activity Indicator
Economic Fluctuations
Economic Forecasting
Economic Indicators
Electricity Consumption
Energy
Energy Consumption
Macroeconomics and Economic Growth
Natural Disasters
Pandemic
title Tracking Economic Fluctuations in Bangladesh with Electricity Consumption
title_auth Tracking Economic Fluctuations in Bangladesh with Electricity Consumption
title_exact_search Tracking Economic Fluctuations in Bangladesh with Electricity Consumption
title_exact_search_txtP Tracking Economic Fluctuations in Bangladesh with Electricity Consumption
title_full Tracking Economic Fluctuations in Bangladesh with Electricity Consumption Selvia Arshad
title_fullStr Tracking Economic Fluctuations in Bangladesh with Electricity Consumption Selvia Arshad
title_full_unstemmed Tracking Economic Fluctuations in Bangladesh with Electricity Consumption Selvia Arshad
title_short Tracking Economic Fluctuations in Bangladesh with Electricity Consumption
title_sort tracking economic fluctuations in bangladesh with electricity consumption
topic Consumption
Coronavirus
COVID-19
Economic Activity Indicator
Economic Fluctuations
Economic Forecasting
Economic Indicators
Electricity Consumption
Energy
Energy Consumption
Macroeconomics and Economic Growth
Natural Disasters
Pandemic
topic_facet Consumption
Coronavirus
COVID-19
Economic Activity Indicator
Economic Fluctuations
Economic Forecasting
Economic Indicators
Electricity Consumption
Energy
Energy Consumption
Macroeconomics and Economic Growth
Natural Disasters
Pandemic
url http://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/book/10.1596/1813-9450-10002
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