Reducing project risk

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1. Verfasser: Kliem, Ralph L. (VerfasserIn)
Format: Buch
Sprache:Undetermined
Veröffentlicht: Aldershot <<[u.a.]>> Gower 1997
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Datensatz im Suchindex

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adam_text Contents Figures xi Preface xv Commonality xv Different views xvi Appropriate processes xviii Part I Introduction to Risk Management 1 1 An overview 3 About risk 3 Elements of risk 5 Risk management steps 7 Risk management cycle 9 2 Project risk: origins and impacts 11 Project = system H Life cycle 14 vii viii Contents Project risk categories 16 Exposure 16 Typology 18 Appropriate means 21 3 The psychology of risk management 23 All in the head 23 Institutional factors 24 Motivation 26 Balancing act 32 Psychology + maths = risk management 34 4 Decision-making and risk management 35 Right decisions 35 Ingredients 36 Two types of decision 38 Roundabout 39 Bi-level 43 Back to reality 45 Part II The Risk Management Process 47 5 Step one: risk identification 49 Purposes 49 Identifying the most significant participants 50 Stabilizing groundwork 50 Identifying the pieces 51 Identifying inherent risks 52 Prioritizing the pieces 56 Building confidence 57 6 Step two: risk analysis 59 Section 1 Introduction 59 Section 2 Statistics 59 Section 3 Techniques 67 Contents ix Three-point estimate 69 Decision trees 70 Monte Carlo simulation 72 Heuristics 81 Precedence diagramming method 82 Conclusion 84 7 Step three: risk control 87 Break with the past 87 Risk pro-action 89 Using an effective warning system 90 Adopting a project management methodology 92 Performing contingency planning 95 Reusing components 97 Improving processes 102 Training 106 Pro-action, not reaction 107 8 Step four: risk reporting 109 Characteristics of effective risk reports 109 Written report 112 Oral report H4 Two key ingredients 116 Part HI Risk Management in Action 117 9 A case study 119 Background H9 Scope 120 Description of RAW 121 Project constraints 122 The assessment 122 Step 1: Acquire preliminary project background 124 Step 2: Conduct ranking/matrix construction 125 Step 3: Conduct in-depth review 130 Determining quadrants i3* x Contents Step 4: Prepare report/presentation 143 Structure of written report 145 Findings 148 Recommendations 148 Oral presentation 149 Step 5: Conduct meeting with senior management 152 Meaningful insights 153 Part IV The Future of Risk Management 155 10 High risk in the new millennium 157 Macro-trends 157 Risky reality 168 Appendices 169 A: A five-step process for conducting risk identification and analysis 171 B: Software 185 C: Common project management risks and their implications 195 Glossary 203 Recommended reading 217 Notes 219 Index 225 Figures 1-1 A summary of generic risks 4 1.2 Potential areas impacted by common risks 6 1-3 A continuous loop risk management using the Deming Wheel 9 2.1 A system perspective of project management 12 2.2 Constraints often placed on projects are linked to associated disequilibriums 14 2.3 Five stages of a project 15 2.4 Typical phases of a project 15 2.5 Typical project management risks bv category 17 2.6 Project management application tvpology (PMAT) 19 3.1 How people perceive risk assessment 25 3.2 Some common factors affecting a person s attitude to risk 26 3.3 Maslow s hierarchy of needs 27 3.4 Risk implies a need for achievement 28 3.5 Theories and theorists of human motivation 30 3.6 Factors influencing perception of risk 30 xi xii Figures 3.7 Personality factors which negatively bias individuals when calculating risk 31 4.1 Risk versus decision type 39 4.2 Risk tendencies and reduction when groups make decisions 45 5.1 Sources of information 51 5.2 Venn diagrams showing conceptual overlap of components and risks 52 5.3 Common project risks 53 5.4 List of considerations for conducting risk assessment sessions 54 5.5 Taxonomy of human errors 55 5.6 Level of importance of a risk over time 57 6.1 Frequency table 61 6.2 Histogram 62 6.3 Line drawing 62 6.4 Graph of a normal distribution 66 6.5 List of techniques for risk analysis 67 6.6 Strengths and weaknesses of common techniques 68 6.7 Network drawing 70 6.8 Decision tree diagram 71 6.9 Demand of oil 74 6.10 Demand for barrels of oil/week 75 6.11 Weeks in winter season 76 6.12 Graph of weeks in winter season 76 6.13 Random numbers assigned to demand 77 6.14 Random numbers assigned to weeks in the season 78 6.15 Monte Carlo simulation. A sample of five trials 80 6.16 Identify components 82 6.17 Rank components 83 6.18 Identify risks or goals 84 6.19 Rank risks or goals 85 6.20 Complete each cell 86 7.1 Cost impact of a risk 89 7.2 Contents of a typical project management methodology 93 Figures xiii 7.3 Flowchart for a contingency plan 96 7 A Triggers of cause and effect 97 7.5 Contingency plan 98 7.6 Action item log 99 7.7 Twelve types of components to enter the reuse library 100 7.8 Sample criteria for components to enter the library 101 7.9 Necessary considerations for applying CQI 102 7.10 Necessary considerations for purchasing a workflow tool 104 7.11 Necessary considerations for applying BPR 104 8.1 Risk report categories 110 8.2 Risk assessment checklist 111 9.1 RAW park annexe to new zoo 120 9.2 RAW facilities 121 9.3 The five steps of risk management 123 9.4 Final project matrix (example) 129 9.5 Ranking of RAW project goals 131 9.6 Ranking of RAW project processes 133 9.7 Matrix showing quadrants 135 9.8 How measures of success relate to matrix 136 9.9 Index of process vis-a-vis measure of success bv figure number 137 9.10 Measures of success - planning 138 9.11 Measures of success-lead in v: 138 9.12 Measures of success - ere-1Hi. ;:; 139 9.13 Measures of success - i/ii - .;:¦ 139 9.14 Measures of success .. :.:,. imv; 140 9.15 Measures of success -^ ¦ i-Mnont 140 9.16 Measures of success-definition 141 9.17 Cell evaluation scheme assessment 142 9.18 Cell evaluation 1^ 9.19 RAW project final report matrix 144 9.20 Rule of thumb for reports 146 9.21 Improvements for effective team-building 147 9.22a-e Viewgraphs of oral presentation 1^0 xiv Figures 10.1 Some contingency plans for managing risks associated with macro-trends 164 Al.l Summary of five steps 171 A1.2 Sample cell 178 A1.3 Ranking of project goals: step form 181 A1.4 Ranking of processes: step form 182 A1.5 Final project matrix 183 Bl.l How to determine requirements 189 B1.2 How to select the right software 190
any_adam_object 1
author Kliem, Ralph L.
author_facet Kliem, Ralph L.
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dewey-tens 650 - Management and auxiliary services
discipline Wirtschaftswissenschaften
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spelling Kliem, Ralph L. Verfasser aut
Reducing project risk Ralph L. Kliem ; Irwin S. Ludin
Aldershot <<[u.a.]>> Gower 1997
XVIII, 228 S. graph. Darst.
txt rdacontent
n rdamedia
nc rdacarrier
Projektmanagement (DE-588)4047441-0 gnd rswk-swf
Risikomanagement (DE-588)4121590-4 gnd rswk-swf
Projektmanagement (DE-588)4047441-0 s
Risikomanagement (DE-588)4121590-4 s
DE-188
Ludin, Irwin S. Sonstige oth
HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=021762478&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis
spellingShingle Kliem, Ralph L.
Reducing project risk
Projektmanagement (DE-588)4047441-0 gnd
Risikomanagement (DE-588)4121590-4 gnd
subject_GND (DE-588)4047441-0
(DE-588)4121590-4
title Reducing project risk
title_auth Reducing project risk
title_exact_search Reducing project risk
title_full Reducing project risk Ralph L. Kliem ; Irwin S. Ludin
title_fullStr Reducing project risk Ralph L. Kliem ; Irwin S. Ludin
title_full_unstemmed Reducing project risk Ralph L. Kliem ; Irwin S. Ludin
title_short Reducing project risk
title_sort reducing project risk
topic Projektmanagement (DE-588)4047441-0 gnd
Risikomanagement (DE-588)4121590-4 gnd
topic_facet Projektmanagement
Risikomanagement
url http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=021762478&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA
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