China's Economic New Normal Growth, Structure, and Momentum

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1. Verfasser: Cai, Fang (VerfasserIn)
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Veröffentlicht: Singapore Springer Singapore Pte. Limited 2020
Schriftenreihe:Research Series on the Chinese Dream and China's Development Path Ser
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505 8 |a Intro -- Foreword -- Series Preface -- Contents -- 1 New Normal Brings New Opportunities -- 1 What Are the Causes of China's Economic Slowdown? -- 2 Further Demand Stimulation Is a Recipe for Disaster -- 3 Reform Toward a New Environment for Creative Destruction -- 2 Understanding and Adapting to the New Normal -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Causes of the Shift Toward the New Normal -- 2.1 China's New Normal Is a Result of the Decreasing Efficiency of Resource Allocation -- 3 The Inevitability of the New Normal -- 1 Where Is the Point of Equilibrium for Medium-to-High Growth? -- 2 When Will We Reach the Equilibrium Point? -- 3 Nonnegligible Peak Demand -- 4 Questions to Be Answered -- 5 Reforms and an Increase in the Potential Growth Rate -- 4 Global Economic Outlook in the Era of China's New Normal -- 5 Global Competition in Reform Under the New Normal -- 1 The New Normal of Developed Economies: Long-term Stagnation -- 2 Global Competition in Reform -- 2.1 New Connotations in the Period of Strategic Opportunity for China's Development Under the New Normal -- 2.2 Global Reform Competition -- 6 Structural Adjustments Under the New Normal -- 1 The New Normal: A Result of Natural Selection Featuring Lower Growth and Higher Risks -- 1.1 China: A Declining Growth Rate -- 1.2 Decline in the Potential Growth Rate and the Contribution of Total Factor Productivity -- 1.3 China: A Positive Credit-to-GDP Gap Versus a Negative Output Gap -- 1.4 A Downward Trend in External Demand After the Financial Crisis -- 1.5 China: Credit's Weakening Role in Driving GDP Growth and the Decline in Investment Growth -- 1.6 China: Credit Expansion and Deviation from Equilibrium -- 1.7 China: Increases in Credit Risk, Macroeconomic Risk, and Market Liquidity Risk -- 1.8 Uncertainty About the Timing and Degree of US and Japanese Rate Hikes 
505 8 |a 1.9 Reversion of Arbitrage Trading Returns and the Rising Pressure of Domestic Currency Depreciation -- 1.10 China: Risks of Shrinking Real Estate Investment and Further Decline of the Economic Growth Rate -- 2 Ways Out: Enormous Room for Structural Adjustments Toward Sustainable Growth -- 2.1 Room for the Expansion of China's Consumption -- 2.2 Room for the Expansion of China's Services -- 2.3 Room for Improvement in China's Trade Integration -- 2.4 Room for the Expansion of China's Financial Market -- 2.5 Room for the Restructuring of China's Financial Market -- 2.6 Room for an Increase in China's Household Debt -- 2.7 Room for the Equity Expansion of China's Non-financial Enterprises -- 3 Conclusions -- 7 China's New Normal and Deceleration Governance -- 1 The New Normal of the Chinese Economy -- 1.1 Characteristics of China's New Normal -- 1.2 The New Normal as Transition to Efficient Equilibrium -- 2 The Impacts and Superimposed Effects of Deceleration -- 2.1 Impact 1: Inverted U-Shaped Capital Growth -- 2.2 Impact 2: Inverted U-Shaped Workforce Growth -- 2.3 Impact 3: Decrease in the Learning-by-Doing Effect -- 2.4 Other Factors Superimposed on Deceleration -- 3 The Decline in Total Factor Productivity and Resource Allocation Efficiency -- 3.1 Capital Mismatch and TFP Decline -- 3.2 Estimates of China's TFP Growth -- 3.3 Institutional Explanations for Low Efficiency and the Governance of Growth Deceleration -- 4 Conclusions -- 4.1 Deceleration Governance -- 4.2 Structural Adjustment of Capital Stocks -- Reference -- 8 Aspects of the Middle Income Trap -- 1 The Inevitable Deceleration of Growth -- 2 The Paradox of the Middle Income Trap -- 3 Defining the Middle Income Trap -- 4 The Probability of Falling into the Middle Income Trap -- 5 Conclusions -- References -- 9 Positive Changes in China's Economic Structure 
505 8 |a 10 Productivity Under the New Normal: Latest Estimates and Interpretations of China's Total Factor Productivity -- 1 Introduction: Economic Deceleration and Productivity Under Structural Adjustment -- 2 Total Factor Productivity as an Institutional Issue -- 3 Cross-Subsidization in the Chinese Economy: An Exploratory Conceptual Framework -- 4 Research Objectives -- 5 Basic Statistics, Groupings, and Staging -- 6 Growth Accounting Methods -- 7 The Principle of Theoretical, Methodological, and Statistical Consistency -- 8 Estimates of Industrial/Sectoral Total Factor Productivity -- 9 APPF Estimates of Total Factor Productivity -- 10 Domar-Weighted Decomposition of China's TFP into Sectoral and Factor-Reallocation Effects -- 11 Conclusions -- References -- 11 New Trends and Determinants of China's Income Gap -- References -- 12 Changes in China's Labor Share: Estimation and Interpretation -- 1 The Labor Share Dispute -- 2 Changes in China's Labor Share: Estimates and Interpretations -- 3 Conclusion -- 13 Reform the Distribution System to Boost the Growth of Consumption -- 1 Changes in China's Share of Consumption -- 2 Correlation Between the Income Gap and Changes in the Shares of Consumption -- 3 China's Income and Wealth Gaps: A Predictive Point of View -- 4 Suggestions for Adjusting Income Distribution to Boost Consumption -- 14 Income Distribution and Economic Transformation -- 1 An Introduction to the China Household Finance Survey -- 2 The Status Quo of Income Distribution in China -- 3 Uneven Income Distribution: The Fundamental Reason for Sluggish Consumption -- 4 Transfer Payments and Economic Transformation -- 5 Conclusions -- 15 The Potential Growth Rate of the Chinese Economy -- Reference 
650 4 |a China-Economic conditions-2000--Congresses 
700 1 |a Chen, Fuyu  |e Sonstige  |4 oth 
776 0 8 |i Erscheint auch als  |n Druck-Ausgabe  |a Cai, Fang  |t China's Economic New Normal  |d Singapore : Springer Singapore Pte. Limited,c2020  |z 9789811532269 
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Datensatz im Suchindex

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author Cai, Fang
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contents Intro -- Foreword -- Series Preface -- Contents -- 1 New Normal Brings New Opportunities -- 1 What Are the Causes of China's Economic Slowdown? -- 2 Further Demand Stimulation Is a Recipe for Disaster -- 3 Reform Toward a New Environment for Creative Destruction -- 2 Understanding and Adapting to the New Normal -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Causes of the Shift Toward the New Normal -- 2.1 China's New Normal Is a Result of the Decreasing Efficiency of Resource Allocation -- 3 The Inevitability of the New Normal -- 1 Where Is the Point of Equilibrium for Medium-to-High Growth? -- 2 When Will We Reach the Equilibrium Point? -- 3 Nonnegligible Peak Demand -- 4 Questions to Be Answered -- 5 Reforms and an Increase in the Potential Growth Rate -- 4 Global Economic Outlook in the Era of China's New Normal -- 5 Global Competition in Reform Under the New Normal -- 1 The New Normal of Developed Economies: Long-term Stagnation -- 2 Global Competition in Reform -- 2.1 New Connotations in the Period of Strategic Opportunity for China's Development Under the New Normal -- 2.2 Global Reform Competition -- 6 Structural Adjustments Under the New Normal -- 1 The New Normal: A Result of Natural Selection Featuring Lower Growth and Higher Risks -- 1.1 China: A Declining Growth Rate -- 1.2 Decline in the Potential Growth Rate and the Contribution of Total Factor Productivity -- 1.3 China: A Positive Credit-to-GDP Gap Versus a Negative Output Gap -- 1.4 A Downward Trend in External Demand After the Financial Crisis -- 1.5 China: Credit's Weakening Role in Driving GDP Growth and the Decline in Investment Growth -- 1.6 China: Credit Expansion and Deviation from Equilibrium -- 1.7 China: Increases in Credit Risk, Macroeconomic Risk, and Market Liquidity Risk -- 1.8 Uncertainty About the Timing and Degree of US and Japanese Rate Hikes
1.9 Reversion of Arbitrage Trading Returns and the Rising Pressure of Domestic Currency Depreciation -- 1.10 China: Risks of Shrinking Real Estate Investment and Further Decline of the Economic Growth Rate -- 2 Ways Out: Enormous Room for Structural Adjustments Toward Sustainable Growth -- 2.1 Room for the Expansion of China's Consumption -- 2.2 Room for the Expansion of China's Services -- 2.3 Room for Improvement in China's Trade Integration -- 2.4 Room for the Expansion of China's Financial Market -- 2.5 Room for the Restructuring of China's Financial Market -- 2.6 Room for an Increase in China's Household Debt -- 2.7 Room for the Equity Expansion of China's Non-financial Enterprises -- 3 Conclusions -- 7 China's New Normal and Deceleration Governance -- 1 The New Normal of the Chinese Economy -- 1.1 Characteristics of China's New Normal -- 1.2 The New Normal as Transition to Efficient Equilibrium -- 2 The Impacts and Superimposed Effects of Deceleration -- 2.1 Impact 1: Inverted U-Shaped Capital Growth -- 2.2 Impact 2: Inverted U-Shaped Workforce Growth -- 2.3 Impact 3: Decrease in the Learning-by-Doing Effect -- 2.4 Other Factors Superimposed on Deceleration -- 3 The Decline in Total Factor Productivity and Resource Allocation Efficiency -- 3.1 Capital Mismatch and TFP Decline -- 3.2 Estimates of China's TFP Growth -- 3.3 Institutional Explanations for Low Efficiency and the Governance of Growth Deceleration -- 4 Conclusions -- 4.1 Deceleration Governance -- 4.2 Structural Adjustment of Capital Stocks -- Reference -- 8 Aspects of the Middle Income Trap -- 1 The Inevitable Deceleration of Growth -- 2 The Paradox of the Middle Income Trap -- 3 Defining the Middle Income Trap -- 4 The Probability of Falling into the Middle Income Trap -- 5 Conclusions -- References -- 9 Positive Changes in China's Economic Structure
10 Productivity Under the New Normal: Latest Estimates and Interpretations of China's Total Factor Productivity -- 1 Introduction: Economic Deceleration and Productivity Under Structural Adjustment -- 2 Total Factor Productivity as an Institutional Issue -- 3 Cross-Subsidization in the Chinese Economy: An Exploratory Conceptual Framework -- 4 Research Objectives -- 5 Basic Statistics, Groupings, and Staging -- 6 Growth Accounting Methods -- 7 The Principle of Theoretical, Methodological, and Statistical Consistency -- 8 Estimates of Industrial/Sectoral Total Factor Productivity -- 9 APPF Estimates of Total Factor Productivity -- 10 Domar-Weighted Decomposition of China's TFP into Sectoral and Factor-Reallocation Effects -- 11 Conclusions -- References -- 11 New Trends and Determinants of China's Income Gap -- References -- 12 Changes in China's Labor Share: Estimation and Interpretation -- 1 The Labor Share Dispute -- 2 Changes in China's Labor Share: Estimates and Interpretations -- 3 Conclusion -- 13 Reform the Distribution System to Boost the Growth of Consumption -- 1 Changes in China's Share of Consumption -- 2 Correlation Between the Income Gap and Changes in the Shares of Consumption -- 3 China's Income and Wealth Gaps: A Predictive Point of View -- 4 Suggestions for Adjusting Income Distribution to Boost Consumption -- 14 Income Distribution and Economic Transformation -- 1 An Introduction to the China Household Finance Survey -- 2 The Status Quo of Income Distribution in China -- 3 Uneven Income Distribution: The Fundamental Reason for Sluggish Consumption -- 4 Transfer Payments and Economic Transformation -- 5 Conclusions -- 15 The Potential Growth Rate of the Chinese Economy -- Reference
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China's Economic New Normal Growth, Structure, and Momentum
Singapore Springer Singapore Pte. Limited 2020
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1 Online-Ressource (168 pages)
txt rdacontent
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Research Series on the Chinese Dream and China's Development Path Ser
Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources
Intro -- Foreword -- Series Preface -- Contents -- 1 New Normal Brings New Opportunities -- 1 What Are the Causes of China's Economic Slowdown? -- 2 Further Demand Stimulation Is a Recipe for Disaster -- 3 Reform Toward a New Environment for Creative Destruction -- 2 Understanding and Adapting to the New Normal -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Causes of the Shift Toward the New Normal -- 2.1 China's New Normal Is a Result of the Decreasing Efficiency of Resource Allocation -- 3 The Inevitability of the New Normal -- 1 Where Is the Point of Equilibrium for Medium-to-High Growth? -- 2 When Will We Reach the Equilibrium Point? -- 3 Nonnegligible Peak Demand -- 4 Questions to Be Answered -- 5 Reforms and an Increase in the Potential Growth Rate -- 4 Global Economic Outlook in the Era of China's New Normal -- 5 Global Competition in Reform Under the New Normal -- 1 The New Normal of Developed Economies: Long-term Stagnation -- 2 Global Competition in Reform -- 2.1 New Connotations in the Period of Strategic Opportunity for China's Development Under the New Normal -- 2.2 Global Reform Competition -- 6 Structural Adjustments Under the New Normal -- 1 The New Normal: A Result of Natural Selection Featuring Lower Growth and Higher Risks -- 1.1 China: A Declining Growth Rate -- 1.2 Decline in the Potential Growth Rate and the Contribution of Total Factor Productivity -- 1.3 China: A Positive Credit-to-GDP Gap Versus a Negative Output Gap -- 1.4 A Downward Trend in External Demand After the Financial Crisis -- 1.5 China: Credit's Weakening Role in Driving GDP Growth and the Decline in Investment Growth -- 1.6 China: Credit Expansion and Deviation from Equilibrium -- 1.7 China: Increases in Credit Risk, Macroeconomic Risk, and Market Liquidity Risk -- 1.8 Uncertainty About the Timing and Degree of US and Japanese Rate Hikes
1.9 Reversion of Arbitrage Trading Returns and the Rising Pressure of Domestic Currency Depreciation -- 1.10 China: Risks of Shrinking Real Estate Investment and Further Decline of the Economic Growth Rate -- 2 Ways Out: Enormous Room for Structural Adjustments Toward Sustainable Growth -- 2.1 Room for the Expansion of China's Consumption -- 2.2 Room for the Expansion of China's Services -- 2.3 Room for Improvement in China's Trade Integration -- 2.4 Room for the Expansion of China's Financial Market -- 2.5 Room for the Restructuring of China's Financial Market -- 2.6 Room for an Increase in China's Household Debt -- 2.7 Room for the Equity Expansion of China's Non-financial Enterprises -- 3 Conclusions -- 7 China's New Normal and Deceleration Governance -- 1 The New Normal of the Chinese Economy -- 1.1 Characteristics of China's New Normal -- 1.2 The New Normal as Transition to Efficient Equilibrium -- 2 The Impacts and Superimposed Effects of Deceleration -- 2.1 Impact 1: Inverted U-Shaped Capital Growth -- 2.2 Impact 2: Inverted U-Shaped Workforce Growth -- 2.3 Impact 3: Decrease in the Learning-by-Doing Effect -- 2.4 Other Factors Superimposed on Deceleration -- 3 The Decline in Total Factor Productivity and Resource Allocation Efficiency -- 3.1 Capital Mismatch and TFP Decline -- 3.2 Estimates of China's TFP Growth -- 3.3 Institutional Explanations for Low Efficiency and the Governance of Growth Deceleration -- 4 Conclusions -- 4.1 Deceleration Governance -- 4.2 Structural Adjustment of Capital Stocks -- Reference -- 8 Aspects of the Middle Income Trap -- 1 The Inevitable Deceleration of Growth -- 2 The Paradox of the Middle Income Trap -- 3 Defining the Middle Income Trap -- 4 The Probability of Falling into the Middle Income Trap -- 5 Conclusions -- References -- 9 Positive Changes in China's Economic Structure
10 Productivity Under the New Normal: Latest Estimates and Interpretations of China's Total Factor Productivity -- 1 Introduction: Economic Deceleration and Productivity Under Structural Adjustment -- 2 Total Factor Productivity as an Institutional Issue -- 3 Cross-Subsidization in the Chinese Economy: An Exploratory Conceptual Framework -- 4 Research Objectives -- 5 Basic Statistics, Groupings, and Staging -- 6 Growth Accounting Methods -- 7 The Principle of Theoretical, Methodological, and Statistical Consistency -- 8 Estimates of Industrial/Sectoral Total Factor Productivity -- 9 APPF Estimates of Total Factor Productivity -- 10 Domar-Weighted Decomposition of China's TFP into Sectoral and Factor-Reallocation Effects -- 11 Conclusions -- References -- 11 New Trends and Determinants of China's Income Gap -- References -- 12 Changes in China's Labor Share: Estimation and Interpretation -- 1 The Labor Share Dispute -- 2 Changes in China's Labor Share: Estimates and Interpretations -- 3 Conclusion -- 13 Reform the Distribution System to Boost the Growth of Consumption -- 1 Changes in China's Share of Consumption -- 2 Correlation Between the Income Gap and Changes in the Shares of Consumption -- 3 China's Income and Wealth Gaps: A Predictive Point of View -- 4 Suggestions for Adjusting Income Distribution to Boost Consumption -- 14 Income Distribution and Economic Transformation -- 1 An Introduction to the China Household Finance Survey -- 2 The Status Quo of Income Distribution in China -- 3 Uneven Income Distribution: The Fundamental Reason for Sluggish Consumption -- 4 Transfer Payments and Economic Transformation -- 5 Conclusions -- 15 The Potential Growth Rate of the Chinese Economy -- Reference
China-Economic conditions-2000--Congresses
Chen, Fuyu Sonstige oth
Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe Cai, Fang China's Economic New Normal Singapore : Springer Singapore Pte. Limited,c2020 9789811532269
spellingShingle Cai, Fang
China's Economic New Normal Growth, Structure, and Momentum
Intro -- Foreword -- Series Preface -- Contents -- 1 New Normal Brings New Opportunities -- 1 What Are the Causes of China's Economic Slowdown? -- 2 Further Demand Stimulation Is a Recipe for Disaster -- 3 Reform Toward a New Environment for Creative Destruction -- 2 Understanding and Adapting to the New Normal -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Causes of the Shift Toward the New Normal -- 2.1 China's New Normal Is a Result of the Decreasing Efficiency of Resource Allocation -- 3 The Inevitability of the New Normal -- 1 Where Is the Point of Equilibrium for Medium-to-High Growth? -- 2 When Will We Reach the Equilibrium Point? -- 3 Nonnegligible Peak Demand -- 4 Questions to Be Answered -- 5 Reforms and an Increase in the Potential Growth Rate -- 4 Global Economic Outlook in the Era of China's New Normal -- 5 Global Competition in Reform Under the New Normal -- 1 The New Normal of Developed Economies: Long-term Stagnation -- 2 Global Competition in Reform -- 2.1 New Connotations in the Period of Strategic Opportunity for China's Development Under the New Normal -- 2.2 Global Reform Competition -- 6 Structural Adjustments Under the New Normal -- 1 The New Normal: A Result of Natural Selection Featuring Lower Growth and Higher Risks -- 1.1 China: A Declining Growth Rate -- 1.2 Decline in the Potential Growth Rate and the Contribution of Total Factor Productivity -- 1.3 China: A Positive Credit-to-GDP Gap Versus a Negative Output Gap -- 1.4 A Downward Trend in External Demand After the Financial Crisis -- 1.5 China: Credit's Weakening Role in Driving GDP Growth and the Decline in Investment Growth -- 1.6 China: Credit Expansion and Deviation from Equilibrium -- 1.7 China: Increases in Credit Risk, Macroeconomic Risk, and Market Liquidity Risk -- 1.8 Uncertainty About the Timing and Degree of US and Japanese Rate Hikes
1.9 Reversion of Arbitrage Trading Returns and the Rising Pressure of Domestic Currency Depreciation -- 1.10 China: Risks of Shrinking Real Estate Investment and Further Decline of the Economic Growth Rate -- 2 Ways Out: Enormous Room for Structural Adjustments Toward Sustainable Growth -- 2.1 Room for the Expansion of China's Consumption -- 2.2 Room for the Expansion of China's Services -- 2.3 Room for Improvement in China's Trade Integration -- 2.4 Room for the Expansion of China's Financial Market -- 2.5 Room for the Restructuring of China's Financial Market -- 2.6 Room for an Increase in China's Household Debt -- 2.7 Room for the Equity Expansion of China's Non-financial Enterprises -- 3 Conclusions -- 7 China's New Normal and Deceleration Governance -- 1 The New Normal of the Chinese Economy -- 1.1 Characteristics of China's New Normal -- 1.2 The New Normal as Transition to Efficient Equilibrium -- 2 The Impacts and Superimposed Effects of Deceleration -- 2.1 Impact 1: Inverted U-Shaped Capital Growth -- 2.2 Impact 2: Inverted U-Shaped Workforce Growth -- 2.3 Impact 3: Decrease in the Learning-by-Doing Effect -- 2.4 Other Factors Superimposed on Deceleration -- 3 The Decline in Total Factor Productivity and Resource Allocation Efficiency -- 3.1 Capital Mismatch and TFP Decline -- 3.2 Estimates of China's TFP Growth -- 3.3 Institutional Explanations for Low Efficiency and the Governance of Growth Deceleration -- 4 Conclusions -- 4.1 Deceleration Governance -- 4.2 Structural Adjustment of Capital Stocks -- Reference -- 8 Aspects of the Middle Income Trap -- 1 The Inevitable Deceleration of Growth -- 2 The Paradox of the Middle Income Trap -- 3 Defining the Middle Income Trap -- 4 The Probability of Falling into the Middle Income Trap -- 5 Conclusions -- References -- 9 Positive Changes in China's Economic Structure
10 Productivity Under the New Normal: Latest Estimates and Interpretations of China's Total Factor Productivity -- 1 Introduction: Economic Deceleration and Productivity Under Structural Adjustment -- 2 Total Factor Productivity as an Institutional Issue -- 3 Cross-Subsidization in the Chinese Economy: An Exploratory Conceptual Framework -- 4 Research Objectives -- 5 Basic Statistics, Groupings, and Staging -- 6 Growth Accounting Methods -- 7 The Principle of Theoretical, Methodological, and Statistical Consistency -- 8 Estimates of Industrial/Sectoral Total Factor Productivity -- 9 APPF Estimates of Total Factor Productivity -- 10 Domar-Weighted Decomposition of China's TFP into Sectoral and Factor-Reallocation Effects -- 11 Conclusions -- References -- 11 New Trends and Determinants of China's Income Gap -- References -- 12 Changes in China's Labor Share: Estimation and Interpretation -- 1 The Labor Share Dispute -- 2 Changes in China's Labor Share: Estimates and Interpretations -- 3 Conclusion -- 13 Reform the Distribution System to Boost the Growth of Consumption -- 1 Changes in China's Share of Consumption -- 2 Correlation Between the Income Gap and Changes in the Shares of Consumption -- 3 China's Income and Wealth Gaps: A Predictive Point of View -- 4 Suggestions for Adjusting Income Distribution to Boost Consumption -- 14 Income Distribution and Economic Transformation -- 1 An Introduction to the China Household Finance Survey -- 2 The Status Quo of Income Distribution in China -- 3 Uneven Income Distribution: The Fundamental Reason for Sluggish Consumption -- 4 Transfer Payments and Economic Transformation -- 5 Conclusions -- 15 The Potential Growth Rate of the Chinese Economy -- Reference
China-Economic conditions-2000--Congresses
title China's Economic New Normal Growth, Structure, and Momentum
title_auth China's Economic New Normal Growth, Structure, and Momentum
title_exact_search China's Economic New Normal Growth, Structure, and Momentum
title_exact_search_txtP China's Economic New Normal Growth, Structure, and Momentum
title_full China's Economic New Normal Growth, Structure, and Momentum
title_fullStr China's Economic New Normal Growth, Structure, and Momentum
title_full_unstemmed China's Economic New Normal Growth, Structure, and Momentum
title_short China's Economic New Normal
title_sort china s economic new normal growth structure and momentum
title_sub Growth, Structure, and Momentum
topic China-Economic conditions-2000--Congresses
topic_facet China-Economic conditions-2000--Congresses
work_keys_str_mv AT caifang chinaseconomicnewnormalgrowthstructureandmomentum
AT chenfuyu chinaseconomicnewnormalgrowthstructureandmomentum