Applied uncertainty analysis for flood risk management
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| Sprache: | English |
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Imperial College Press
2014
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
r
Preface v
Section I: Introduction
1
Chapter
1:
Flood Risk Management: Decision Making
Under Uncertainty
3
Jim W. Hall
Chapter
2:
Use of Models in Flood Risk Management
25
Keith
Beven
Section II: Theoretical Perspectives
37
Chapter
3:
A Framework for Uncertainty Analysis
39
Keith
Beven
Chapter
4:
Classical Approaches for Statistical Inference
in Model Calibration with Uncertainty
60
R.E. Chandler
Chapter
5:
Formal
Bayes
Methods for Model Calibration
with Uncertainty
68
Jonathan Rougier
Chapter
6:
The GLUE Methodology for Model Calibration
with Uncertainty
87
Keith
Beven
IX
x
Contents
Section
III: Uncertainties in Flood Modelling
and Risk Analysis
99
Chapter
7:
Uncertainty in Rainfall Inputs
101
R.E. Chandler, V.S. Isham, P.J. Northrop,
H.S. Wheater, C.J. Onof and N.A. Leith
Chapter
8:
Uncertainty in Flood Frequency Analysis
153
Thomas R. Kjeldsen, Rob Lamb
and
Sarka D.
Blažkova
Chapter
9:
Minimising Uncertainty in Statistical Analysis
of Extreme Values
198
a Keef
Chapter
10:
Uncertainty in Flood Inundation Modelling
232
Paul D. Bates,
Florian Pappenberger
and
Renata
J.
Romanowicz
Chapter
11:
Flood Defence Reliability Analysis
270
Pieter
van
Gelder
and Han Vrijling
Chapter
12:
Uncertainties in Flood Modelling in Urban Areas
297
Slobodan
Djordjević, Zoran Vojinović,
Richard Dawson and
Dragan
A. Savié
Chapter
13:
The Many Uncertainties in Flood Loss Assessments
335
John
Chatterton,
Edmund Penning-Rowsell
and Sally Priest
Chapter
14:
Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis of Current
and Future Flood Risk in the Thames Estuary
357
Jim W. Hall, Hamish Harvey and Owen Tarrant
Section IV: Uncertainties in Real-Time
Flood Forecasting
385
Chapter
15:
Operational
Hydrologie
Ensemble Forecasting
387
Albrecht
H.
Weerts, Dong-
Jun
Seo,
Micha
Werner and John Schaake
Contents xi
Chapter
16:
A Data-Based Mechanistic Modelling Approach
to Real-Time Flood Forecasting
407
Peter C. Young,
Renata
J.
Romanowicz
and Keith
Beven
Chapter
17:
Uncertainty Estimation in Fluvial Flood
Forecasting Applications
462
Kevin
Sene,
Albrecht
H. Weerts,
Keith
Beven,
Robert
J.
Moore, Chris Whitlow, Stefan Laeger
and Richard Cross
Chapter
18:
Case Study: Decision Making for Flood
Forecasting in the US National Weather Service
499
Robert
Hartman
and John Schaake
Chapter
19:
Quantifying and Reducing Uncertainties
in Operational Forecasting: Examples
from the Delft FEWS Forecasting System
506
Micha
Werner, Paolo
Reggiani
and
Albrecht
H.
Weerts
Chapter
20:
Real-Time
Coastal Flood Forecasting
538
Kevin Horsburgh and Jonathan Flowerdew
Section V: Uncertainties in Long-Term Change
in Flood Risk
563
Chapter
21:
Detecting Long-Term Change in Flood Risk
565
Cintia B. Uvo and Robin T. Clarke
Chapter
22:
Detecting Changes in Winter Precipitation
Extremes and Fluvial Flood Risk
578
Robert L. Wilby, Hayley J. Fowler
and Bill Donovan
Chapter
23:
Flood Risk in Eastern Australia
—
Climate
Variability and Change
605
Stewart W. Franks
xii Contents
Section
VI:
Communicating
Uncertainties
625
Chapter
24:
Translating Uncertainty in Flood Risk Science
627
Hazel Faulkner, Meghan Alexander
and David Leedal
Index
663
APPLIED
UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS FOR
IOD
RISK MANAGEMENT
70
τ
βθ
90
40
[зо-·
20 ■
10
о
Jiu
Bow
(»-З*)
his volume provides an introduction
flood risk management practitioners, up-
to-date methods tor analysis of uncertainty
and its use in risk-based decision making. It
addresses decision making for both short-term
(real-time forecasting) and long-term (flood
risk planning under change) situations. It aims
primarily at technical practitioners involved in
flood risk analysis and flood warning, including
h rlrologists, engineers, flood modelers, risk analysts and those involved
in the design and operation of flood warning systems. Many experienced
practitioners are now expected to modify their way of working to fit into
the new philosophy of flood risk management. This volume helps them to
undertake that task with appropriate attention to the surrounding uncertainties.
The book will also interest and benefit researchers and graduate students
hoping to improve their knowledge of modern uncertainty analysis.
Imperial College Press
www.icpress.co.uk
P588 he
ISBN
978-1-84816-270-9
781848 162709
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author2 | Beven, Keith 1950- |
| author2_role | edt |
| author2_variant | k b kb |
| author_GND | (DE-588)1028552572 |
| author_facet | Beven, Keith 1950- |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV041256488 |
| classification_rvk | RB 10363 TZ 9540 |
| classification_tum | BAU 586f |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)881477378 (DE-599)HBZHT016917192 |
| discipline | Geologie / Paläontologie Bauingenieurwesen Geographie |
| format | Book |
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| geographic | England (DE-588)4014770-8 gnd |
| geographic_facet | England |
| id | DE-604.BV041256488 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-12-24T03:36:18Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9781848162709 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-026230419 |
| oclc_num | 881477378 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-703 DE-91 DE-BY-TUM |
| owner_facet | DE-703 DE-91 DE-BY-TUM |
| physical | XII, 672 S. graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 2014 |
| publishDateSearch | 2014 |
| publishDateSort | 2014 |
| publisher | Imperial College Press |
| record_format | marc |
| spellingShingle | Applied uncertainty analysis for flood risk management Unsicherheit (DE-588)4186957-6 gnd Hochwasserrückhaltefläche (DE-588)4840111-0 gnd Hochwasserschutz (DE-588)4025290-5 gnd Naturkatastrophe (DE-588)4041387-1 gnd Überflutung (DE-588)4293487-4 gnd Hochwasser (DE-588)4025289-9 gnd Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung (DE-588)4064324-4 gnd Risikoanalyse (DE-588)4137042-9 gnd Überschwemmungsgefahr (DE-588)4453039-0 gnd Katastrophenrisiko (DE-588)4202680-5 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4186957-6 (DE-588)4840111-0 (DE-588)4025290-5 (DE-588)4041387-1 (DE-588)4293487-4 (DE-588)4025289-9 (DE-588)4064324-4 (DE-588)4137042-9 (DE-588)4453039-0 (DE-588)4202680-5 (DE-588)4014770-8 |
| title | Applied uncertainty analysis for flood risk management |
| title_auth | Applied uncertainty analysis for flood risk management |
| title_exact_search | Applied uncertainty analysis for flood risk management |
| title_full | Applied uncertainty analysis for flood risk management eds. Keith Beven ... |
| title_fullStr | Applied uncertainty analysis for flood risk management eds. Keith Beven ... |
| title_full_unstemmed | Applied uncertainty analysis for flood risk management eds. Keith Beven ... |
| title_short | Applied uncertainty analysis for flood risk management |
| title_sort | applied uncertainty analysis for flood risk management |
| topic | Unsicherheit (DE-588)4186957-6 gnd Hochwasserrückhaltefläche (DE-588)4840111-0 gnd Hochwasserschutz (DE-588)4025290-5 gnd Naturkatastrophe (DE-588)4041387-1 gnd Überflutung (DE-588)4293487-4 gnd Hochwasser (DE-588)4025289-9 gnd Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung (DE-588)4064324-4 gnd Risikoanalyse (DE-588)4137042-9 gnd Überschwemmungsgefahr (DE-588)4453039-0 gnd Katastrophenrisiko (DE-588)4202680-5 gnd |
| topic_facet | Unsicherheit Hochwasserrückhaltefläche Hochwasserschutz Naturkatastrophe Überflutung Hochwasser Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung Risikoanalyse Überschwemmungsgefahr Katastrophenrisiko England |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=026230419&sequence=000003&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=026230419&sequence=000004&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT bevenkeith applieduncertaintyanalysisforfloodriskmanagement |