Equity valuation and analysis with eVal
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Equity valuation and analysis with eVal |c Russell Lundholm ; Richard Sloan |
| 250 | |a 3. ed. | ||
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| _version_ | 1823055464908193792 |
| adam_text | Contents
Preface
xii
PART ONE
TEXT
1
Chapter
1
Introduction
2
1.1
Getting Started
2
1.2
Overview of Business Activities
3
Operating Activities
3
Investing Activities
3
Financing Activities
4
1.3
Overview of Equity Valuation Theory
5
1.4
The Role of Financial Statements
6
1.5
Three Steps of Equity Valuation
8
understanding the Past
8
Forecasting the Future
10
Valuation
12
1.6
The Role of
eVăl
14
1.7
Closing Comments
16
1.8
Cases, Links, and References
17
Cases
17
Links
17
Chapter
2
Information Collection
18
2.1
Introduction
18
2.2
Company Information
18
SEC Filings
19
Company Website
23
Financial Press
24
Analyst Research Reports
25
2.3
Macroeconomic
and Industry Data
26
The Global and Domestic Economy
26
Sectors and Industries
2 7
2.4
Inputting Historical Data into eVal
29
2.5
Inputting Data Manually
31
2.6
Inputting
e Vai
Case Data
33
2.7
Importing Data from a Standardized
Data Provider
33
2.8
Manual Input of Data for Kohl s
Corporation
34
2.9
Cases, Links, and References
39
Cases
39
Links
39
Links to Company Information
39
Links to
Macroeconomic
Information
Links to Industry Information
40
Chapter
3
Understanding the Business
41
3.1
3.2
3.3
3.4
3.5
3.6
3.7
Introduction
41
Macroeconomic
Analysis
42
Gross Domestic Product
42
Interest Rates
43
Inflation
43
Foreign Exchange Rates
44
Oil Prices and Other Key Commodity
Prices
44
Hedging
44
The Business Cycle
45
A Realistic Goal for
Macroeconomic
Analysis
45
Industry Analysis
45
Sensitivity to
Macroeconomic
Factors
46
Industry Operation and Key Industry Ratios
and Statistics
46
Competitive Structure of the Industry
47
The Firm s Strategy
48
Synergy Analysis
50
Understanding Kohl s Business
51
Conclusion
54
Cases, Links, and References
Cases
55
References
55
55
vi
Contents
Chapter
4
Accounting Analysis
56
4.1
Introduction
56
4.2
The Underpinnings of Accounting
57
Assets
58
Liabilities
59
Changes in Equity
60
Revenues
61
Expenses
62
Operating Profit
63
Gains
63
Losses
64
Other Items
64
4.3
Accounting Information and
Valuation
65
Accounting Information and Value
66
4.4
Limitations of Accounting
Information
67
4.5
Common Sources of Accounting
Measurement Error
80
Measurement Error Caused
by
GAAP
80
Measurement Error Caused by Lack of
Perfect Foresight
84
Measurement Error Caused by Managerial
Manipulation
84
4.6
Applying Accounting Analysis
to Kohl s
92
Analyzing Kohl s Reported Assets
and Liabilities
93
Analyzing Kohl s Unreported Assets
and Liabilities
96
Analyzing Kohl s Income Statement
98
4.7
Conclusion
101
4.8
Cases, Links, and References
102
Cases
102
Chapter
5
Financial Ratio Analysis
103
5.1
Introduction
103
5.2
Time-Series and Cross-Sections
103
Ratios Tend to Mean-Revert
104
5.3
Some Caveats
105
There Is No Correct Way to Compute
Many Ratios
105
Ratios Do Not Provide Answers,
They Just Tell You Where to Look
for Answers
105
Managers Know That Investors Use
Ratios
105
5.4
A Framework for Ratio
Analysis
106
5.5
Growth
106
Analyzing Kohl s Growth
108
5.6
Profitability
109
Benchmarking the Return
on Equity
110
Mean-Reversion in ROE 111
Decomposing ROE The Basic
Dupont
Model
113
Decomposing ROE
—
The Advanced
Dupont
Model
116
Financial Assets in the Advanced
Dupont
Model
121
Decomposing Kohl s ROE
122
5.7
Profit Margins
123
Economies of Scale and Operating
Risk
125
Analyzing Kohl s Margins
126
5.8
Turnover Ratios
127
Analyzing Kohl s Turnover
129
5.9
Leverage
132
Long-Term Capital Structure
132
Short-Term Liquidity
133
Analyzing Kohl s Leverage
134
5.10
Modeling Credit Risk
136
Estimating the Likelihood of Default
136
Profitability
139
Leverage
139
Liquidity
139
Interest Coverage
139
Inventory
140
Sales Growth
140
Final Thoughts on Credit Risk
140
5.11
Conclusion
141
5.12
Cases, Links, and References
141
Cases
141
References
141
Contents
vii
Chapter
6
Cash Flow Analysis
142
6.1
Introduction
142
6.2
The Statement of Cash Flows
143
6.3
Evaluating a Firm s Past Cash
Flows
146
Evaluating Cash from Operations
146
Evaluating Cash from Investing
147
Evaluating Cash from Financing
148
Evaluating Kohl s Past
Cash Flows
149
6.4
Evaluating a Firm s Future Cash
Flows
150
6.5
Constructing DCF Valuation
Inputs
151
Free Cash Flow to Common
Equity
151
Free Cash Flow to Investors
153
6.6
Cash Flows and Earnings Quality
Analysis
156
6.7
Conclusion
165
6.8
Cases, Links, and References
165
Cases
165
Links
165
References
165
Chapter
7
Structured Forecasting
166
7.1
Introduction
166
7.2
A Systematic Forecasting
Framework
166
7.3
Forecasting Quarterly versus Yearly
Financiais
170
7.4
Forecasting Horizon
171
7.5
Terminal Period Assumptions
173
Forecast Horizon and Terminal Value
Assumptions for Kohl
s
176
7.6
The Balance Sheet Plug
177
7.7
Forecasting with
e Val
178
7.8
Forecasting EPS
181
7.9
Summary and Conclusion
184
7.10
Cases, Links, and References
184
Chapter
8
Forecasting Details
185
8.1
Introduction
185
8.2
Forecasting Sales Growth
185
Forecasting Industry Sales Growth
186
Firm-Specific Influences on Sales
Growth
188
A Sales Forecast for Kohl s
189
8.3
Expense Forecasts
192
Cost of Goods Sold
193
Research and Development Expenses
193
Selling, General and Administrative
Expenses
194
Depreciation and Amortization
195
Interest Expense
196
Nonoperating Income
197
Effective Tax Rate
198
Minority Interest
198
Other Income
199
Preferred Dividends
199
Some Final Thoughts about Forecasting the
Income Statement
199
Expense Forecasts for Kohl s
200
8.4
Balance Sheet Forecasts
202
8.5
Working Captial Assumptions
203
Operating Cash
203
Receivables
204
Inventories
204
Other Current Assets
205
Accounts Payable
205
Taxes Payable and Other Current
Liabilities
205
8.6
Other Operating Assets and
Liabilities
206
PP&E
206
Investments
207
Intangibles
207
Other Assets and Other Liabilities
208
Deferred Taxes
208
Some Final Thoughts about Forecasting the
Net Operating Assets
208
Forecasting Net Operating Assets
for Kohl s
209
viii Contents
8.7
Financing Assumptions
211
Current Debt and Long- Term Debt
211
Minority Interest
211
Preferred Stock
211
Some Final Thoughts on Forecasting the
Financing Ratios
212
Dividend Payout Ratio
212
Forecasting Kohl s Financial
Obligations
212
8.8
Pro Forma Analysis of Forecasts
213
Pro Forma Analysis of Kohl s Forecasts
213
8.9
Cases, Links, and References
214
Cases
214
Links
214
References
214
Chapters
The Cost of Capital
215
9.1
Introduction
215
9.2
Cost of Equity Capital
215
What Is Risk?
216
Capital Asset Pricing Model
217
The Size Model
221
What Number Do I Put in
e Val?
223
9.3
Cost of Nonequity Capital
224
9.4
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
224
What Is Constant and What Is
Changing?
226
9.5
Cases, Links, and References
227
Links
227
References
227
Chapter
10
Valuation
228
10.1
Introduction
228
10.2
Residual Income Valuation
Models
229
Residual Income to Common
Equity
230
Bad Accounting and the Residual
Income Valuation Model
232
Residual Income to All Investors
234
The Tax Shield on Interest
236
10.3
Discounted Cash Flow
Valuation
237
D CF
to Common Equity
237
DCF to All Investors
239
Tax Shield on Interest
242
10.4
Present Value Computations
243
Adjusting the Present Value to the
Present
245
Solving for the Implied Cost of Equity
Capital
247
10.5
Valuing Contingent Claims and Other
Adjustments
248
Valuing Contingent Claims
248
Adjusting for Stock Splits and Stock
Dividends
250
Putting It All Together
251
10.6
Cases, Links, and References
252
Cases
252
Links
252
References
252
Chapter
11
Valuation Ratios
253
11.1
Introduction
253
11.2
The Market-to-Book Ratio
253
11.3
The Price-to-Earnings Ratio
255
11.4
The PEG Ratio
257
11.5
Putting Some Valuation Ratios
Together
259
Can You Make Money with These
Ratios?
262
11.6
Cases, Links, and References
264
Case
264
Links
264
References
264
Chapter
12
Some Complications
265
12.1
Introduction
265
12.2
Negative Values and the Abandonment
Option
265
Negative Values
265
The Abandonment Option
268
Contents ix
12.3
Creating and Destroying Value Through
Financing Transactions
272
Common Equity Transactions
272
Contingent Equity Claims
275
12.4
Cases, Links, and References
276
Cases
276
PART TWO
CASES
277
Casei
The AOL Time Warner
Merger
278
Questions
278
Case
2
Apple and the iFad
280
Questions
281
Business Strategy Analysis
281
Accounting Analysis
281
Ratio Analysis
281
Forecasting Analysis
282
Valuation Analysis
282
СаѕеЗ
The Valuation of Amazon.com
in June
2001 283
Background
283
Assignment
284
Tasks
285
Case
4
Turnaround at Bally Total
Fitness?
286
Questions
287
Case
5
Boston Chicken, Inc.
289
Questions
290
Case
6
EnCom Corporation
291
Introduction
291
Initial Case Facts
291
Stage One Questions
292
Additional Case Facts for Stage Two
Stage Two Questions
292
Stage Three Questions
293
292
Case
7
Four Valuation Models—One Value
294
Financial Statement Forecasts
294
Questions
294
Part A. The Four Valuation Models
294
Part B. Verifying Your Computations
witheVal
296
Part C. Accounting Distortions
297
Case
8
The
Gabelli
Utility Trust
302
Questions
303
Case
9
The Home Depot, Inc.
304
Case
10
Evaluating Intel s Earnings Torpedo
306
Case
11
Interpreting Margin and Turnover
Ratios
309
Introduction
309
Determinant
1:
Industry Production
Technology
309
Determinant
2:
Product Differentiation versus
Cost Leadership
310
Determinant
3:
Corporate Strategy
—
Vertical
Integration versus Outs ourcing
310
Questions
310
χ
Contents
Case
12
Netflix, Inc.
311
Questions
313
Business Strategy Analysis
313
Accounting Analysis
313
Ratio Analysis
313
Forecasting Analysis
313
Valuation Analysis
314
Case
13
Overstock.com
315
Questions
316
Business Strategy Analysis
316
Accounting Analysis
316
Ratio Analysis
317
Forecasting
317
Valuation Analysis
321
Case
14
Pre-Paid Legal Services
322
Questions
325
Case
15
Determinants of Valuation Ratios:
The Restaurant Industry in
2011 326
Required
326
Bunker International, Inc.
327
Benihana Inc.
327
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
327
Ruby Tuesday, Inc.
328
Case
16
Forecasting for the Love Boat: Royal
Caribbean Cruises in
1998 329
The North American Cruise Industry
in
1998 330
The Cruise Experience
331
Who s Onboard
332
Supply of Available Berths
333
Demand for a Cruise Vacation
334
Part A. Comprehensive Financial
Analysis
336
Part B. Financial Forecasts
337
Case
17
Can
Saltón
Swing?
339
Background
340
The Deal with George
Questions
340
340
Case
18
Sirius
Satellite Radio, Inc.
342
Questions
343
Business Strategy Analysis
Accounting Analysis
344
Ratio and Cash Flow Analysis
Forecasting Analysis
344
Valuation Analysis
345
343
344
Case
19
A Tale of Two Movie Theaters
346
The Movie Theater Industry
346
Two Movie Theater Companies
347
Who Will Default: Country Cinema or City
Screens?
347
Requirements
348
Country Cinema Financial Ratios
349
City Screens Financial Ratios
349
Case
20
Building
eVãi
350
Introduction
350
Part A: Standardized Financial
Statements
350
Part B: Create a Statement of Cash
Flows
351
Part C: Ratio Analysis and Credit
Analysis
352
Part D: Linking Forecasts to Future Financial
Statements
353
Part E: Valuation
353
Contents xi
Case
21
Hogs and Chestnuts: Who Profits When
the Chinese Eat?
354
Introduction
354
Part I: All the Pork in China
354
Part I Case Questions
356
Part II: The Chinese Love Chestnuts!
356
Part II Questions
358
Part III: Chinese Reverse Mergers
359
Part III Questions
360
Case
22
Create Your Own Standardized
Financiais
361
Case
23
The Eighty Minute Forecast
364
Introduction
364
Case Materials
364
Seasonality
365
The Group Tasks
366
Sales Forecasting Team
366
Major Cost Forecasting Team
367
Miscellaneous Forecasting Team
367
Market Surveillance Team
367
Appendix A
The Complete GICS System
369
Introduction
361
Index
376
Equity Valuation and Analysis with eVal closes the gap between the
theoretical treatment of equity valuation and the actual practice of valuing
a company. Authors Russell
Lundholm
and Richard Sloans overriding
theme is that good forecasts of the future financial statements are the key
input to a good valuation. They also provide detailed practical guidance on
how to obtain and analyze relevant real-world data by using real companies.
The ultimate goal of this book is to demystify the valuation process so that
students don t become lost in a sea of valuation formulas and inconsistent
spreadsheet models.
CHANGES FOR THE THIRD EDITION
•
New version of the eVal software is a very transparent series of related
Excel spreadsheets that can be easily customized by the user.
•
Updated the running example of
Kohľs
with new interpretations
and forecasts.
•
Significant additions have been made to multiple chapters throughout
the text.
•
Several new cases added at the end of the book including Apple and
the iFad, The Restaurant Industry in
2011,
Building
e Val,
and The
80-
minute Forecast.
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Lundholm, Russell J. |
| author_GND | (DE-588)170002853 (DE-588)171022238 |
| author_facet | Lundholm, Russell J. |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Lundholm, Russell J. |
| author_variant | r j l rj rjl |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV041806152 |
| callnumber-first | H - Social Science |
| callnumber-label | HG4028 |
| callnumber-raw | HG4028.V3 |
| callnumber-search | HG4028.V3 |
| callnumber-sort | HG 44028 V3 |
| callnumber-subject | HG - Finance |
| classification_rvk | QK 620 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)881386446 (DE-599)BVBBV041806152 |
| dewey-full | 332.63/221028553 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 332 - Financial economics |
| dewey-raw | 332.63/221028553 |
| dewey-search | 332.63/221028553 |
| dewey-sort | 3332.63 9221028553 |
| dewey-tens | 330 - Economics |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| edition | 3. ed. |
| format | Book |
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| id | DE-604.BV041806152 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2025-02-03T17:41:49Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9780073526898 |
| language | English |
| lccn | 2012033282 |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-027251606 |
| oclc_num | 881386446 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-945 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM DE-739 DE-20 |
| owner_facet | DE-945 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM DE-739 DE-20 |
| physical | XVII, 382 S. Ill., graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 2013 |
| publishDateSearch | 2013 |
| publishDateSort | 2013 |
| publisher | McGraw-Hill |
| record_format | marc |
| spellingShingle | Lundholm, Russell J. Equity valuation and analysis with eVal eVal (Electronic resource) Unternehmen Corporations Valuation Business enterprises Valuation Stock price forecasting Investment analysis Portfoliomanagement (DE-588)4115601-8 gnd Wertpapier (DE-588)4065674-3 gnd Investitionsanalyse (DE-588)4273190-2 gnd Bewertung (DE-588)4006340-9 gnd Aktienanalyse (DE-588)4112475-3 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4115601-8 (DE-588)4065674-3 (DE-588)4273190-2 (DE-588)4006340-9 (DE-588)4112475-3 |
| title | Equity valuation and analysis with eVal |
| title_auth | Equity valuation and analysis with eVal |
| title_exact_search | Equity valuation and analysis with eVal |
| title_full | Equity valuation and analysis with eVal Russell Lundholm ; Richard Sloan |
| title_fullStr | Equity valuation and analysis with eVal Russell Lundholm ; Richard Sloan |
| title_full_unstemmed | Equity valuation and analysis with eVal Russell Lundholm ; Richard Sloan |
| title_short | Equity valuation and analysis with eVal |
| title_sort | equity valuation and analysis with eval |
| topic | eVal (Electronic resource) Unternehmen Corporations Valuation Business enterprises Valuation Stock price forecasting Investment analysis Portfoliomanagement (DE-588)4115601-8 gnd Wertpapier (DE-588)4065674-3 gnd Investitionsanalyse (DE-588)4273190-2 gnd Bewertung (DE-588)4006340-9 gnd Aktienanalyse (DE-588)4112475-3 gnd |
| topic_facet | eVal (Electronic resource) Unternehmen Corporations Valuation Business enterprises Valuation Stock price forecasting Investment analysis Portfoliomanagement Wertpapier Investitionsanalyse Bewertung Aktienanalyse |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=027251606&sequence=000003&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=027251606&sequence=000004&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT lundholmrussellj equityvaluationandanalysiswitheval AT sloanrichardg equityvaluationandanalysiswitheval |