Lost in a Gallup polling failure in U.S. presidential elections

"Donald Trump's unexpected victory in the 2016 U.S. presidential election brought sweeping criticism of election polls and poll-based statistical forecasts, which had signaled that Hillary Clinton would win the White House. Surprise ran deep in 2016, but it was not unprecedented. Lost in a...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Gespeichert in:
Bibliographische Detailangaben
1. Verfasser: Campbell, W. Joseph 1952- (VerfasserIn)
Format: Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Oakland, California University of California Press [2020]
Schlagworte:
Online-Zugang:BSB01
UBG01
URL des Erstveröffentlichers
Tags: Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!

MARC

LEADER 00000nmm a2200000 c 4500
001 BV047491764
003 DE-604
005 20220104
007 cr|uuu---uuuuu
008 211001s2020 |||| o||u| ||||||eng d
020 |a 9780520972131  |c Online, PDF  |9 978-0-520-97213-1 
024 7 |a 10.1525/9780520972131  |2 doi 
035 |a (ZDB-23-PLW)9780520972131 
035 |a (ZDB-30-PQE)EBC6270706 
035 |a (OCoLC)1277017455 
035 |a (DE-599)BVBBV047491764 
040 |a DE-604  |b ger  |e rda 
041 0 |a eng 
049 |a DE-12  |a DE-473 
082 0 |a 324.973 
100 1 |a Campbell, W. Joseph  |d 1952-  |e Verfasser  |0 (DE-588)132397080  |4 aut 
245 1 0 |a Lost in a Gallup  |b polling failure in U.S. presidential elections  |c W. Joseph Campbell 
264 1 |a Oakland, California  |b University of California Press  |c [2020] 
264 4 |c © 2020 
300 |a 1 Online-Ressource (xv, 318 Seiten)  |b Illustrationen 
336 |b txt  |2 rdacontent 
337 |b c  |2 rdamedia 
338 |b cr  |2 rdacarrier 
520 3 |a "Donald Trump's unexpected victory in the 2016 U.S. presidential election brought sweeping criticism of election polls and poll-based statistical forecasts, which had signaled that Hillary Clinton would win the White House. Surprise ran deep in 2016, but it was not unprecedented. Lost in a Gallup examines in lively and engaging fashion the history of polling flops, epic upsets, unforeseen landslides, and exit poll fiascoes in American presidential elections. Drawing on archival sources, W. Joseph Campbell presents insights on notable pollsters of the past, including George Gallup, Elmo Roper, Archibald Crossley, Warren Mitofsky, and Louis Harris. The story is one of media failure, too, as journalists invariably take their lead from polls in crafting campaign narratives. Lost in a Gallup describes how numerous prominent journalists-including Edward R. Murrow, Jimmy Breslin, Mike Royko, Christopher Hitchens, and Haynes Johnson-were outspoken poll-bashers and critics. In assessing polling's messy, uneven, and controversial past, Campbell emphasizes that although election polls are not always wrong, their inherent drawbacks invite skepticism and wariness. Readers will come away better prepared to weigh the efficacy and value of pre-election polls in presidential races, the most important and highly anticipated of all American elections"-- 
610 2 7 |a USA  |b Präsident  |0 (DE-588)2033432-1  |2 gnd  |9 rswk-swf 
648 7 |a Geschichte  |2 gnd  |9 rswk-swf 
650 0 7 |a Wahlkampf  |0 (DE-588)4064292-6  |2 gnd  |9 rswk-swf 
650 0 7 |a Präsidentenwahl  |0 (DE-588)4047020-9  |2 gnd  |9 rswk-swf 
653 0 |a Presidents / United States / Election / History 
653 0 |a Elections / United States / History 
653 0 |a Voting / United States / History 
653 0 |a Press and politics / United States / History 
653 0 |a Political campaigns / United States / History 
653 0 |a Presidential candidates / United States 
653 2 |a United States / Politics and government 
653 0 |a Elections 
653 0 |a Political campaigns 
653 0 |a Politics and government 
653 0 |a Presidential candidates 
653 0 |a Presidents / Election 
653 0 |a Press and politics 
653 0 |a Voting 
653 2 |a United States 
653 6 |a History 
689 0 0 |a USA  |b Präsident  |0 (DE-588)2033432-1  |D b 
689 0 1 |a Präsidentenwahl  |0 (DE-588)4047020-9  |D s 
689 0 2 |a Wahlkampf  |0 (DE-588)4064292-6  |D s 
689 0 3 |a Geschichte  |A z 
689 0 |5 DE-604 
776 0 8 |i Erscheint auch als  |n Druck-Ausgabe  |z 978-0-520-30096-5 
856 4 0 |u https://doi.org/10.1525/9780520972131  |x Verlag  |z URL des Erstveröffentlichers  |3 Volltext 
912 |a ZDB-23-PLW  |a ZDB-30-PQE 
940 1 |q ZDB-23-PLW20 
999 |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-032893025 
966 e |u https://doi.org/10.1525/9780520972131  |l BSB01  |p ZDB-23-PLW  |q BSB_PLW_UniversityCaliforniaPress  |x Verlag  |3 Volltext 
966 e |u https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/ub-bamberg/detail.action?docID=6270706  |l UBG01  |p ZDB-30-PQE  |q UBG_Einzelkauf  |x Aggregator  |3 Volltext 

Datensatz im Suchindex

DE-BY-UBG_katkey 196823932
DE-BY-UBG_local_url https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/ub-bamberg/detail.action?docID=6270706
Aggregator
https://doi.org/10.1525/9780520972131
Verlag
_version_ 1811361829740347392
adam_txt
any_adam_object
any_adam_object_boolean
author Campbell, W. Joseph 1952-
author_GND (DE-588)132397080
author_facet Campbell, W. Joseph 1952-
author_role aut
author_sort Campbell, W. Joseph 1952-
author_variant w j c wj wjc
building Verbundindex
bvnumber BV047491764
collection ZDB-23-PLW
ZDB-30-PQE
ctrlnum (ZDB-23-PLW)9780520972131
(ZDB-30-PQE)EBC6270706
(OCoLC)1277017455
(DE-599)BVBBV047491764
dewey-full 324.973
dewey-hundreds 300 - Social sciences
dewey-ones 324 - The political process
dewey-raw 324.973
dewey-search 324.973
dewey-sort 3324.973
dewey-tens 320 - Political science (Politics and government)
discipline Politologie
discipline_str_mv Politologie
doi_str_mv 10.1525/9780520972131
era Geschichte gnd
era_facet Geschichte
format Electronic
eBook
fullrecord <?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>04061nmm a2200697 c 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">BV047491764</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-604</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20220104 </controlfield><controlfield tag="007">cr|uuu---uuuuu</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">211001s2020 |||| o||u| ||||||eng d</controlfield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">9780520972131</subfield><subfield code="c">Online, PDF</subfield><subfield code="9">978-0-520-97213-1</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="024" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">10.1525/9780520972131</subfield><subfield code="2">doi</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(ZDB-23-PLW)9780520972131</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(ZDB-30-PQE)EBC6270706</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(OCoLC)1277017455</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)BVBBV047491764</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-604</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="e">rda</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="049" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-12</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-473</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">324.973</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Campbell, W. Joseph</subfield><subfield code="d">1952-</subfield><subfield code="e">Verfasser</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)132397080</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Lost in a Gallup</subfield><subfield code="b">polling failure in U.S. presidential elections</subfield><subfield code="c">W. Joseph Campbell</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="a">Oakland, California</subfield><subfield code="b">University of California Press</subfield><subfield code="c">[2020]</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="c">© 2020</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">1 Online-Ressource (xv, 318 Seiten)</subfield><subfield code="b">Illustrationen</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">c</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">cr</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="520" ind1="3" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">"Donald Trump's unexpected victory in the 2016 U.S. presidential election brought sweeping criticism of election polls and poll-based statistical forecasts, which had signaled that Hillary Clinton would win the White House. Surprise ran deep in 2016, but it was not unprecedented. Lost in a Gallup examines in lively and engaging fashion the history of polling flops, epic upsets, unforeseen landslides, and exit poll fiascoes in American presidential elections. Drawing on archival sources, W. Joseph Campbell presents insights on notable pollsters of the past, including George Gallup, Elmo Roper, Archibald Crossley, Warren Mitofsky, and Louis Harris. The story is one of media failure, too, as journalists invariably take their lead from polls in crafting campaign narratives. Lost in a Gallup describes how numerous prominent journalists-including Edward R. Murrow, Jimmy Breslin, Mike Royko, Christopher Hitchens, and Haynes Johnson-were outspoken poll-bashers and critics. In assessing polling's messy, uneven, and controversial past, Campbell emphasizes that although election polls are not always wrong, their inherent drawbacks invite skepticism and wariness. Readers will come away better prepared to weigh the efficacy and value of pre-election polls in presidential races, the most important and highly anticipated of all American elections"--</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="610" ind1="2" ind2="7"><subfield code="a">USA</subfield><subfield code="b">Präsident</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)2033432-1</subfield><subfield code="2">gnd</subfield><subfield code="9">rswk-swf</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="648" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Geschichte</subfield><subfield code="2">gnd</subfield><subfield code="9">rswk-swf</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1="0" ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Wahlkampf</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4064292-6</subfield><subfield code="2">gnd</subfield><subfield code="9">rswk-swf</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1="0" ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Präsidentenwahl</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4047020-9</subfield><subfield code="2">gnd</subfield><subfield code="9">rswk-swf</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Presidents / United States / Election / History</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Elections / United States / History</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Voting / United States / History</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Press and politics / United States / History</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Political campaigns / United States / History</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Presidential candidates / United States</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2="2"><subfield code="a">United States / Politics and government</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Elections</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Political campaigns</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Politics and government</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Presidential candidates</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Presidents / Election</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Press and politics</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Voting</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2="2"><subfield code="a">United States</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="653" ind1=" " ind2="6"><subfield code="a">History</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="0" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">USA</subfield><subfield code="b">Präsident</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)2033432-1</subfield><subfield code="D">b</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="0" ind2="1"><subfield code="a">Präsidentenwahl</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4047020-9</subfield><subfield code="D">s</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="0" ind2="2"><subfield code="a">Wahlkampf</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4064292-6</subfield><subfield code="D">s</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="0" ind2="3"><subfield code="a">Geschichte</subfield><subfield code="A">z</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="5">DE-604</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="776" ind1="0" ind2="8"><subfield code="i">Erscheint auch als</subfield><subfield code="n">Druck-Ausgabe</subfield><subfield code="z">978-0-520-30096-5</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="0"><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1525/9780520972131</subfield><subfield code="x">Verlag</subfield><subfield code="z">URL des Erstveröffentlichers</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ZDB-23-PLW</subfield><subfield code="a">ZDB-30-PQE</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="940" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="q">ZDB-23-PLW20</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="999" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-032893025</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="e" ind2=" "><subfield code="u">https://doi.org/10.1525/9780520972131</subfield><subfield code="l">BSB01</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-23-PLW</subfield><subfield code="q">BSB_PLW_UniversityCaliforniaPress</subfield><subfield code="x">Verlag</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="e" ind2=" "><subfield code="u">https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/ub-bamberg/detail.action?docID=6270706</subfield><subfield code="l">UBG01</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-30-PQE</subfield><subfield code="q">UBG_Einzelkauf</subfield><subfield code="x">Aggregator</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield></record></collection>
id DE-604.BV047491764
illustrated Not Illustrated
index_date 2024-07-03T18:15:42Z
indexdate 2024-09-27T16:47:09Z
institution BVB
isbn 9780520972131
language English
oai_aleph_id oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-032893025
oclc_num 1277017455
open_access_boolean
owner DE-12
DE-473
DE-BY-UBG
owner_facet DE-12
DE-473
DE-BY-UBG
physical 1 Online-Ressource (xv, 318 Seiten) Illustrationen
psigel ZDB-23-PLW
ZDB-30-PQE
ZDB-23-PLW20
ZDB-23-PLW BSB_PLW_UniversityCaliforniaPress
ZDB-30-PQE UBG_Einzelkauf
publishDate 2020
publishDateSearch 2020
publishDateSort 2020
publisher University of California Press
record_format marc
spellingShingle Campbell, W. Joseph 1952-
Lost in a Gallup polling failure in U.S. presidential elections
USA Präsident (DE-588)2033432-1 gnd
Wahlkampf (DE-588)4064292-6 gnd
Präsidentenwahl (DE-588)4047020-9 gnd
subject_GND (DE-588)2033432-1
(DE-588)4064292-6
(DE-588)4047020-9
title Lost in a Gallup polling failure in U.S. presidential elections
title_auth Lost in a Gallup polling failure in U.S. presidential elections
title_exact_search Lost in a Gallup polling failure in U.S. presidential elections
title_exact_search_txtP Lost in a Gallup polling failure in U.S. presidential elections
title_full Lost in a Gallup polling failure in U.S. presidential elections W. Joseph Campbell
title_fullStr Lost in a Gallup polling failure in U.S. presidential elections W. Joseph Campbell
title_full_unstemmed Lost in a Gallup polling failure in U.S. presidential elections W. Joseph Campbell
title_short Lost in a Gallup
title_sort lost in a gallup polling failure in u s presidential elections
title_sub polling failure in U.S. presidential elections
topic USA Präsident (DE-588)2033432-1 gnd
Wahlkampf (DE-588)4064292-6 gnd
Präsidentenwahl (DE-588)4047020-9 gnd
topic_facet USA Präsident
Wahlkampf
Präsidentenwahl
url https://doi.org/10.1525/9780520972131
work_keys_str_mv AT campbellwjoseph lostinagalluppollingfailureinuspresidentialelections