Conflict and Poverty

This paper analyzes the relationship between poverty and conflict in the macro and regional data, including a detailed case study of Uganda. The paper relies on a large and growing literature that provides evidence on the devastating impact that conflict has on health and expectations. Based on this...

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1. Verfasser: Mueller, Hannes 1978- (VerfasserIn)
Format: Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Washington, D.C The World Bank 2020
Schriftenreihe:World Bank E-Library Archive
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520 |a This paper analyzes the relationship between poverty and conflict in the macro and regional data, including a detailed case study of Uganda. The paper relies on a large and growing literature that provides evidence on the devastating impact that conflict has on health and expectations. Based on this evidence, it develops a statistical framework to track the cumulative long-term impact that armed conflict has on poverty, which the paper calls conflict debt. The data confirm that contemporaneous conflict leads to a conflict debt which is only recovered slowly. The empirical model is not only a good description of the cross-country aggregate poverty time-series data, but also regional cross-sectional data. A new aspect in the model is that armed conflict can prevent poverty reduction and, once it is over, allow for strong catch-up effects as they exist in the data. But in the most conflict-ridden countries, repeated cycles of violence prevent poverty from recovering. According to the most conservative estimates, these countries and regions would have 5-10 percentage points lower poverty rates without their conflict debt 
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spellingShingle Mueller, Hannes 1978-
Conflict and Poverty
title Conflict and Poverty
title_auth Conflict and Poverty
title_exact_search Conflict and Poverty
title_full Conflict and Poverty Hannes Mueller
title_fullStr Conflict and Poverty Hannes Mueller
title_full_unstemmed Conflict and Poverty Hannes Mueller
title_short Conflict and Poverty
title_sort conflict and poverty
url https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-9455
work_keys_str_mv AT muellerhannes conflictandpoverty
AT techasunthornwatchanon conflictandpoverty