Reducing project risk
Gespeichert in:
1. Verfasser: | |
---|---|
Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | Undetermined |
Veröffentlicht: |
Aldershot <<[u.a.]>>
Gower
1997
|
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
Tags: |
Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
|
MARC
LEADER | 00000nam a22000001c 4500 | ||
---|---|---|---|
001 | BV026177655 | ||
003 | DE-604 | ||
005 | 20110228 | ||
007 | t | ||
008 | 110326s1997 d||| |||| 00||| und d | ||
020 | |a 056607799X |9 0-566-07799-X | ||
035 | |a (OCoLC)832960728 | ||
035 | |a (DE-599)BVBBV026177655 | ||
040 | |a DE-604 |b ger |e rakwb | ||
041 | |a und | ||
049 | |a DE-188 | ||
082 | 0 | |a 658.155 | |
100 | 1 | |a Kliem, Ralph L. |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
245 | 1 | 0 | |a Reducing project risk |c Ralph L. Kliem ; Irwin S. Ludin |
264 | 1 | |a Aldershot <<[u.a.]>> |b Gower |c 1997 | |
300 | |a XVIII, 228 S. |b graph. Darst. | ||
336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
338 | |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
650 | 0 | 7 | |a Projektmanagement |0 (DE-588)4047441-0 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
650 | 0 | 7 | |a Risikomanagement |0 (DE-588)4121590-4 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
689 | 0 | 0 | |a Projektmanagement |0 (DE-588)4047441-0 |D s |
689 | 0 | 1 | |a Risikomanagement |0 (DE-588)4121590-4 |D s |
689 | 0 | |5 DE-188 | |
700 | 1 | |a Ludin, Irwin S. |e Sonstige |4 oth | |
856 | 4 | 2 | |m HBZ Datenaustausch |q application/pdf |u http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=021762478&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |3 Inhaltsverzeichnis |
999 | |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-021762478 |
Datensatz im Suchindex
_version_ | 1804144633021726720 |
---|---|
adam_text | Contents
Figures xi
Preface xv
Commonality xv
Different views xvi
Appropriate processes xviii
Part I Introduction to Risk Management 1
1 An overview 3
About risk 3
Elements of risk 5
Risk management steps 7
Risk management cycle 9
2 Project risk: origins and impacts 11
Project = system H
Life cycle 14
vii
viii Contents
Project risk categories 16
Exposure 16
Typology 18
Appropriate means 21
3 The psychology of risk management 23
All in the head 23
Institutional factors 24
Motivation 26
Balancing act 32
Psychology + maths = risk management 34
4 Decision-making and risk management 35
Right decisions 35
Ingredients 36
Two types of decision 38
Roundabout 39
Bi-level 43
Back to reality 45
Part II The Risk Management Process 47
5 Step one: risk identification 49
Purposes 49
Identifying the most significant participants 50
Stabilizing groundwork 50
Identifying the pieces 51
Identifying inherent risks 52
Prioritizing the pieces 56
Building confidence 57
6 Step two: risk analysis 59
Section 1 Introduction 59
Section 2 Statistics 59
Section 3 Techniques 67
Contents ix
Three-point estimate 69
Decision trees 70
Monte Carlo simulation 72
Heuristics 81
Precedence diagramming method 82
Conclusion 84
7 Step three: risk control 87
Break with the past 87
Risk pro-action 89
Using an effective warning system 90
Adopting a project management methodology 92
Performing contingency planning 95
Reusing components 97
Improving processes 102
Training 106
Pro-action, not reaction 107
8 Step four: risk reporting 109
Characteristics of effective risk reports 109
Written report 112
Oral report H4
Two key ingredients 116
Part HI Risk Management in Action 117
9 A case study 119
Background H9
Scope 120
Description of RAW 121
Project constraints 122
The assessment 122
Step 1: Acquire preliminary project background 124
Step 2: Conduct ranking/matrix construction 125
Step 3: Conduct in-depth review 130
Determining quadrants i3*
x Contents
Step 4: Prepare report/presentation 143
Structure of written report 145
Findings 148
Recommendations 148
Oral presentation 149
Step 5: Conduct meeting with senior management 152
Meaningful insights 153
Part IV The Future of Risk Management 155
10 High risk in the new millennium 157
Macro-trends 157
Risky reality 168
Appendices 169
A: A five-step process for conducting risk
identification and analysis 171
B: Software 185
C: Common project management risks and their
implications 195
Glossary 203
Recommended reading 217
Notes 219
Index 225
Figures
1-1 A summary of generic risks 4
1.2 Potential areas impacted by common risks 6
1-3 A continuous loop risk management using the
Deming Wheel 9
2.1 A system perspective of project management 12
2.2 Constraints often placed on projects are linked
to associated disequilibriums 14
2.3 Five stages of a project 15
2.4 Typical phases of a project 15
2.5 Typical project management risks bv category 17
2.6 Project management application tvpology
(PMAT) 19
3.1 How people perceive risk assessment 25
3.2 Some common factors affecting a person s
attitude to risk 26
3.3 Maslow s hierarchy of needs 27
3.4 Risk implies a need for achievement 28
3.5 Theories and theorists of human motivation 30
3.6 Factors influencing perception of risk 30
xi
xii Figures 3.7 Personality factors which negatively bias
individuals when calculating risk 31
4.1 Risk versus decision type 39
4.2 Risk tendencies and reduction when groups
make decisions 45
5.1 Sources of information 51
5.2 Venn diagrams showing conceptual overlap of
components and risks 52
5.3 Common project risks 53
5.4 List of considerations for conducting risk
assessment sessions 54
5.5 Taxonomy of human errors 55
5.6 Level of importance of a risk over time 57
6.1 Frequency table 61
6.2 Histogram 62
6.3 Line drawing 62
6.4 Graph of a normal distribution 66
6.5 List of techniques for risk analysis 67
6.6 Strengths and weaknesses of common
techniques 68
6.7 Network drawing 70
6.8 Decision tree diagram 71
6.9 Demand of oil 74
6.10 Demand for barrels of oil/week 75
6.11 Weeks in winter season 76
6.12 Graph of weeks in winter season 76
6.13 Random numbers assigned to demand 77
6.14 Random numbers assigned to weeks in the
season 78
6.15 Monte Carlo simulation. A sample of five trials 80
6.16 Identify components 82
6.17 Rank components 83
6.18 Identify risks or goals 84
6.19 Rank risks or goals 85
6.20 Complete each cell 86
7.1 Cost impact of a risk 89
7.2 Contents of a typical project management
methodology 93
Figures xiii
7.3 Flowchart for a contingency plan 96
7 A Triggers of cause and effect 97
7.5 Contingency plan 98
7.6 Action item log 99
7.7 Twelve types of components to enter the reuse
library 100
7.8 Sample criteria for components to enter the
library 101
7.9 Necessary considerations for applying CQI 102
7.10 Necessary considerations for purchasing a
workflow tool 104
7.11 Necessary considerations for applying BPR 104
8.1 Risk report categories 110
8.2 Risk assessment checklist 111
9.1 RAW park annexe to new zoo 120
9.2 RAW facilities 121
9.3 The five steps of risk management 123
9.4 Final project matrix (example) 129
9.5 Ranking of RAW project goals 131
9.6 Ranking of RAW project processes 133
9.7 Matrix showing quadrants 135
9.8 How measures of success relate to matrix 136
9.9 Index of process vis-a-vis measure of success bv
figure number 137
9.10 Measures of success - planning 138
9.11 Measures of success-lead in v: 138
9.12 Measures of success - ere-1Hi. ;:; 139
9.13 Measures of success - i/ii - .;:¦ 139
9.14 Measures of success .. :.:,. imv; 140
9.15 Measures of success -^ ¦ i-Mnont 140
9.16 Measures of success-definition 141
9.17 Cell evaluation scheme assessment 142
9.18 Cell evaluation 1^
9.19 RAW project final report matrix 144
9.20 Rule of thumb for reports 146
9.21 Improvements for effective team-building 147
9.22a-e Viewgraphs of oral presentation 1^0
xiv Figures
10.1 Some contingency plans for managing risks
associated with macro-trends 164
Al.l Summary of five steps 171
A1.2 Sample cell 178
A1.3 Ranking of project goals: step form 181
A1.4 Ranking of processes: step form 182
A1.5 Final project matrix 183
Bl.l How to determine requirements 189
B1.2 How to select the right software 190
|
any_adam_object | 1 |
author | Kliem, Ralph L. |
author_facet | Kliem, Ralph L. |
author_role | aut |
author_sort | Kliem, Ralph L. |
author_variant | r l k rl rlk |
building | Verbundindex |
bvnumber | BV026177655 |
ctrlnum | (OCoLC)832960728 (DE-599)BVBBV026177655 |
dewey-full | 658.155 |
dewey-hundreds | 600 - Technology (Applied sciences) |
dewey-ones | 658 - General management |
dewey-raw | 658.155 |
dewey-search | 658.155 |
dewey-sort | 3658.155 |
dewey-tens | 650 - Management and auxiliary services |
discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
format | Book |
fullrecord | <?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>01300nam a22003491c 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">BV026177655</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-604</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20110228 </controlfield><controlfield tag="007">t</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">110326s1997 d||| |||| 00||| und d</controlfield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">056607799X</subfield><subfield code="9">0-566-07799-X</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(OCoLC)832960728</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)BVBBV026177655</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-604</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="e">rakwb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">und</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="049" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-188</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">658.155</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Kliem, Ralph L.</subfield><subfield code="e">Verfasser</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Reducing project risk</subfield><subfield code="c">Ralph L. Kliem ; Irwin S. Ludin</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="a">Aldershot <<[u.a.]>></subfield><subfield code="b">Gower</subfield><subfield code="c">1997</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">XVIII, 228 S.</subfield><subfield code="b">graph. Darst.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">n</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">nc</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1="0" ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Projektmanagement</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4047441-0</subfield><subfield code="2">gnd</subfield><subfield code="9">rswk-swf</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1="0" ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Risikomanagement</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4121590-4</subfield><subfield code="2">gnd</subfield><subfield code="9">rswk-swf</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="0" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Projektmanagement</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4047441-0</subfield><subfield code="D">s</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="0" ind2="1"><subfield code="a">Risikomanagement</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4121590-4</subfield><subfield code="D">s</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="5">DE-188</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Ludin, Irwin S.</subfield><subfield code="e">Sonstige</subfield><subfield code="4">oth</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="2"><subfield code="m">HBZ Datenaustausch</subfield><subfield code="q">application/pdf</subfield><subfield code="u">http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=021762478&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA</subfield><subfield code="3">Inhaltsverzeichnis</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="999" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-021762478</subfield></datafield></record></collection> |
id | DE-604.BV026177655 |
illustrated | Illustrated |
indexdate | 2024-07-09T23:06:39Z |
institution | BVB |
isbn | 056607799X |
language | Undetermined |
oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-021762478 |
oclc_num | 832960728 |
open_access_boolean | |
owner | DE-188 |
owner_facet | DE-188 |
physical | XVIII, 228 S. graph. Darst. |
publishDate | 1997 |
publishDateSearch | 1997 |
publishDateSort | 1997 |
publisher | Gower |
record_format | marc |
spelling | Kliem, Ralph L. Verfasser aut Reducing project risk Ralph L. Kliem ; Irwin S. Ludin Aldershot <<[u.a.]>> Gower 1997 XVIII, 228 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Projektmanagement (DE-588)4047441-0 gnd rswk-swf Risikomanagement (DE-588)4121590-4 gnd rswk-swf Projektmanagement (DE-588)4047441-0 s Risikomanagement (DE-588)4121590-4 s DE-188 Ludin, Irwin S. Sonstige oth HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=021762478&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
spellingShingle | Kliem, Ralph L. Reducing project risk Projektmanagement (DE-588)4047441-0 gnd Risikomanagement (DE-588)4121590-4 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4047441-0 (DE-588)4121590-4 |
title | Reducing project risk |
title_auth | Reducing project risk |
title_exact_search | Reducing project risk |
title_full | Reducing project risk Ralph L. Kliem ; Irwin S. Ludin |
title_fullStr | Reducing project risk Ralph L. Kliem ; Irwin S. Ludin |
title_full_unstemmed | Reducing project risk Ralph L. Kliem ; Irwin S. Ludin |
title_short | Reducing project risk |
title_sort | reducing project risk |
topic | Projektmanagement (DE-588)4047441-0 gnd Risikomanagement (DE-588)4121590-4 gnd |
topic_facet | Projektmanagement Risikomanagement |
url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=021762478&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
work_keys_str_mv | AT kliemralphl reducingprojectrisk AT ludinirwins reducingprojectrisk |