Statistical games and human affairs the view from within
This book was first published in 1989. Inference and prediction in human affairs are characterised by a cognitive and reactive sample space, the elements of which are aware both of the statistician and of each other. It is therefore not surprising that methodologies borrowed from classical statistic...
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1989
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520 | |a This book was first published in 1989. Inference and prediction in human affairs are characterised by a cognitive and reactive sample space, the elements of which are aware both of the statistician and of each other. It is therefore not surprising that methodologies borrowed from classical statistics and the physical sciences have yielded disappointingly few lasting empirical insights and have sometimes failed in predictive mode. This book puts the underlying methodology of socioeconomic statistics on a firmer footing by placing it within the ambit of inferential and predictive games. It covers such problems as learning, publication, non-response, strategic response, the nature and possibility of rational expectations, time inconsistency, intrinsic nonstationarity, and the existence of probabilities. Ideas are introduced such as real-time survey schemes, argument instability and reaction-proof forecasting based on stochastic approximation. Applications are canvassed to such topics as attitude measurement, political polling, econometric modelling under heterogeneous information, and the forecasting of hallmark events | ||
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Datensatz im Suchindex
DE-BY-UBG_katkey | 196334547 |
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DE-BY-UBG_local_url | Verlag https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511898099 |
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any_adam_object | |
author | Bowden, Roger J. 1943- |
author_facet | Bowden, Roger J. 1943- |
author_role | aut |
author_sort | Bowden, Roger J. 1943- |
author_variant | r j b rj rjb |
building | Verbundindex |
bvnumber | BV043929385 |
classification_rvk | QH 240 QH 430 SK 980 |
collection | ZDB-20-CBO |
ctrlnum | (ZDB-20-CBO)CR9780511898099 (OCoLC)967423745 (DE-599)BVBBV043929385 |
dewey-full | 300/.1/5195 |
dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
dewey-ones | 300 - Social sciences |
dewey-raw | 300/.1/5195 |
dewey-search | 300/.1/5195 |
dewey-sort | 3300 11 45195 |
dewey-tens | 300 - Social sciences |
discipline | Soziologie Mathematik Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
doi_str_mv | 10.1017/CBO9780511898099 |
format | Electronic eBook |
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id | DE-604.BV043929385 |
illustrated | Not Illustrated |
index_date | 2024-09-20T13:29:36Z |
indexdate | 2024-09-27T16:41:23Z |
institution | BVB |
isbn | 9780511898099 |
language | English |
oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-029338464 |
oclc_num | 967423745 |
open_access_boolean | |
owner | DE-12 DE-473 DE-BY-UBG |
owner_facet | DE-12 DE-473 DE-BY-UBG |
physical | 1 online resource (xii, 281 pages) |
psigel | ZDB-20-CBO ZDB-20-CBO BSB_PDA_CBO ZDB-20-CBO UBG_PDA_CBO |
publishDate | 1989 |
publishDateSearch | 1989 |
publishDateSort | 1989 |
publisher | Cambridge University Press |
record_format | marc |
spellingShingle | Bowden, Roger J. 1943- Statistical games and human affairs the view from within Sozialwissenschaften Social sciences / Statistical methods Game theory Sozialwissenschaften (DE-588)4055916-6 gnd Anwendung (DE-588)4196864-5 gnd Statistik (DE-588)4056995-0 gnd Spieltheorie (DE-588)4056243-8 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4055916-6 (DE-588)4196864-5 (DE-588)4056995-0 (DE-588)4056243-8 |
title | Statistical games and human affairs the view from within |
title_alt | Statistical Games & Human Affairs |
title_auth | Statistical games and human affairs the view from within |
title_exact_search | Statistical games and human affairs the view from within |
title_full | Statistical games and human affairs the view from within Roger J. Bowden |
title_fullStr | Statistical games and human affairs the view from within Roger J. Bowden |
title_full_unstemmed | Statistical games and human affairs the view from within Roger J. Bowden |
title_short | Statistical games and human affairs |
title_sort | statistical games and human affairs the view from within |
title_sub | the view from within |
topic | Sozialwissenschaften Social sciences / Statistical methods Game theory Sozialwissenschaften (DE-588)4055916-6 gnd Anwendung (DE-588)4196864-5 gnd Statistik (DE-588)4056995-0 gnd Spieltheorie (DE-588)4056243-8 gnd |
topic_facet | Sozialwissenschaften Social sciences / Statistical methods Game theory Anwendung Statistik Spieltheorie |
url | https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511898099 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT bowdenrogerj statisticalgamesandhumanaffairstheviewfromwithin AT bowdenrogerj statisticalgameshumanaffairs |