Does Inflation Slow Long-Run Growth in India?
This paper examines the long-run relationship between consumer price index industrial workers (CPI-IW) inflation and GDP growth in India. We collect data on a sample of 14 Indian states over the period 1989�2013, and use the cross-sectionally augmented distributed lag (CSDL) approach of Chudik et al...
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
International Monetary Fund
2014
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Schriftenreihe: | IMF Working Papers: Working Paper No. 14 / 222
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Online-Zugang: | DE-20 DE-824 DE-70 DE-155 DE-29 DE-22 DE-473 DE-1102 DE-703 DE-859 DE-706 DE-384 DE-860 DE-19 DE-739 DE-355 DE-Aug4 DE-1049 DE-12 DE-91 URL des Erstveröffentlichers |
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Zusammenfassung: | This paper examines the long-run relationship between consumer price index industrial workers (CPI-IW) inflation and GDP growth in India. We collect data on a sample of 14 Indian states over the period 1989�2013, and use the cross-sectionally augmented distributed lag (CSDL) approach of Chudik et al. (2013) as well as the standard panel ARDL method for estimation�to account for cross-state heterogeneity and dependence, dynamics and feedback effects. Our findings suggest that, on average, there is a negative long-run relationship between inflation and economic growth in India. We also find statistically-significant inflation-growth threshold effects in the case of states with persistently-elevated inflation rates of above 5.5 percent. This suggest the need for the Reserve Bank of India to balance the short-term growthinflation trade-off, in light of the long-term negative effects on growth of persistently-high inflation |
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Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (19 p) |
ISBN: | 1498399983 9781498399982 |