Essays in panel data econometrics

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1. Verfasser: Nerlove, Marc (VerfasserIn)
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Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Cambridge Cambridge Univ. Press 2008
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adam_text Contents Preface to the Book page xiii 1 The History of Panel Data Econometrics, 1861-1997 1 Preface 1 1. Introduction 4 2. In the Beginning: Astronomy, Agronomy, and Statistics 7 a. Fixed- versus Random-Effects Models 7 b. An Example in Which Mostly Fixed Effects A re Appropriate 8 с An Example in Which Mostly Random Effects Are Appropriate; A iry s Problem 9 d. Fisher 12 e. Daniels and Eisenhart 13 f. Further Development of the Statistical Literature 14 3. Econometric Development, the Early Years: From Chicago to the Paris Conference of 1977 17 a. Hildreth 17 b. Management Bias and the Estimation of Production Functions: Hoch and Mundlak 18 с Balestra and Nerlove: Error Components and Dynamic Panel Models 21 d. Highlights of the Ten Years Preceding the First Paris Conference, 1967-1976 26 e. The First Paris Conference, 1977 35 4. Econometric Development, the Later Years: From Paris to Paris 35 a. Problems of Testing Specification: Fixed versus Random Effects; Serially Correlated Effects 36 (1) Hausman Tests 36 (2) Serially Correlated Remainder Effects 39 (3) Serially Correlated Period Effects 41 viii Contents b. Dynamics: Comparative Properties of Alternative Estimators and the Problem of Initial Conditions 46 (1) Inconsistency of the Pooled-Sample OLS Estimates of the Dynamic Error-Components Model 48 (2) Inconsistency of the OLS Estimators of the Dummy Variable, or Fixed-Effects, Model 49 (3) Generalized Least Squares and Feasible GLS 50 (4) Maximum Likelihood and the Problem of Initial Observations 52 с Estimation of Limited Dependent, Discrete, and Qualitative Panel Data Models 58 (1) Incidental or Nuisance Parameters 59 (2) Logit and Probit Models 62 (a) Nondynamic Models 62 (b) Dynamic Models 65 (3) Limited Dependent Variables 67 (a) Nondynamic Models 67 (b) Dynamic Models 69 (4) Hazard and Duration Models 69 d. The Second Paris Conference, 1997 70 5. Beyond Paris 70 Appendices to Chapter 1 Appendix A: Decomposition of the Sum of Squares of a Variable Observed in a Two-Dimensional Panel 83 Appendix B: Alternative Formulations of the Concentrated Likelihood Function for the Two-Component Random-Effects Model 86 Appendix C: Introduction to The Econometrics of Panel Data, Colloque International du CNRS, INSEE, Paris 22-24 August 1977 92 Appendix D: Derivation of the Likelihood Function for the Three-Component Random-Effects Nondynamic Panel Model with Serially Correlated Period Effects 102 Appendix E: Likelihood for Stationary Panel Data-Generating Processes with Exogenous Variables and Individual-Specific Random Effects 105 Appendix F: Amemiya s Classification of Limited Dependent Variable or Tobit Models 111 2 Pooling Cross-Section and Time-Series Data in the Estimation of a Dynamic Model: The Demand for Natural Gas (with Pietro Balestra) 115 Preface 115 /. The Dynamic Model of Gas Demand 120 2. Estimation by Ordinary Least-Squares Methods 123 Contents ix 3. The Residual Model 127 4. Estimation Procedures 133 5. Conclusions 143 Appendix: Derivation of the Maximum-Likelihood Estimates of ρ and σ2 144 Experimental Evidence on the Estimation of Dynamic Economic Relations from a Tme Series of Cross Sections 149 Preface 149 1. Background 153 2. Design of the Experiments 161 a. Generation of the Observations 161 b. Parameter Values 164 с Methods of Estimation 164 3. The Results 169 a. Generalized Least Squares 171 b. Ordinary Least Squares 171 с Least Squares with Individual Constant Terms 172 d. Maximum Likelihood 172 e. Two Round 173 f. Comparison of Various Methods 173 4. Conclusions 174 Appendix: Parameter Values 177 Further Evidence on the Estimation of Dynamic Economic Relations from a Time Series of Cross Sections 189 Preface 189 /. Introduction 193 2. Design of the Experiments 200 a. Generation of the Observations 200 b. Parameter Values 205 с Methods of Estimation 205 (7) Generalized Least-Squares Estimates Employing the True Value of p Used in the Generation of the Observations 205 (2) Ordinary Least-Squares Estimates of the Relation (2.1) (i.e., Not Including Individual Constant Terms) 207 (3) Least-Squares Estimates of the Parameters 207 (4) Instrumental-Variable Estimates Using x¡, -г as an Instrument for yH^ 207 (5) Two-Round Estimates Equivalent to Generalized Least Squares Using Not the True Value of p but the Estimate rc Obtained in (3), a Least-Squares Regression with Individual Constant Terms 208 Contents (6) Two-Round Estimates Similar to (5) but using r¡, an Estimate of ρ Based on the Calculated Residuals from the Instrumental-Variable Estimate of Equation (2.1) as Given in (2.17) 208 (7) Maximum-Likelihood Estimates Obtained by Maximizing the Logarithmic Likelihood Function 208 3. Comparative Properties of Different Estimation Procedures 210 a. Bias 210 b. Relative Mean-Square Errors 213 с Characteristics of the Maximum-Likelihood Estimates 214 4. Conclusions 216 Appendices for Chapter 4 (Available in pdf Format at http:// www.arec.umd. edu/mnerlove/Tablesl 971. ZIP) A Note on Error-Components Models 219 Preface 219 Errata 221 1. Introduction 222 2. The Characteristic Roots and Vectors of Ω 226 3. The Square Root of Ω, 228 4. The Inverse of Q and the G LS Estimates of β 231 5. An Interpretation of β and Its Asymptotic Distribution 233 Growth-Rate Convergence, Fact or Artifact? An Essay on Panel Data Econometrics 237 Preface 237 /. Introduction 240 2. The Neoclassical Theory of Growth Convergence 242 a. The Solow/Swan Model 243 b. Growth Convergence in the Neoclassical Model with Exogenous Population Growth and Savings 244 3. Empirical Investigations of Convergence and the Rate of Con vergence 246 4. Alternative Methods for Estimating Rates of Convergence 249 a. Inconsistency of the Pooled-Sample OLS Estimates of the Dynamic Error-Components Model 250 b. Inconsistency of the OLS Estimators of the Dummy Variable or Fixed-Effects Model 251 с Country Means Regression and the Estimation of ρ 252 d. Generalized Least Squares and Feasible GLS 253 e. Bounds for the Coefficient of the Lagged Dependent Variable 254 f. Maximum-Likelihood Conditional on the Initial Value of the Lagged Dependent Variable 255 g. Unconditional Maximum Likelihood 257 Contents xi 5 Empirical Evidence on Growth-Rate Convergence and the Comparative Performance of Different Panel Data Methods 260 a. Numerical Results 260 b. Graphical Results 265 6. Conclusions 268 Appendix 270 Properties of Alternative Estimators of Dynamic Panel Models: An Empirical Analysis of Cross-Country Data for the Study of Economic Growth 273 Preface 273 /. Introduction 274 2. Recent Empirical Investigations of Convergence and the Rate of Convergence 277 3. Alternative Methods for Estimation 281 a. Inconsistency of the Pooled-Sample OLS Estimates of the Dynamic Error-Components Model 282 b. Inconsistency of the OLS Estimators of the Dummy Variable or Fixed-Effects Model 283 с Generalized Least Squares and Feasible GLS 285 d. Bounds for the Coefficient of the Lagged Dependent Variable 286 e. Maximum Likelihood Conditional on the Initial Value of the Lagged Dependent Variable 287 f Unconditional Likelihood and Unconditional Maximum Likelihood 289 4. Empirical Evidence on the Comparative Performance of Different Panel Data Methods 293 5. Conclusions 299 Likelihood Inference for Dynamic Panel Models 305 Preface 305 /. Introduction 308 2. The Likelihood Principle 310 3. Likelihood Functions for Two Basic Dynamic Panel Models 314 a. The Model in Levels 316 (1) Specification of the Joint Distribution of the Observations, Both Conditional and Unconditional on the Initial Observations 316 (2) The Joint Likelihood Conditional on the Initial Observations and the Exogenous Variables 321 (3) The Joint Likelihood Unconditional on the Initial Observations 322 b. The Model in First Differences 323 xii Contents 4. An Empirical Example: A Study of Cross-Country Economic Growth Using Panel Data 326 a. Recent Empirical Investigations 327 b. New Estimates Based on Maximizing the Conditional and Unconditional Likelihood Functions 331 Index 349
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Essays in panel data econometrics
Panelanalyse (DE-588)4173172-4 gnd
Ökonometrie (DE-588)4132280-0 gnd
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(DE-588)4132280-0
(DE-588)4143413-4
title Essays in panel data econometrics
title_auth Essays in panel data econometrics
title_exact_search Essays in panel data econometrics
title_full Essays in panel data econometrics Marc Nerlove
title_fullStr Essays in panel data econometrics Marc Nerlove
title_full_unstemmed Essays in panel data econometrics Marc Nerlove
title_short Essays in panel data econometrics
title_sort essays in panel data econometrics
topic Panelanalyse (DE-588)4173172-4 gnd
Ökonometrie (DE-588)4132280-0 gnd
topic_facet Panelanalyse
Ökonometrie
Aufsatzsammlung
url http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=026076986&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA
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