Zambia: towards inclusive and sustainable rural transformation country study

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Hauptverfasser: Üllenberg, Alfons (VerfasserIn), Minah, Margitta (VerfasserIn), Rauch, Theo 1945- (VerfasserIn), Richter, Daniela (VerfasserIn)
Format: Buch
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Berlin Seminar für ländliche Entwicklung (SLE) March 2017
Schriftenreihe:SLE discussion paper 2017,04
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Datensatz im Suchindex

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adam_text Titel: Zambia: Towards inclusive and sustainable rural transformation Autor: Üllenberg, Alfons Jahr: 2017 Contents xi Contents Summary........................................................................................................................................i Contents.......................................................................................................................................xi Figures.......................................................................................................................................xiv Tables..........................................................................................................................................xv Abbreviations.............................................................................................................................xvi 1 Introduction to the research project............................................................................i 1.1 Context of the research.....................................................................................................i 1.2 Rural transformation.........................................................................................................2 1.3 Objectives and research questions....................................................................................3 1.4 Research concept and methodology.................................................................................4 1.4.1 Scenario workshop..................................................................................................4 1.4.2 USE Phase...............................................................................................................6 2 Zambia - Country background....................................................................................9 2.1 Geographical context........................................................................................................9 2.2 Historical background.....................................................................................................10 2.3 Attempted structural transformation after independence..............................................11 3 Trend analysis: Structural transformation 1970-2015.................................................13 3.1 General macro-economic trends.....................................................................................13 3.1.1 Economic growth...................................................................................................13 3.1.2 Sectoral shifts of the Gross Domestic Product.......................................................15 3.1.3 The role of the mining sector.................................................................................16 3.1.4 Employment trends by sector................................................................................16 3.1.5 Income distribution and poverty............................................................................19 3.2 Agricultural sector...........................................................................................................21 3.2.1 Limited increase in productivity.............................................................................23 3.2.2 Changes in farm-size structure...............................................................................25 3.2.3 Cropping pattern: Growing importance of value chains.........................................26 3.2.4 Shift of cultivation methods: Conservation farming...............................................27 3.2.5 Increasing livestock production..............................................................................28 SLE Discussion Paper 04/2017 X¡ i Contents 3.3 Non-agricultural sectors..................................................................................................31 3.3.1 Mining...................................................................................................................31 3.3.2 Manufacturing and construction............................................................................31 3.3.3 Services sectors.....................................................................................................32 3.4 Population dynamics......................................................................................................33 3.4.1 Population growth and dynamics...........................................................................33 3.4.2 HIV/AIDS remains a challenge................................................................................35 3.4.3 Migration...............................................................................................................35 3.5 Environmentaland natural resource management dynamics.........................................39 3.5.1 Land availability and soils......................................................................................41 3.5.2 Water resources.....................................................................................................42 3.5.3 Forests - Continuing deforestation........................................................................43 3.5.4 Climate and climate variability...............................................................................45 3.6 Regional differentiation of dynamics..............................................................................47 3.7 Conclusion: the sluggishness of rural transformation in Zambia.....................................49 4 Influencing factors...................................................................................................51 4.1 Influencing factors as identified in the scenario workshop..............................................51 4.2 Global markets: Market integration and trade dynamics................................................54 4.3 Political and institutional framework and important policies for the rural society...........58 4.3.1 Democratic governance.........................................................................................59 4.3.2 Privatisation and deregulation...............................................................................59 4.3.3 Decentralisation....................................................................................................60 4.3.4 Trade policy...........................................................................................................61 4.3.5 Land tenure...........................................................................................................62 4.3.6 Agricultural policies...............................................................................................64 4.3.7 Forest governance.................................................................................................67 4.3.8 The role of agricultural cooperatives......................................................................68 4.3.9 Policy implementation and public spending...........................................................70 4.4 Economic infrastructure and market integration............................................................72 4.4.1 Access to markets and agricultural services...........................................................72 4.4.2 Road network........................................................................................................72 4.4.3 Rural electrification remains at a low level.............................................................73 4.4.4 Increasing use of information and communications technology............................74 SLE Discussion Paper 04/2017 Contents X¡¡¡ 4.5 Skills and education........................................................................................................75 4.5.a Primary and secondary education..........................................................................75 4.5.2 Adult education and vocational training................................................................77 4.5.3 Agricultural extension............................................................................................77 4.5.4 Growing role of media in knowledge dissemination...............................................78 4.6 Conclusions: Influencing factors......................................................................................78 5 Scenarios of rural transformation.............................................................................81 5.1 Results of the scenario workshop....................................................................................81 5.1.1 Realistic scenario IfiintuTa Fili Bwino -Things are not okay..............................81 5.1.2 Optimistic scenario for 2030 Ili Che - Cool! ........................................................84 5.1.3 Zambia s Vision 2030.............................................................................................85 5.2 Assessment of the scenarios with regard to structural transformation............................87 6 Way forward towards a more sustainable and socially inclusive transformation............89 6.1 Strategy framework for structural transformation in Zambia..........................................90 6.1.1 Zambia s structural problem..................................................................................90 6.1.2 Vision.....................................................................................................................90 6.1.3 Strategic framework..............................................................................................91 6.1.4 Component 1: Agricultural development...............................................................92 6.1.5 Component 2: Off-farm income and employment opportunities...........................93 6.2 The role of external influencing factors...........................................................................95 6.3 Fields of strategic interventions related to the promotion of a socially inclusive and sustainable transformation process................................................................................97 6.3.1 Access to agro-services..........................................................................................98 6.3.2 Improved rural infrastructure...............................................................................100 6.3.3 Quality education, practical knowledge and skills................................................101 6.3.4 Industrial and trade policy....................................................................................103 6.3.5 Governance/Policy implementation.....................................................................105 7 References............................................................................................................107 8 Annex..................................................................................................................113 Annex 1: List of interview partners, Focus Group Discussion and Codes..............................113 Annex 2: Scenario Workshop Program................................................................................116 SLE Discussion Paper 04/2017
any_adam_object 1
author Üllenberg, Alfons
Minah, Margitta
Rauch, Theo 1945-
Richter, Daniela
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Richter, Daniela
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Wirtschaftswissenschaften
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spelling Üllenberg, Alfons Verfasser (DE-588)1069354074 aut
Zambia: towards inclusive and sustainable rural transformation country study Alfons Üllenberg, Margitta Minah, Theo Rauch, Daniela Richter ; in collaboration with Gabriele Beckmann
Berlin Seminar für ländliche Entwicklung (SLE) March 2017
xvii, 116 Seiten Diagramme, Karten
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HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029938725&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis
spellingShingle Üllenberg, Alfons
Minah, Margitta
Rauch, Theo 1945-
Richter, Daniela
Zambia: towards inclusive and sustainable rural transformation country study
SLE discussion paper
subject_GND (DE-588)4076986-0
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title Zambia: towards inclusive and sustainable rural transformation country study
title_auth Zambia: towards inclusive and sustainable rural transformation country study
title_exact_search Zambia: towards inclusive and sustainable rural transformation country study
title_full Zambia: towards inclusive and sustainable rural transformation country study Alfons Üllenberg, Margitta Minah, Theo Rauch, Daniela Richter ; in collaboration with Gabriele Beckmann
title_fullStr Zambia: towards inclusive and sustainable rural transformation country study Alfons Üllenberg, Margitta Minah, Theo Rauch, Daniela Richter ; in collaboration with Gabriele Beckmann
title_full_unstemmed Zambia: towards inclusive and sustainable rural transformation country study Alfons Üllenberg, Margitta Minah, Theo Rauch, Daniela Richter ; in collaboration with Gabriele Beckmann
title_short Zambia: towards inclusive and sustainable rural transformation
title_sort zambia towards inclusive and sustainable rural transformation country study
title_sub country study
topic_facet Sambia
Subsaharisches Afrika
Afrika
Bericht
url http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029938725&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA
volume_link (DE-604)BV044537112
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