The United States as a debtor nation
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| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, DC
Institute for International Economics
2005
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| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | DE-1046 DE-1047 Volltext |
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| Beschreibung: | Master and use copy. Digital master created according to Benchmark for Faithful Digital Reproductions of Monographs and Serials, Version 1. Digital Library Federation, December 2002 Includes bibliographical references (p. 283-290) and index 1. The international debt cycle and the United States as an external debtor -- The debt cycle -- Measuring the net international investment position -- The debt cycle in practice -- The global balance sheet discrepancy -- Debt cycle status and growth performance -- Appendix 1A. Estimating the net international investment position -- 2. Valuation effects, asymmetric returns, and economic net foreign assets -- US valuation effects -- US asymmetric capital returns -- Capital services and economic versus accounting net foreign assets -- Alternative measures : cash flow versus debt burden -- 3. Projecting the US current account deficit and net foreign assets -- A simple projection model -- Calibration and data -- Identifying the exchange rate lag -- Backcast performance -- Baseline projections -- Comparison with other projections -- Adjustment scenarios -- Impact parameters -- 4. US fiscal imbalance and the external deficit -- Understanding the linkages -- - The decline in personal saving -- Fiscal outlook for 2005-10 -- Long-term fiscal problem -- General equilibrium framework -- Toward fiscal and external adjustment -- Appendix 4A. A simple general equilibrium model relating the trade and fiscal balances -- 5. Sustainability of the US current account deficit and the risk of crisis -- US share in global portfolios -- Debt ratios and critical thresholds -- Hard landing, long-term burden, and protectionist pressures -- The evolving crisis debate -- Appendix 5A. Key features of leading recent analyses -- 6. Impact of the US external imbalance on the rest of the world -- Impact on global demand -- Impact on interest rates -- Emerging-market capital supply and current account performance -- Developing-country reserves : burden or bonanza? -- East Asian exchange rate rigidity -- Achieving global adjustment -- Appendix 6A. Optimal exchange rate realignment -- Appendix 6B. Recent alternative profiles proposed for global adjustment -- - 7. Principal findings and policy implications -- The international debt cycle -- Valuation effects, asymmetric returns, and economic net foreign assets -- Forecasting the US current account deficit and net foreign assets -- The role of fiscal adjustment -- Sustainability and risks of the current account deficit -- Global impact of US external imbalance -- Policy implication The United States has once again entered into a period of large external imbalances. This study examines whether the large and growing current account deficit is a problem, and if so, how problem can be solved |
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| Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (xix, 304 p.) |
| ISBN: | 1435609158 9781435609150 |