Extreme events and natural hazards the complexity perspective

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Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Washington, DC American Geophysical Union 2012
Schriftenreihe:Geophysical monograph 196
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Datensatz im Suchindex

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adam_text Extreme Events and Natural Hazards: The Complexity Perspective examines recent developments in com¬ plexity science that provide a new approach to under¬ standing extreme events. This understanding is critical to the development of strategies for the prediction of natural hazards and mitigation of their adverse conse¬ quences. The volume is a comprehensive collection of current developments in the understanding of extreme events. The following critical areas are highlighted: • Understanding extreme events • Natural hazard prediction and development of mitigation strategies • Recent developments in complexity science • Global change and how it relates to extreme events • Policy sciences and perspective With its overarching theme, Extreme Events and Natural Hazards will be of interest and relevance to scientists interested in noniinear geophysics, natural hazards, atmospheric science, hydrology, oceanography, tectonics, and space weather. ISBN 978-0-87590436-3 90000 > An imprint of the American Geophysical Union CONTENTS. Preface A. Surjalai Sharma, Armin Bunde, Vijay P. Dimri, and Daniel N. Baker ................................................................. vii Complexity and Extreme Events in Ceosciences: An Overview A. Surjalal Sharma, Daniel N. Baker, Archana Bhattacharyya, Armin Bunde, Vijay P. Dimri, Harsh K. Gupta, Vijay K. Gupta, Shaun Lovejoy, Ian G. Main, Daniel Schemer, Hans von Storch, and Nicholas W. Watkins ................................................................................1 Section I: Solid Earth Earthquakes: Complexity and Extreme Events M. R. Yoder, D. L Turcotte, and). В. Rundie ........................................................................................................17 Patterns of Seismicity Found in the Generalized Vicinity of a Strong Earthquake: Agreement With Common Scenarios of Instability Development M. V.Rodkin ........................................................................................................................................................27 Characterizing Large Events and Scaling in Earthquake Models With Inhomogeneous Damage Rachele Domínguez, Kristy Hampo, С. A. Senno, and W. Klein ............................................................................41 Fractal Dimension and b Value Mapping Before and After the 2004 Megathrust Earthquake in the Andaman-Sumatra Subduction Zone Sohini Roy, Uma Ghosh, Sugata Hazra, and J. R. Kayal ........................................................................................55 Stress Pulse Migration by Viscoelastic Process for Long-Distance Delayed Triggering of Shocks in Gujarat, India, After the 2001 Mw 7.7 Bhuj Earthquake B. K. Rastogi, Pallabee Choudhury, Rakesh Dumka, К. M. Sreejith, and T. J. Majumdar ........................................63 Extreme Seismic Events in Models of Lithospheric Block-and-Fault Dynamics A. T. Ismail-Zadeh, J.-L Le Mouël, and A. A. Soloviev ...........................................................................................75 Section (I: Oceans Investigation of Past and Future Polar Low Frequency in the North Atlantic Matthias Zahn and Hans von Storch.....................................................................................................................99 Variability of North Atlantic Hurricanes: Seasonal Versus Individual-Event Features Alvaro Corral and Antonio Turiel ........................................................................................................................111 Large-Scale Patterns in Hurricane-Driven Shoreline Change Eli D. Lazarus, Andrew 0. Ashton, and A. Brad Murray ......................................................................................127 Section III: Atmosphere Precipitation and River Flow: Long-Term Memory and Predictability of Extreme Events Armin Bunde, Mikhail I. Bogachev, and Sabine Lennartz ....................................................................................139 Extreme Events and Trends in the Indian Summer Monsoon V. Krishnamurthy ................................................................................................................................................153 Empirical Orthogonal Function Spectra of Extreme Temperature Variability Decoded From Tree Rings of the Western Himalayas R. K. Tiwari, R. R. Yadav, and К, P. С Kaladhar Rao ...........................................................................................169 On the Estimation of Natural and Anthropogenic Trends in Climate Records 5. Lennartz and A. Bunde...................................................................................................................................177 Climate Subsystems: Pacemakers of Decadal Climate Variability Anastasios A. Tsonis ...........................................................................................................................................191 Dynamical System Exploration of the Hurst Phenomenon in Simple Climate Models O. /. Mesa, V. K. Gupta, and P. E. O Connell ......................................................................................................209 Low-Frequency Weather and the Emergence of the Climate 5. Lovejoy and D. Schertzer ................................................................................................................................231 Section IV: Geospace Extreme Space Weather: Forecasting Behavior of a Nonlinear Dynamical System D.N.Baker ........................................................................................................................................................255 Supermagnetic Storms: Hazard to Society С S. Lakhina, S. Alex, В. Т. Tsurutani, and W. D. Gonzalez ...............................................................................267 Development of Intermediate-Scale Structure in the Nighttime Equatorial Ionosphere A. Bhattacharyya ................................................................................................................................................279 Complex Analysis of Polar Auroras for 1996 lames Wanliss and Joshua Peterson ....................................................................................................................293 On Self-Similar and Multifractal Models for the Scaling of Extreme Bursty Fluctuations in Space Plasmas N. W. Watkins, B. Hnat, and S. C Chapman ......................................................................................................299 Section V: General Extreme Value and Record Statistics in Heavy-Tailed Processes With Long-Range Memory Aicko Y. Schumann, Nicholas R. Moloney, and Jörn Davidsen...........................................................................315 Extreme Event Recurrence Time Distributions and Long Memory /Vi. 5. Santhanam ................................................................................................................................................335 Dealing With Complexity and Extreme Events Using a Bottom-Up, Resource-Based Vulnerability Perspective Roger A. Pielke Sr., Rob Wilby, Dev Niyogi, Faisal Hossain, Koji Dairuku, Jimmy Adegoke, George Kalbs, Timothy Seastedt, and Katharine Suding .....................................................................................345 AGU Category Index ..........................................................................................................................................361 Index ..................................................................................................................................................................363
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physical vii, 371 p. ill. (some col.), col. map 28 cm
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publisher American Geophysical Union
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series Geophysical monograph
series2 Geophysical monograph
spellingShingle Extreme events and natural hazards the complexity perspective
Geophysical monograph
Geophysical prediction
Natural disasters
Computational complexity
Hazard mitigation
Vorhersagbarkeit (DE-588)4260601-9 gnd
Komplexitätstheorie (DE-588)4120591-1 gnd
Naturkatastrophe (DE-588)4041387-1 gnd
subject_GND (DE-588)4260601-9
(DE-588)4120591-1
(DE-588)4041387-1
(DE-588)4143413-4
title Extreme events and natural hazards the complexity perspective
title_auth Extreme events and natural hazards the complexity perspective
title_exact_search Extreme events and natural hazards the complexity perspective
title_full Extreme events and natural hazards the complexity perspective A. Surjalal Sharma ... [et al.], eds.
title_fullStr Extreme events and natural hazards the complexity perspective A. Surjalal Sharma ... [et al.], eds.
title_full_unstemmed Extreme events and natural hazards the complexity perspective A. Surjalal Sharma ... [et al.], eds.
title_short Extreme events and natural hazards
title_sort extreme events and natural hazards the complexity perspective
title_sub the complexity perspective
topic Geophysical prediction
Natural disasters
Computational complexity
Hazard mitigation
Vorhersagbarkeit (DE-588)4260601-9 gnd
Komplexitätstheorie (DE-588)4120591-1 gnd
Naturkatastrophe (DE-588)4041387-1 gnd
topic_facet Geophysical prediction
Natural disasters
Computational complexity
Hazard mitigation
Vorhersagbarkeit
Komplexitätstheorie
Naturkatastrophe
Aufsatzsammlung
url http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=026234243&sequence=000003&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA
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