Demographic change and intergenerational justice the implementation of long-term thinking in the political decision making process
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Demographic change and intergenerational justice |b the implementation of long-term thinking in the political decision making process |c Joerg Chet Tremmel (ed.) |
| 264 | 1 | |a Berlin [u.a.] |b Springer |c 2008 | |
| 300 | |a XXVII, 218 S. |b graph. Darst., Kt. | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 500 | |a Literaturangaben | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Demography | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Intergenerational relations | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Social justice | |
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| adam_text |
Contents
Part I Demographic Trends
1
Low Fertility in Europe in a Global Demographic Context
. 3
Wolfgang
Lutz
and Vegard Skirbekk
1.1
Introduction
. 3
1.2
The End of Population Growth in a Demographically
Divided World
. 4
1.3
The Changing Global Distribution of Population
and Human Capital
. 8
1.4
How Low Can Fertility Fall in Europe?
. 10
1.5
Three Mechanisms that May Cause
a Downward Spiral in Future Birth Rates
. 13
1.6
Conclusions
. 17
Part II The Impact of Demographic Developments on Key Indicators
2
Demography and Budget Consolidation: An Analysis and Possible
Courses of Action
. 23
Johannes Meier and
Ole
Wintermann
2.1
Introduction
. 23
2.2
Public Debt Monitor
. 24
2.3
Successful Consolidation: An International Comparison
. 27
2.4
Reform Measures on the Expenditure Side
. 27
2.5
Reform Measures on the Revenue Side
. 28
2.6
Institutional Changes in the Budget Process
. 28
2.7
Drawing Conclusions from "Soft Factors"
. 29
2.8
Summary and Outlook
. 29
3
Intergenerational Justice and
Economic
Growth.
A Challenge for Economic Policy
. 31
Michael
Hüther
3.1
Economic Theory and the Theory of Justice
. 31
3.2
Germany: Facing Demographic Change
and the Need for Education Reform
. 33
x
Contents
3.3
Driving Forces of Economic Growth
. 39
3.4
The Concept of Intergenerational Justice
. 43
3.5
A National Strategy for Long-term Growth
. 47
4
Demographic Development: Not Really a Problem for Coming
Generations
. 53
Thomas Straubhaar
4.1
Introduction
. 53
4.2
Demographic Change and Economic Consequences
. 54
4.2.1
A Few Theoretical Preliminary Remarks
. 54
4.2.2 .
and Their Empirical Relevance
. 57
4.3
Prospects
. 59
4.3.1
More Goods for Less People
. 59
4.3.2
Growing Populations in Other World Areas
. 60
4.3.3
Aging, Not Shrinking Is the Problem
. 60
4.4
Political Recommendations
. 61
4.5
Family Policy
. 61
4.6
Migration
. 61
4.6.1
Immigration Is a Help but Not a Solution
. 62
4.7
Increasing Duration of Working Life
. 63
4.7.1
Work Longer!
. 64
4.8
Increase of Labor Force Participation
. 64
4.8.1
Women at Work!
. 64
4.8.2
Old, Not Stupid!
. 65
4.9
Reform of Labor Force Behavior
. 66
4.9.1
Lifelong Learning
. 66
4.10
Reform of the Pension System
. 67
4.10.1
Many, Instead of Single Pillars
. 67
4.10.2
Make Your Choice!
. 68
4.11
Summary
. 69
5
Macroeconomics and Age Structure
in a Welfare State
-
Sweden
1946-2005 . 71
Thomas
Lincili
and
Bo Malmberg
5.1
Demography and Welfare State Macroeconomics
. 71
5.2
Macroeconomic Mechanisms for Age Effects
. 74
5.3
Estimation Methods
. 78
5.4
Estimated Age Patterns
. 81
5.5
Discussion of the Estimates
. 84
5.6
The Importance of Age Structure
for Swedish Economic Development
. 87
5.7
Concluding Remarks
. 91
Contents xi
Part III The Relationship Between Key Sustainability Indicators
and Intergenerational Justice
6
Demographic Change and Sustainability: A Generational Balance
. 99
R. Andreas Kraemer, Daniel Blobel, Anneke
von Raggamby,
Doris Knoblauch
6.1
Introduction: Is Growing Good and Shrinking Bad?
Or Vice Versa?
. 99
6.2
What Does "Generational Balance" Mean
in the Context of Sustainability?
. 100
6.3
Demographic Development in Germany
-
Regional Disparities
101
6.3.1
Germans Don't Like Children?
. 101
6.3.2
Who Should Have a Family
. 103
6.3.3 .
Where Have the Women Gone?
. 103
6.3.4
Germany's East Is Emptying!
. 104
6.3.5
Consequences of Spatial Distribution Underestimated
104
6.4
Energy, Settlements, Mobility
-
Securing Public Utilities
and Services
. 106
6.4.1
Rapidly Changing Lifestyles After the War
. 106
6.4.2
Heritage/Legacy
. 107
6.4.3
Demographic Change Will Be No Solution
. 108
6.4.4
Options for Future Developments
. 110
6.4.5
A Change in Energy Consumption Is Required
. 112
6.4.6
Energy, Settlements and Mobility Are Interconnected
. 114
6.5
Natural Heritage
-
A Matter of Culture
. 116
6.5.1
Our Natural Heritage Is Cultural Heritage
. 116
6.5.2
Conservation Versus Development: Leading the Way
into the Impasse?
. 117
6.5.3
Forces of Change
. 118
6.5.4
Preserving Nature by Allowing for Change
. 120
6.6
Conclusion: The Challenge of Adaptation
. 122
7
Intergenerational Justice in an Extreme Longevity Scenario
. 127
Ulrich Feeser-Lichterfeld
7.1
Introduction
. 127
7.2
The Truth About the Fountain of Youth?
. 128
7.3
Ethical Issues in Biogerontological Endeavours
. 129
7.4
Consequences for Intergenerational Justice?
. 130
7.5
Anti-aging or Acceptance of Frailty and Finiteness?
-
A Question for All Generations
. 132
xii
Contents
Part IV Intergenerational Justice and Population Policies
8
An Ethical Assessment of the Legitimacy of Anti-natalistic Birth
Policies
. 137
Joerg Chet Tremmel
8.1
Introduction
. 137
8.2
Focus on Anti-natalistic Birth Policies
. 137
8.3
The Human Rights Discourse and the Ethical Discourse
. 142
8.4
The Dissemination of Birth Policies
. 143
8.5
The Role of the State
. 143
8.6
The Democratic Proviso
. 145
8.7
The Link Between Severity and Efficiency
. 146
8.8
The Classification of Birth Policies
. 147
8.8.1
The Indirect Approach
. 148
8.8.2
The Appellative Approach
. 149
8.8.3
The Financial Incentives Approach
. 149
8.8.4
Restricting Financial Incentives
. 149
8.8.5
Imposition of Financial Disincentives
. 149
8.8.6
The Rationing Approach
. 150
8.9
Reaching Ethical Decisions
. 150
8.10
Incentives and Disincentives
. 152
8.11
Are Bonuses and
Maluses
Equal
from an Ethical Point of View?
. 152
8.12
The Four-fifths Rule
. 153
8.13
Arguments Against the Four-fifths Rule
. 156
Part V The Implementation of Long-term Thinking
9
Changing the German Constitution in Favor of Future
Generations
-
Four Perspectives from the Young Generation
. 163
Marco
Wanderwitz,
Peter
Friedrich,
Anna Liihrmann, Michael Kauch
9.1
Introduction, by Joerg Chet Tremmel
. 163
9.2
Intergenerational Justice from the Perspective of the Christian
Democrats/Christian Socials, by Marco
Wanderwitz,
Member
of the German Bundestag
(CDU). 164
9.3
Intergenerational Justice
-
The Social Democratic Perspective,
by Peter
Friedrich,
Member of the German Bundestag
(SPD) 165
9.4
"We Have Only Borrowed the Earth from Our Children"
-
The Green Perspective, by Anna
Lührmann,
Member
of the German Bundestag (Green)
. 168
9.5
Intergenerational Justice in the Constitution
-
The Liberal
Perspective, by Michael Kauch, Member of the German
Bundestag
(FDP) . 171
Contents xiii
10 Demographic
Pressure
and Attitudes Towards Public Intergenerational
Transfers in Germany
-
How Much Room Left for Reforms?
. 175
Harald Wilkoszewski
10.1
Introduction
. 175
10.2
Theoretical Starting Point
-
Mannheim's Concept
of Political Generations
. 177
10.3
Preferences Towards Public Intergenerational Transfers
. 180
10.3.1
Beyond the Dichotomy of Altruism Versus Exchange:
Motivations for Intergenerational Transfers
. 181
10.3.2
A Set of Motivations for Public Transfers
. 184
10.3.3
Empirical Findings on Preferences Towards Public
Intergenerational Transfers
. 186
10.3.4
Socio-demographic Influence on Preferences
Towards Public Transfers: Does Age Matter?
. 188
10.3.5
Conclusions
. 189
10.4
Empirical Analysis: Public Intergenerational Transfers
in Germany
. 190
10.4.1
Policy-relevant Demographic Trends
and the Recent Transfer Policy Shift in Germany
. 190
10.4.2
Current Preferences Towards Public Transfers:
Descriptive Findings from the Population Policy
Acceptance Survey
2003 . 194
10.4.3
Preferences of the Elderly Towards Transfers
for the Younger Generation: Does Age Matter?
. 200
10.5
Summary and Directions for Future Research
. 202
Information on the Foundation for the Rights of Future Generations
. 207
Subject Index
. 211
Index of Persons
. 217 |
| adam_txt |
Contents
Part I Demographic Trends
1
Low Fertility in Europe in a Global Demographic Context
. 3
Wolfgang
Lutz
and Vegard Skirbekk
1.1
Introduction
. 3
1.2
The End of Population Growth in a Demographically
Divided World
. 4
1.3
The Changing Global Distribution of Population
and Human Capital
. 8
1.4
How Low Can Fertility Fall in Europe?
. 10
1.5
Three Mechanisms that May Cause
a Downward Spiral in Future Birth Rates
. 13
1.6
Conclusions
. 17
Part II The Impact of Demographic Developments on Key Indicators
2
Demography and Budget Consolidation: An Analysis and Possible
Courses of Action
. 23
Johannes Meier and
Ole
Wintermann
2.1
Introduction
. 23
2.2
Public Debt Monitor
. 24
2.3
Successful Consolidation: An International Comparison
. 27
2.4
Reform Measures on the Expenditure Side
. 27
2.5
Reform Measures on the Revenue Side
. 28
2.6
Institutional Changes in the Budget Process
. 28
2.7
Drawing Conclusions from "Soft Factors"
. 29
2.8
Summary and Outlook
. 29
3
Intergenerational Justice and
Economic
Growth.
A Challenge for Economic Policy
. 31
Michael
Hüther
3.1
Economic Theory and the Theory of Justice
. 31
3.2
Germany: Facing Demographic Change
and the Need for Education Reform
. 33
x
Contents
3.3
Driving Forces of Economic Growth
. 39
3.4
The Concept of Intergenerational Justice
. 43
3.5
A National Strategy for Long-term Growth
. 47
4
Demographic Development: Not Really a Problem for Coming
Generations
. 53
Thomas Straubhaar
4.1
Introduction
. 53
4.2
Demographic Change and Economic Consequences
. 54
4.2.1
A Few Theoretical Preliminary Remarks
. 54
4.2.2 .
and Their Empirical Relevance
. 57
4.3
Prospects
. 59
4.3.1
More Goods for Less People
. 59
4.3.2
Growing Populations in Other World Areas
. 60
4.3.3
Aging, Not Shrinking Is the Problem
. 60
4.4
Political Recommendations
. 61
4.5
Family Policy
. 61
4.6
Migration
. 61
4.6.1
Immigration Is a Help but Not a Solution
. 62
4.7
Increasing Duration of Working Life
. 63
4.7.1
Work Longer!
. 64
4.8
Increase of Labor Force Participation
. 64
4.8.1
Women at Work!
. 64
4.8.2
Old, Not Stupid!
. 65
4.9
Reform of Labor Force Behavior
. 66
4.9.1
Lifelong Learning
. 66
4.10
Reform of the Pension System
. 67
4.10.1
Many, Instead of Single Pillars
. 67
4.10.2
Make Your Choice!
. 68
4.11
Summary
. 69
5
Macroeconomics and Age Structure
in a Welfare State
-
Sweden
1946-2005 . 71
Thomas
Lincili
and
Bo Malmberg
5.1
Demography and Welfare State Macroeconomics
. 71
5.2
Macroeconomic Mechanisms for Age Effects
. 74
5.3
Estimation Methods
. 78
5.4
Estimated Age Patterns
. 81
5.5
Discussion of the Estimates
. 84
5.6
The Importance of Age Structure
for Swedish Economic Development
. 87
5.7
Concluding Remarks
. 91
Contents xi
Part III The Relationship Between Key Sustainability Indicators
and Intergenerational Justice
6
Demographic Change and Sustainability: A Generational Balance
. 99
R. Andreas Kraemer, Daniel Blobel, Anneke
von Raggamby,
Doris Knoblauch
6.1
Introduction: Is Growing Good and Shrinking Bad?
Or Vice Versa?
. 99
6.2
What Does "Generational Balance" Mean
in the Context of Sustainability?
. 100
6.3
Demographic Development in Germany
-
Regional Disparities
101
6.3.1
Germans Don't Like Children?
. 101
6.3.2
Who Should Have a Family
. 103
6.3.3 .
Where Have the Women Gone?
. 103
6.3.4
Germany's East Is Emptying!
. 104
6.3.5
Consequences of Spatial Distribution Underestimated
104
6.4
Energy, Settlements, Mobility
-
Securing Public Utilities
and Services
. 106
6.4.1
Rapidly Changing Lifestyles After the War
. 106
6.4.2
Heritage/Legacy
. 107
6.4.3
Demographic Change Will Be No Solution
. 108
6.4.4
Options for Future Developments
. 110
6.4.5
A Change in Energy Consumption Is Required
. 112
6.4.6
Energy, Settlements and Mobility Are Interconnected
. 114
6.5
Natural Heritage
-
A Matter of Culture
. 116
6.5.1
Our Natural Heritage Is Cultural Heritage
. 116
6.5.2
Conservation Versus Development: Leading the Way
into the Impasse?
. 117
6.5.3
Forces of Change
. 118
6.5.4
Preserving Nature by Allowing for Change
. 120
6.6
Conclusion: The Challenge of Adaptation
. 122
7
Intergenerational Justice in an Extreme Longevity Scenario
. 127
Ulrich Feeser-Lichterfeld
7.1
Introduction
. 127
7.2
The Truth About the Fountain of Youth?
. 128
7.3
Ethical Issues in Biogerontological Endeavours
. 129
7.4
Consequences for Intergenerational Justice?
. 130
7.5
Anti-aging or Acceptance of Frailty and Finiteness?
-
A Question for All Generations
. 132
xii
Contents
Part IV Intergenerational Justice and Population Policies
8
An Ethical Assessment of the Legitimacy of Anti-natalistic Birth
Policies
. 137
Joerg Chet Tremmel
8.1
Introduction
. 137
8.2
Focus on Anti-natalistic Birth Policies
. 137
8.3
The Human Rights Discourse and the Ethical Discourse
. 142
8.4
The Dissemination of Birth Policies
. 143
8.5
The Role of the State
. 143
8.6
The Democratic Proviso
. 145
8.7
The Link Between Severity and Efficiency
. 146
8.8
The Classification of Birth Policies
. 147
8.8.1
The Indirect Approach
. 148
8.8.2
The Appellative Approach
. 149
8.8.3
The Financial Incentives Approach
. 149
8.8.4
Restricting Financial Incentives
. 149
8.8.5
Imposition of Financial Disincentives
. 149
8.8.6
The Rationing Approach
. 150
8.9
Reaching Ethical Decisions
. 150
8.10
Incentives and Disincentives
. 152
8.11
Are Bonuses and
Maluses
Equal
from an Ethical Point of View?
. 152
8.12
The Four-fifths Rule
. 153
8.13
Arguments Against the Four-fifths Rule
. 156
Part V The Implementation of Long-term Thinking
9
Changing the German Constitution in Favor of Future
Generations
-
Four Perspectives from the Young Generation
. 163
Marco
Wanderwitz,
Peter
Friedrich,
Anna Liihrmann, Michael Kauch
9.1
Introduction, by Joerg Chet Tremmel
. 163
9.2
Intergenerational Justice from the Perspective of the Christian
Democrats/Christian Socials, by Marco
Wanderwitz,
Member
of the German Bundestag
(CDU). 164
9.3
Intergenerational Justice
-
The Social Democratic Perspective,
by Peter
Friedrich,
Member of the German Bundestag
(SPD) 165
9.4
"We Have Only Borrowed the Earth from Our Children"
-
The Green Perspective, by Anna
Lührmann,
Member
of the German Bundestag (Green)
. 168
9.5
Intergenerational Justice in the Constitution
-
The Liberal
Perspective, by Michael Kauch, Member of the German
Bundestag
(FDP) . 171
Contents xiii
10 Demographic
Pressure
and Attitudes Towards Public Intergenerational
Transfers in Germany
-
How Much Room Left for Reforms?
. 175
Harald Wilkoszewski
10.1
Introduction
. 175
10.2
Theoretical Starting Point
-
Mannheim's Concept
of Political Generations
. 177
10.3
Preferences Towards Public Intergenerational Transfers
. 180
10.3.1
Beyond the Dichotomy of Altruism Versus Exchange:
Motivations for Intergenerational Transfers
. 181
10.3.2
A Set of Motivations for Public Transfers
. 184
10.3.3
Empirical Findings on Preferences Towards Public
Intergenerational Transfers
. 186
10.3.4
Socio-demographic Influence on Preferences
Towards Public Transfers: Does Age Matter?
. 188
10.3.5
Conclusions
. 189
10.4
Empirical Analysis: Public Intergenerational Transfers
in Germany
. 190
10.4.1
Policy-relevant Demographic Trends
and the Recent Transfer Policy Shift in Germany
. 190
10.4.2
Current Preferences Towards Public Transfers:
Descriptive Findings from the Population Policy
Acceptance Survey
2003 . 194
10.4.3
Preferences of the Elderly Towards Transfers
for the Younger Generation: Does Age Matter?
. 200
10.5
Summary and Directions for Future Research
. 202
Information on the Foundation for the Rights of Future Generations
. 207
Subject Index
. 211
Index of Persons
. 217 |
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| genre_facet | Aufsatzsammlung |
| id | DE-604.BV023278128 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| index_date | 2024-09-19T15:27:00Z |
| indexdate | 2024-09-27T16:20:28Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9783540770831 3540770836 9783540770848 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-016462975 |
| oclc_num | 213479718 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-N2 DE-12 DE-473 DE-BY-UBG DE-19 DE-BY-UBM |
| owner_facet | DE-N2 DE-12 DE-473 DE-BY-UBG DE-19 DE-BY-UBM |
| physical | XXVII, 218 S. graph. Darst., Kt. |
| publishDate | 2008 |
| publishDateSearch | 2008 |
| publishDateSort | 2008 |
| publisher | Springer |
| record_format | marc |
| spellingShingle | Demographic change and intergenerational justice the implementation of long-term thinking in the political decision making process Demography Intergenerational relations Social justice Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd Generationengerechtigkeit (DE-588)7559164-9 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4006292-2 (DE-588)7559164-9 (DE-588)4143413-4 |
| title | Demographic change and intergenerational justice the implementation of long-term thinking in the political decision making process |
| title_auth | Demographic change and intergenerational justice the implementation of long-term thinking in the political decision making process |
| title_exact_search | Demographic change and intergenerational justice the implementation of long-term thinking in the political decision making process |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Demographic change and intergenerational justice the implementation of long-term thinking in the political decision making process |
| title_full | Demographic change and intergenerational justice the implementation of long-term thinking in the political decision making process Joerg Chet Tremmel (ed.) |
| title_fullStr | Demographic change and intergenerational justice the implementation of long-term thinking in the political decision making process Joerg Chet Tremmel (ed.) |
| title_full_unstemmed | Demographic change and intergenerational justice the implementation of long-term thinking in the political decision making process Joerg Chet Tremmel (ed.) |
| title_short | Demographic change and intergenerational justice |
| title_sort | demographic change and intergenerational justice the implementation of long term thinking in the political decision making process |
| title_sub | the implementation of long-term thinking in the political decision making process |
| topic | Demography Intergenerational relations Social justice Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd Generationengerechtigkeit (DE-588)7559164-9 gnd |
| topic_facet | Demography Intergenerational relations Social justice Bevölkerungsentwicklung Generationengerechtigkeit Aufsatzsammlung |
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