Zambia: towards inclusive and sustainable rural transformation country study
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Seminar für ländliche Entwicklung (SLE)
March 2017
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2017,04 |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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adam_text | Titel: Zambia: Towards inclusive and sustainable rural transformation
Autor: Üllenberg, Alfons
Jahr: 2017
Contents xi
Contents
Summary........................................................................................................................................i
Contents.......................................................................................................................................xi
Figures.......................................................................................................................................xiv
Tables..........................................................................................................................................xv
Abbreviations.............................................................................................................................xvi
1 Introduction to the research project............................................................................i
1.1 Context of the research.....................................................................................................i
1.2 Rural transformation.........................................................................................................2
1.3 Objectives and research questions....................................................................................3
1.4 Research concept and methodology.................................................................................4
1.4.1 Scenario workshop..................................................................................................4
1.4.2 USE Phase...............................................................................................................6
2 Zambia - Country background....................................................................................9
2.1 Geographical context........................................................................................................9
2.2 Historical background.....................................................................................................10
2.3 Attempted structural transformation after independence..............................................11
3 Trend analysis: Structural transformation 1970-2015.................................................13
3.1 General macro-economic trends.....................................................................................13
3.1.1 Economic growth...................................................................................................13
3.1.2 Sectoral shifts of the Gross Domestic Product.......................................................15
3.1.3 The role of the mining sector.................................................................................16
3.1.4 Employment trends by sector................................................................................16
3.1.5 Income distribution and poverty............................................................................19
3.2 Agricultural sector...........................................................................................................21
3.2.1 Limited increase in productivity.............................................................................23
3.2.2 Changes in farm-size structure...............................................................................25
3.2.3 Cropping pattern: Growing importance of value chains.........................................26
3.2.4 Shift of cultivation methods: Conservation farming...............................................27
3.2.5 Increasing livestock production..............................................................................28
SLE Discussion Paper 04/2017
X¡ i Contents
3.3 Non-agricultural sectors..................................................................................................31
3.3.1 Mining...................................................................................................................31
3.3.2 Manufacturing and construction............................................................................31
3.3.3 Services sectors.....................................................................................................32
3.4 Population dynamics......................................................................................................33
3.4.1 Population growth and dynamics...........................................................................33
3.4.2 HIV/AIDS remains a challenge................................................................................35
3.4.3 Migration...............................................................................................................35
3.5 Environmentaland natural resource management dynamics.........................................39
3.5.1 Land availability and soils......................................................................................41
3.5.2 Water resources.....................................................................................................42
3.5.3 Forests - Continuing deforestation........................................................................43
3.5.4 Climate and climate variability...............................................................................45
3.6 Regional differentiation of dynamics..............................................................................47
3.7 Conclusion: the sluggishness of rural transformation in Zambia.....................................49
4 Influencing factors...................................................................................................51
4.1 Influencing factors as identified in the scenario workshop..............................................51
4.2 Global markets: Market integration and trade dynamics................................................54
4.3 Political and institutional framework and important policies for the rural society...........58
4.3.1 Democratic governance.........................................................................................59
4.3.2 Privatisation and deregulation...............................................................................59
4.3.3 Decentralisation....................................................................................................60
4.3.4 Trade policy...........................................................................................................61
4.3.5 Land tenure...........................................................................................................62
4.3.6 Agricultural policies...............................................................................................64
4.3.7 Forest governance.................................................................................................67
4.3.8 The role of agricultural cooperatives......................................................................68
4.3.9 Policy implementation and public spending...........................................................70
4.4 Economic infrastructure and market integration............................................................72
4.4.1 Access to markets and agricultural services...........................................................72
4.4.2 Road network........................................................................................................72
4.4.3 Rural electrification remains at a low level.............................................................73
4.4.4 Increasing use of information and communications technology............................74
SLE Discussion Paper 04/2017
Contents X¡¡¡
4.5 Skills and education........................................................................................................75
4.5.a Primary and secondary education..........................................................................75
4.5.2 Adult education and vocational training................................................................77
4.5.3 Agricultural extension............................................................................................77
4.5.4 Growing role of media in knowledge dissemination...............................................78
4.6 Conclusions: Influencing factors......................................................................................78
5 Scenarios of rural transformation.............................................................................81
5.1 Results of the scenario workshop....................................................................................81
5.1.1 Realistic scenario IfiintuTa Fili Bwino -Things are not okay..............................81
5.1.2 Optimistic scenario for 2030 Ili Che - Cool! ........................................................84
5.1.3 Zambia s Vision 2030.............................................................................................85
5.2 Assessment of the scenarios with regard to structural transformation............................87
6 Way forward towards a more sustainable and socially inclusive transformation............89
6.1 Strategy framework for structural transformation in Zambia..........................................90
6.1.1 Zambia s structural problem..................................................................................90
6.1.2 Vision.....................................................................................................................90
6.1.3 Strategic framework..............................................................................................91
6.1.4 Component 1: Agricultural development...............................................................92
6.1.5 Component 2: Off-farm income and employment opportunities...........................93
6.2 The role of external influencing factors...........................................................................95
6.3 Fields of strategic interventions related to the promotion of a socially inclusive and
sustainable transformation process................................................................................97
6.3.1 Access to agro-services..........................................................................................98
6.3.2 Improved rural infrastructure...............................................................................100
6.3.3 Quality education, practical knowledge and skills................................................101
6.3.4 Industrial and trade policy....................................................................................103
6.3.5 Governance/Policy implementation.....................................................................105
7 References............................................................................................................107
8 Annex..................................................................................................................113
Annex 1: List of interview partners, Focus Group Discussion and Codes..............................113
Annex 2: Scenario Workshop Program................................................................................116
SLE Discussion Paper 04/2017
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any_adam_object | 1 |
author | Üllenberg, Alfons Minah, Margitta Rauch, Theo 1945- Richter, Daniela |
author_GND | (DE-588)1069354074 (DE-588)109260449 |
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discipline | Agrar-/Forst-/Ernährungs-/Haushaltswissenschaft / Gartenbau Wirtschaftswissenschaften Geographie |
format | Book |
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spelling | Üllenberg, Alfons Verfasser (DE-588)1069354074 aut Zambia: towards inclusive and sustainable rural transformation country study Alfons Üllenberg, Margitta Minah, Theo Rauch, Daniela Richter ; in collaboration with Gabriele Beckmann Berlin Seminar für ländliche Entwicklung (SLE) March 2017 xvii, 116 Seiten Diagramme, Karten txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier SLE discussion paper 2017,04 Sambia (DE-588)4076986-0 gnd rswk-swf Subsaharisches Afrika (DE-588)4053770-5 gnd rswk-swf Afrika (DE-588)4000695-5 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4128022-2 Bericht gnd-content Afrika (DE-588)4000695-5 g Subsaharisches Afrika (DE-588)4053770-5 g Sambia (DE-588)4076986-0 g DE-604 Minah, Margitta Verfasser aut Rauch, Theo 1945- Verfasser (DE-588)109260449 aut Richter, Daniela Verfasser aut SLE discussion paper 2017,04 (DE-604)BV044537112 2017,04 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029938725&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
spellingShingle | Üllenberg, Alfons Minah, Margitta Rauch, Theo 1945- Richter, Daniela Zambia: towards inclusive and sustainable rural transformation country study SLE discussion paper |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4076986-0 (DE-588)4053770-5 (DE-588)4000695-5 (DE-588)4128022-2 |
title | Zambia: towards inclusive and sustainable rural transformation country study |
title_auth | Zambia: towards inclusive and sustainable rural transformation country study |
title_exact_search | Zambia: towards inclusive and sustainable rural transformation country study |
title_full | Zambia: towards inclusive and sustainable rural transformation country study Alfons Üllenberg, Margitta Minah, Theo Rauch, Daniela Richter ; in collaboration with Gabriele Beckmann |
title_fullStr | Zambia: towards inclusive and sustainable rural transformation country study Alfons Üllenberg, Margitta Minah, Theo Rauch, Daniela Richter ; in collaboration with Gabriele Beckmann |
title_full_unstemmed | Zambia: towards inclusive and sustainable rural transformation country study Alfons Üllenberg, Margitta Minah, Theo Rauch, Daniela Richter ; in collaboration with Gabriele Beckmann |
title_short | Zambia: towards inclusive and sustainable rural transformation |
title_sort | zambia towards inclusive and sustainable rural transformation country study |
title_sub | country study |
topic_facet | Sambia Subsaharisches Afrika Afrika Bericht |
url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=029938725&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
volume_link | (DE-604)BV044537112 |
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