This time is different eight centuries of financial folly

An empirical investigation of financial crises during the last 800 years.

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Bibliographische Detailangaben
Hauptverfasser: Reinhart, Carmen M. 1955- (VerfasserIn), Rogoff, Kenneth S. 1953- (VerfasserIn)
Format: Buch
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Princeton, NJ [u.a.] Princeton Univ. Press 2009
Ausgabe:7. print., and 1. UK print.
Schlagworte:
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Datensatz im Suchindex

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adam_text CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES XIII LIST OF FIGURES XVII LIST OF BOXES XXIII PREFACE XXV ACKNOWLEDGMENTS XXXVII PREAMBLE: SOME INITIAL INTUITIONS ON FINANCIAL FRAGILITY AND THE FICKLE NATURE OF CONFIDENCE XXXIX PART I FINANCIAL CRISES: AN OPERATIONAL PRIMER 1 1 VARIETIES OF CRISES AND THEIR DATES 3 CRISES DEFINED BY QUANTITATIVE THRESHOLDS: INFLATION, CURRENCY CRASHES, AND DEBASEMENT 4 CRISES DEFINED BY EVENTS: BANKING CRISES AND EXTERNAL AND DOMESTIC DEFAULT 8 OTHER KEY CONCEPTS 14 2 DEBT INTOLERANCE: THE GENESIS OF SERIAL DEFAULT 21 DEBT THRESHOLDS 21 CONTENTS MEASURING VULNERABILITY 25 CLUBS AND REGIONS 27 REFLECTIONS ON DEBT INTOLERANCE 29 3 A GLOBAL DATABASE ON FINANCIAL CRISES WITH A LONG-TERM VIEW 34 PRICES, EXCHANGE RATES, CURRENCY DEBASEMENT, AND REAL GDP 35 GOVERNMENT FINANCES AND NATIONAL ACCOUNTS 39 PUBLIC DEBT AND ITS COMPOSITION 40 GLOBAL VARIABLES 43 COUNTRY COVERAGE 43 PART 11 SOVEREIGN EXTERNAL DEBT CRISES 49 4 A DIGRESSION ON THE THEORETICAL UNDERPINNINGS OF DEBT CRISES 51 SOVEREIGN LENDING 54 LLLIQUIDITY VERSUS INSOLVENCY 59 PARTIAL DEFAULT AND RESCHEDULING 61 ODIOUS DEBT 63 DOMESTIC PUBLIC DEBT 64 CONCLUSIONS 67 5 CYCLES OF SOVEREIGN DEFAULT ON EXTERNAL DEBT 68 RECURRING PATTERNS 68 DEFAULT AND BANKING CRISES 73 DEFAULT AND INFLATION 75 GLOBAL FACTORS AND CYCLES OF GLOBAL EXTERNAL DEFAULT 77 THE DURATION OF DEFAULT EPISODES 81 VIA CONTENTS 6 EXTERNAL DEFAULT THROUGH HISTORY 86 THE EARLY HISTORY OF SERIAL DEFAULT: EMERGING EUROPE, 1300-1799 86 CAPITAL INFLOWS AND DEFAULT: AN OLD WORLD STORY 89 EXTERNAL SOVEREIGN DEFAULT AFTER 1800: A GLOBAL PICTURE 89 PART III THE FORGOTTEN HISTORY OF DOMESTIC DEBT AND DEFAULT 101 7 THE STYLIZED FACTS OF DOMESTIC DEBT AND DEFAULT 103 DOMESTIC AND EXTERNAL DEBT 103 MATURITY, RATES OF RETURN, AND CURRENCY COMPOSITION 105 EPISODES OF DOMESTIC DEFAULT 110 SOME CAVEATS REGARDING DOMESTIC DEBT 111 8 DOMESTIC DEBT: THE MISSING LINK EXPLAINING EXTERNAL DEFAULT AND HIGH INFLATION 119 UNDERSTANDING THE DEBT INTOLERANCE PUZZLE 119 DOMESTIC DEBT ON THE EVE AND IN THE AFTERMATH OF EXTERNAL DEFAULT 123 THE LITERATURE ON INFLATION AND DIE INFLATION TAX 124 DEFINING THE TAX BASE: DOMESTIC DEBT OR THE MONETARY BASE? 125 THE TEMPTATION TO INFLATE REVISITED 127 9 DOMESTIC AND EXTERNAL DEFAULT: WHICH IS WORSE? WHO IS SENIOR? 128 REAL GDP IN THE RUN-UP TO AND THE AFTERMATH OF DEBT DEFAULTS 129 INFLATION IN THE RUN-UP TO AND THE AFTERMATH OF DEBT DEFAULTS 129 THE INCIDENCE OF DEFAULT ON DEBTS OWED TO EXTERNAL AND DOMESTIC CREDITORS 133 SUMMARY AND DISCUSSION OF SELECTED ISSUES 136 IX CONTENTS PART IV BANKING CRISES, INFLATION, AND CURRENCY CRASHES 139 10 BANKING CRISES 141 A PREAMBLE ON THE THEORY OF BANKING CRISES 143 BANKING CRISES: AN EQUAL-OPPORTUNITY MENACE 147 BANKING CRISES, CAPITAL MOBILITY, AND FINANCIAL LIBERALIZATION 155 CAPITAL FLOW BONANZAS, CREDIT CYCLES, AND ASSET PRICES 157 OVERCAPACITY BUBBLES IN THE FINANCIAL INDUSTRY? 162 THE FISCAL LEGACY OF FINANCIAL CRISES REVISITED 162 LIVING WITH THE WRECKAGE: SOME OBSERVATIONS 171 11 DEFAULT THROUGH DEBASEMENT: AN OLD WORLD FAVORITE 174 12 INFLATION AND MODERN CURRENCY CRASHES 180 AN EARLY HISTORY OF INFLATION CRISES 181 MODERN INFLATION CRISES: REGIONAL COMPARISONS 182 CURRENCY CRASHES 189 THE AFTERMATH OF HIGH INFLATION AND CURRENCY COLLAPSES 191 UNDOING DOMESTIC DOLLARIZATION 193 PART V THE U.S. SUBPRIME MELTDOWN AND THE SECOND GREAT CONTRACTION 199 13 THE U.S. SUBPRIME CRISIS: AN INTERNATIONAL AND HISTORICAL COMPARISON 203 A GLOBAL HISTORICAL VIEW OF THE SUBPRIME CRISIS AND ITS AFTERMATH 204 CONTENTS THE THIS-TIME-IS-DIFFERENT SYNDROME AND THE RUN-UP TO THE SUBPRIME CRISIS 208 RISKS POSED BY SUSTAINED U.S. BORROWING FROM THE REST OF THE WORLD: THE DEBATE BEFORE THE CRISIS 208 THE EPISODES OF POSTWAR BANK-CENTERED FINANCIAL CRISIS 215 A COMPARISON OF THE SUBPRIME CRISIS WITH PAST CRISES IN ADVANCED ECONOMIES 216 SUMMARY 221 14 THE AFTERMATH OF FINANCIAL CRISES 223 HISTORICAL EPISODES REVISITED 225 THE DOWNTURN AFTER A CRISIS: DEPTH AND DURATION 226 THE FISCAL LEGACY OF CRISES 231 SOVEREIGN RISK 232 COMPARISONS WITH EXPERIENCES FROM THE FIRST GREAT CONTRACTION IN THE 1930S 233 CONCLUDING REMARKS 238 15 THE INTERNATIONAL DIMENSIONS OF THE SUBPRIME CRISIS: THE RESULTS OF CONTAGION OR COMMON FUNDAMENTALS? 240 CONCEPTS OF CONTAGION 241 SELECTED EARLIER EPISODES 241 COMMON FUNDAMENTALS AND THE SECOND GREAT CONTRACTION 242 ARE MORE SPILLOVERS UNDER WAY? 246 16 COMPOSITE MEASURES OF FINANCIAL TURMOIL 248 DEVELOPING A COMPOSITE INDEX OF CRISES: THE BCDI INDEX 249 DEFINING A GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS 260 THE SEQUENCING OF CRISES: A PROTOTYPE 270 SUMMARY 273 XI CONTENTS PART VI WHAT HAVE WE LEARNED? 275 17 REFLECTIONS ON EARLY WARNINGS, GRADUATION, POLICY RESPONSES, AND THE FOIBLES OF HUMAN NATURE 277 ON EARLY WARNINGS OF CRISES 278 THE ROLE OF INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS 281 GRADUATION 283 SOME OBSERVATIONS ON POLICY RESPONSES 287 THE LATEST VERSION OF THE THIS-TIME-IS-DIFFERENT SYNDROME 290 DATA APPENDIXES 293 A.I. MACROECONOMIC TIME SERIES 295 A.2. PUBLIC DEBT 327 A.3. DATES OF BANKING CRISES 344 A.4. HISTORICAL SUMMARIES OF BANKING CRISES 348 NOTES 393 REFERENCES 409 NAME INDEX 435 SUBJECT INDEX 443 XU
any_adam_object 1
author Reinhart, Carmen M. 1955-
Rogoff, Kenneth S. 1953-
author_GND (DE-588)128390883
(DE-588)128551933
author_facet Reinhart, Carmen M. 1955-
Rogoff, Kenneth S. 1953-
author_role aut
aut
author_sort Reinhart, Carmen M. 1955-
author_variant c m r cm cmr
k s r ks ksr
building Verbundindex
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callnumber-subject HB - Economic Theory and Demography
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QK 640
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dewey-ones 338 - Production
dewey-raw 338.5/42
dewey-search 338.5/42
dewey-sort 3338.5 242
dewey-tens 330 - Economics
discipline Wirtschaftswissenschaften
edition 7. print., and 1. UK print.
era Geschichte gnd
era_facet Geschichte
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geographic USA (DE-588)4078704-7 gnd
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indexdate 2024-07-09T22:09:57Z
institution BVB
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language English
oai_aleph_id oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-018930022
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publisher Princeton Univ. Press
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spelling Reinhart, Carmen M. 1955- Verfasser (DE-588)128390883 aut
This time is different eight centuries of financial folly Carmen M. Reinhart ; Kenneth S. Rogoff
7. print., and 1. UK print.
Princeton, NJ [u.a.] Princeton Univ. Press 2009
XLV, 463 S. graph. Darst.
txt rdacontent
n rdamedia
nc rdacarrier
An empirical investigation of financial crises during the last 800 years.
Geschichte gnd rswk-swf
Financial crises / Case studies
Fiscal policy / Case studies
Business cycles / Case studies
Business cycles Case studies
Financial crises Case studies
Fiscal policy Case studies
Abwertung (DE-588)4141203-5 gnd rswk-swf
Inflation (DE-588)4026887-1 gnd rswk-swf
Schuldenkrise (DE-588)4200280-1 gnd rswk-swf
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Finanzpolitik (DE-588)4127795-8 gnd rswk-swf
Geschichte (DE-588)4020517-4 gnd rswk-swf
Wirtschaftspsychologie (DE-588)4066506-9 gnd rswk-swf
Finanzkrise (DE-588)7635855-0 gnd rswk-swf
Konjunkturabschwung (DE-588)4200325-8 gnd rswk-swf
Konjunkturzyklus (DE-588)4032134-4 gnd rswk-swf
USA (DE-588)4078704-7 gnd rswk-swf
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Abwertung (DE-588)4141203-5 s
Anlageverhalten (DE-588)4214003-1 s
Wirtschaftspsychologie (DE-588)4066506-9 s
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spellingShingle Reinhart, Carmen M. 1955-
Rogoff, Kenneth S. 1953-
This time is different eight centuries of financial folly
Financial crises / Case studies
Fiscal policy / Case studies
Business cycles / Case studies
Business cycles Case studies
Financial crises Case studies
Fiscal policy Case studies
Abwertung (DE-588)4141203-5 gnd
Inflation (DE-588)4026887-1 gnd
Schuldenkrise (DE-588)4200280-1 gnd
Anlageverhalten (DE-588)4214003-1 gnd
Finanzpolitik (DE-588)4127795-8 gnd
Geschichte (DE-588)4020517-4 gnd
Wirtschaftspsychologie (DE-588)4066506-9 gnd
Finanzkrise (DE-588)7635855-0 gnd
Konjunkturabschwung (DE-588)4200325-8 gnd
Konjunkturzyklus (DE-588)4032134-4 gnd
subject_GND (DE-588)4141203-5
(DE-588)4026887-1
(DE-588)4200280-1
(DE-588)4214003-1
(DE-588)4127795-8
(DE-588)4020517-4
(DE-588)4066506-9
(DE-588)7635855-0
(DE-588)4200325-8
(DE-588)4032134-4
(DE-588)4078704-7
(DE-588)4522595-3
title This time is different eight centuries of financial folly
title_auth This time is different eight centuries of financial folly
title_exact_search This time is different eight centuries of financial folly
title_full This time is different eight centuries of financial folly Carmen M. Reinhart ; Kenneth S. Rogoff
title_fullStr This time is different eight centuries of financial folly Carmen M. Reinhart ; Kenneth S. Rogoff
title_full_unstemmed This time is different eight centuries of financial folly Carmen M. Reinhart ; Kenneth S. Rogoff
title_short This time is different
title_sort this time is different eight centuries of financial folly
title_sub eight centuries of financial folly
topic Financial crises / Case studies
Fiscal policy / Case studies
Business cycles / Case studies
Business cycles Case studies
Financial crises Case studies
Fiscal policy Case studies
Abwertung (DE-588)4141203-5 gnd
Inflation (DE-588)4026887-1 gnd
Schuldenkrise (DE-588)4200280-1 gnd
Anlageverhalten (DE-588)4214003-1 gnd
Finanzpolitik (DE-588)4127795-8 gnd
Geschichte (DE-588)4020517-4 gnd
Wirtschaftspsychologie (DE-588)4066506-9 gnd
Finanzkrise (DE-588)7635855-0 gnd
Konjunkturabschwung (DE-588)4200325-8 gnd
Konjunkturzyklus (DE-588)4032134-4 gnd
topic_facet Financial crises / Case studies
Fiscal policy / Case studies
Business cycles / Case studies
Business cycles Case studies
Financial crises Case studies
Fiscal policy Case studies
Abwertung
Inflation
Schuldenkrise
Anlageverhalten
Finanzpolitik
Geschichte
Wirtschaftspsychologie
Finanzkrise
Konjunkturabschwung
Konjunkturzyklus
USA
Fallstudiensammlung
url http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=018930022&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA
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