Beyond Stranded Assets Climate Strategies of Fossil Fuel-Dependent Countries

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Bibliographische Detailangaben
1. Verfasser:	Peszko, Grzegorz (VerfasserIn)
Format:	Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:	English
Veröffentlicht:	Washington, D. C. World Bank Publications 2020
Schriftenreihe:	Climate Change and Development Ser
Schlagworte:	Carbon dioxide mitigation-Government policy.. Climatic changes-Government policy.. Energy policy-Environmental aspects
Tags:	Tag hinzufügen Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!

Inhaltsangabe:

Front Cover
Contents
Acknowledgments
Executive Summary
Abbreviations
Chapter 1. Introduction
Notes
References
Chapter 2. Challenges, Risks, and Opportunities of a Low-Carbon Transition
Existing Challenges for FFDCs
New Risks for FFDCs
An LCT: Smooth Sailing or Tipping Points?
Notes
References
Chapter 3. Potential Impacts on Different Sectors and Countries
Coal Sector
Oil and Gas Sectors
Refineries
Carbon-Intensive Manufacturing: Steel and Cement
Why Focus on Sovereigns and State-Owned Enterprises?
Notes
References
Chapter 4. Strategic Framework for Dealing with the Potential Impacts of a Low-Carbon Transition
Diversification Options for FFDCs
Options for Climate Action and Cooperation
Notes
References
Chapter 5. Preparedness for a Low-Carbon Transition
Measuring Preparedness for an LCT
Exposure
Resilience
Notes
References
Chapter 6. Charting the Future
Assessing Uncertain Impacts and Preparedness for Managing a Low-Carbon Transition
Developing Strategies to Manage an LCT
Strategies for Cooperation in International Climate Initiatives
Notes
References
7. Conclusions
Boxes
Box 1.1 Climate Response Measures in the UNFCCC Documents
Box 2.1 The Oil Price Collapse and the "Reverse Resource Curse"
Box 2.2 Climate-Related Risks to Financial and Economic Stability
Box 3.1 Coal Transport Infrastructure: Risk of Stranded Assets in Mozambique
Box 4.1 Empirical Evidence for Export Diversification
Box 4.2 Classification of Assets and Capital
Box 4.3 Traditional View on Price-Based Cooperative Policy Instruments under the Paris Agreement
Box 4.4 Wellhead Carbon Tax
Box 5.1 Principal Component Analysis (PCA)
Box 5.2 Indicator of Economic Complexity
Box 5.3 Significance of Technological Openness
Box 6.1 Tools to Aid Decision-Making under Uncertainty
Box 6.2 Harrigan's Model of Firms' Strategies in Declining Industries
Box 6.3 Statoil (Now Equinor) Strategic Framework
Box 6.4 The Decline of the UK Coal Industry
Figures
Figure ES.1 How a Low-Carbon Transition Could Unfold and How FFDCs Could Prepare for It
Figure ES.2 Two Broad Diversification Strategies
Figure ES.3 Fossil Fuel Rents as a Share of GDP for 10 Top Fuel Producers, 2013-17
Figure ES.4 Countries' Preparedness for a Low-Carbon Transition
Figure 2.1 How a Low-Carbon Transition Could Unfold and How FFDCs Could Prepare for It
Figure 2.2 Nonhydro Renewables Share of Power Generation by Region
Figure 3.1 Coal Reserves-to-Production Ratios
Figure 3.2 Fossil Fuel Rents as a Share of GDP for 10 Top Fuel Producers, 2013-17
Figure 3.3 Breakdown of Coal Sector Cash Flow, 2011-50
Figure 3.4 Oil Reserves-to-Production Ratios
Figure 3.5 Gas Reserves-to-Production Ratios
Figure 3.6 Room for New Oil and Gas Field Development in 2-Degree Celsius IEA Scenarios
Figure 3.7 Global Oil Supply Cost Curve and Break-Even Prices
Figure 3.8 Domestic Consumption of Cement in China and India
Figure 3.9 Shares in Expected Revenue from Oil and Gas between 2013 and 2050
Figure 3.10 Export Revenues from Fossil Fuels as a Share of Total Export Revenues for the Top 10 Most Dependent Countries (2013-17)
Figure 4.1 Two Broad Diversification Strategies
Figure B4.1.1 Relationship between Export Concentration and GDP per Capita Growth (1961-2000)
Figure 4.2 Importance of Public Institutions for the Asset Index
Figure 4.3 Long-Term Impact of Different Strategies on GDP in FFDCs under Different Climate and Trade Policy Scenarios
Figure 5.1 Countries' Preparedness for a Low-Carbon Transition
Figure 5.2 Resource Rents as a Share of GNI, 2016
Figure 5.3 Ratio of Committed Emissions from Power Generation (to 2020) to Current Generation Capacity
Figure B5.2.1 Economic Complexity and Variance in GDP per Capita
Figure 6.1 More than Divestment: Multiple Strategies Will Help Fossil Fuel-Dependent Countries Navigate the Risks and Harness the Opportunities of a Low-Carbon Transition
Figure 6.2 Strategy-Development Process for Countries and Fossil Fuel-Dependent SOEs
Tables
Table 4.1 Choices of Possible Instruments of Climate Cooperation Strategies
Table B5.1.1 Structure of Index of Preparedness for Climate Response Measure
Table 5.1 Exposure Indicators for Selected Fossil Fuel-Dependent Countries
Table 5.2 Economic Resilience Indicators
Table 5.3 Indicators of Resilience to External Shocks for Fossil Fuel-Dependent Countries and Other Selected Countries
Table B6.2.1 Matrix of External Determinants of Successful Strategies of Firms in Declining Industries
Table 6.1 Matrix of Determinants of Success of the Strategies of Fossil Fuel-Dependent Firms

Beyond Stranded Assets Climate Strategies of Fossil Fuel-Dependent Countries

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