Partial Peace Rebel Groups Inside And Outside Civil War Settlements

Previous research proposes that peace is more likely to become durable if all rebel groups are included in the settlement reached. The argument implies that if actors are excluded and continue to pursue the military course, this could have a destabilizing effect on the actors that have signed an agr...

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1. Verfasser: Nilsson, Desiree (VerfasserIn)
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Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Washington, D.C The World Bank 2008
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520 3 |a Previous research proposes that peace is more likely to become durable if all rebel groups are included in the settlement reached. The argument implies that if actors are excluded and continue to pursue the military course, this could have a destabilizing effect on the actors that have signed an agreement. This article argues that all-inclusive peace deals - signed by the government and all rebel groups - are not the panacea for peace that many seem to believe. Given that the parties are strategic actors who are forward-looking when making their decisions, the signatories should anticipate that the excluded parties may continue to fight. Therefore, the risk of violent challenges from outside actors is likely to already be factored into the decision-making calculus when the signatories decide to reach a deal, and so does not affect their commitment to peace. Implications from this theoretical argument are tested using unique data on the conflict behavior of the government and each of the rebel groups in internal armed conflicts during the post-Cold War period. The results are well in line with the theoretical expectations and show that whether an agreement leaves out some actor does not affect whether the signatories stick to peace. The results demonstrate that even when excluded rebel groups engage in conflict, this does not affect the signatories' commitment to peace. Hence, the findings suggest that partial peace is possible 
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Partial Peace Rebel Groups Inside And Outside Civil War Settlements Nilsson, Desiree
Washington, D.C The World Bank 2008
1 Online-Ressource (31 Seiten))
txt rdacontent
c rdamedia
cr rdacarrier
Previous research proposes that peace is more likely to become durable if all rebel groups are included in the settlement reached. The argument implies that if actors are excluded and continue to pursue the military course, this could have a destabilizing effect on the actors that have signed an agreement. This article argues that all-inclusive peace deals - signed by the government and all rebel groups - are not the panacea for peace that many seem to believe. Given that the parties are strategic actors who are forward-looking when making their decisions, the signatories should anticipate that the excluded parties may continue to fight. Therefore, the risk of violent challenges from outside actors is likely to already be factored into the decision-making calculus when the signatories decide to reach a deal, and so does not affect their commitment to peace. Implications from this theoretical argument are tested using unique data on the conflict behavior of the government and each of the rebel groups in internal armed conflicts during the post-Cold War period. The results are well in line with the theoretical expectations and show that whether an agreement leaves out some actor does not affect whether the signatories stick to peace. The results demonstrate that even when excluded rebel groups engage in conflict, this does not affect the signatories' commitment to peace. Hence, the findings suggest that partial peace is possible
Online-Ausg
Armed conflict
Armed conflicts
Civil War
Civil wars
Conflict
Conflict Research
Conflict and Development
Peace
Peace agreements
Peace and Peacekeeping
Post Conflict Reconstruction
Post Conflict Reintegration
Rebel
Violence
Nilsson, Desiree Sonstige oth
Nilsson, Desiree Partial Peace Rebel Groups Inside And Outside Civil War Settlements
http://elibrary.worldbank.org/content/workingpaper/10.1596/1813-9450-4572 Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext
spellingShingle Nilsson, Desiree
Partial Peace Rebel Groups Inside And Outside Civil War Settlements
Armed conflict
Armed conflicts
Civil War
Civil wars
Conflict
Conflict Research
Conflict and Development
Peace
Peace agreements
Peace and Peacekeeping
Post Conflict Reconstruction
Post Conflict Reintegration
Rebel
Violence
title Partial Peace Rebel Groups Inside And Outside Civil War Settlements
title_auth Partial Peace Rebel Groups Inside And Outside Civil War Settlements
title_exact_search Partial Peace Rebel Groups Inside And Outside Civil War Settlements
title_exact_search_txtP Partial Peace Rebel Groups Inside And Outside Civil War Settlements
title_full Partial Peace Rebel Groups Inside And Outside Civil War Settlements Nilsson, Desiree
title_fullStr Partial Peace Rebel Groups Inside And Outside Civil War Settlements Nilsson, Desiree
title_full_unstemmed Partial Peace Rebel Groups Inside And Outside Civil War Settlements Nilsson, Desiree
title_short Partial Peace Rebel Groups Inside And Outside Civil War Settlements
title_sort partial peace rebel groups inside and outside civil war settlements
topic Armed conflict
Armed conflicts
Civil War
Civil wars
Conflict
Conflict Research
Conflict and Development
Peace
Peace agreements
Peace and Peacekeeping
Post Conflict Reconstruction
Post Conflict Reintegration
Rebel
Violence
topic_facet Armed conflict
Armed conflicts
Civil War
Civil wars
Conflict
Conflict Research
Conflict and Development
Peace
Peace agreements
Peace and Peacekeeping
Post Conflict Reconstruction
Post Conflict Reintegration
Rebel
Violence
url http://elibrary.worldbank.org/content/workingpaper/10.1596/1813-9450-4572
work_keys_str_mv AT nilssondesiree partialpeacerebelgroupsinsideandoutsidecivilwarsettlements