Pension revolution a solution to the pensions crisis
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Hoboken, N.J.
Wiley
2007
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245 | 1 | 0 | |a Pension revolution |b a solution to the pensions crisis |c Keith P. Ambachtsheer |
264 | 1 | |a Hoboken, N.J. |b Wiley |c 2007 | |
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336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
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490 | 0 | |a The Wiley finance series | |
500 | |a Includes bibliographical references | ||
650 | 4 | |a Pension trusts | |
650 | 4 | |a Pension trusts |x Management | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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adam_text | Contents
Preface: Peter Drucker s Pension Revolution: Here at Last xxW
Introduction: Why a Pension Revolution Now? xxvii
The Trouble with DB Plans xxvii
DC Plans Are Not the Answer Either xxviii
Expert Pension Co ops xxix
TOPS Tipping Points xxx
PART ONE
The Pension Revolution: Touchstones
CHAPTHM
Are Pension Funds Irrelevant ? 3
An Unreasonable Actuary? 3
Exley s Four Irrelevance Propositions 4
So What Is Relevant? 4
Responding to Exley 6
Relevant Pension Funds: Building the Case 6
Managing Retirement Income Risks 7
Leveling the Informational Playing Field 7
Getting the Execution of the Idea Right 8
CHAPTER2
The Pension Revolution—Are You a Believer Yet? 8
A Revolutionary Reordering of the Pensions Firmament 10
From Fuzzy Pension Deals to Risk Sharing Co ops 10
Toward Pension Business Models That Work: The Risk
Issue 11
Toward Pension Business Models That Work: The Scale
Issue 12
The Pension Governance Issue 13
IX
X CONTENTS
Two Role Models 14
PGGM 14
SunSuper 15
Great Treasures? 15
CHAPTERS
After the Perfect Pension Storm: What Now? 16
From Vegas to Oxford: In Search of Answers 16
Do Nothing or Something? 17
The Corporate Context: Two Basic Choices 18
New DC Plan Business Model Also Needed 19
The Industry/Public Sector Pension Context 19
The Fair Value Question 20
Better Public Pensions Policy 21
CHAPTER 4
Beyond Portfolio Theory: The Next Frontier 22
Investment Theory s Next Frontier: The Academic View 22
Investment Theory s Next Frontier: Two Further
Considerations 24
The Next Frontier: Integrative Investment Theory 25
CHAPTER 5
The United Airlines Case: Tipping Point f op U.S.
Pension System? 29
The United Airlines Case 29
A Good Question and Two Very Different Answers 30
ERISA s Sole Interest Rule 31
Lessons from Abroad 32
Searching for Supreme Answers 33
The UAL Case in Context 34
CHAPTERS
Peter Drucker s Pension Revolution After 30 Years:
Not Over Yet 36
Two Unfashionable Themes 36
Politico Agency Issues 37
Pension Contract and Risk Issues 39
Investment Beliefs 40
Pension Fund Governance 40
Still Much Work to Do 41
Contents Xj
CHAPTER 7
Winning the Pension Revolution: Why the Dutch Ape Leading the Way 42
The Globe s Number One Pensions Country 42
Culture, Compactness, and Leadership 44
Regulatory Leadership 45
Research Leadership 46
A Remaining Challenge: Solving the Organization Design
Puzzle 46
What About the Other Pensions Countries? 47
CHAPTER 8
Pension Reform: Evolution or Revolution? 48
A Pension Tipping Point Indeed 48
What Should Happen? 49
Pension Reform in the United States 50
Pension Reform Elsewhere 51
Pension Reform: Evolution or Revolution? 52
PART TWO
RuHding Better Pension Plans
CHAPTER 9
Cm Game Theory Help Build Better Pension Plans? 57
Pension Games 57
Why do Pension Game Switches Occur? 58
Who Are the Stakeholders and What do They Want? 59
Sources of Risk in Pension Schemes 60
Mitigating Micro Risks 60
Can We Mitigate Macro Risks? 61
Is Investment Risk Worth Taking in DB Plans? 61
Can Game Theory Build Better Pension Plans? 62
CHAPTER 10
II DBand DC Plans Are Not the Answers, What Are the Questions? 63
From Answers to Questions 63
Ultimate Pension Questions and Their Consequences 64
Underwriting Pension Mismatch Risk: Any Volunteers? 64
Should Pension Mismatch Risk Be Minimized? 66
Pension Delivery Institutions 67
Benchmarking Traditional DB and DC Plans 67
The Way Ahead 68
Xjj CONTENTS
CHAPTHI11
Human FoWes and Agency Dysfunction: Building Pension Plans fop the
Real World 89
Some Fundamental Questions First 69
Back to First Principles 70
Human Foibles 71
Agency Issues 72
Counteracting Human Foibles 73
Minimizing Agency Costs 74
TOPS, Employers, and Public Policy 75
TOPS and DB Plans 77
CHAPTEH12
DB Plans and Bad Science 78
Science and the Design of Pension Contracts 78
The TOPS Contract 78
Taking on Investment Risk: Implications 79
Is Investment Regime Risk Insurable? 80
Intergenerational Bargaining 81
Robust Course Correction Mechanisms Required 82
The Flawed DB Model 82
Bad Science 83
CHAPTHI13
Peter Drucker s Pension Legacy: A Vision of What Could Be 84
Two Handshakes to Remember 84
The Melbourne Message 85
TOPS: Neither DC nor DB 86
TOPS and Investing 87
TOPS and Governance 87
TOPS and the Real World 88
The Drucker Visit 89
PARTTHRE
Pension Fund Governance
CHAPTBM4
Reinventing Pension Fund Management Easier Said than Done 93
A Paradigm Shift? 93
Novelties of Fact 94
Contents xjjj
Novelties of Theory 94
Pension Industry Responses 96
Crossing the Innovation Chasm 97
CHAPTBH5
Should (Could) You Manage Your Fund Like Harvard or Ontario
Teachers ? 89
Four Things in Common 99
Legal Foundations: Solid or Not? 100
Governance and Management: Understanding the
Difference 101
Investment Beliefs: Theirs or Yours? 102
Investment Processes: Like Wall Street? 103
Should You Manage Like HMC or OTPP? 104
Could You Manage Like HMC or OTPP? 104
CHAPTffiiB
Beauty Contest Investing: Not Dead Yet 106
Deja Vu All Over Again 106
Why Beauty Contest Investing Is Ugly 108
Integrative Investment Theory 108
Investment Beliefs 109
Managing from the Inside Out 110
CHAPTER17
Eradicating Beauty Contest Investing: What It WM Take 112
The Ugliness of Beauty Contest Investing 112
A Two Pronged Eradication Strategy 113
What Corporations Must Do 114
What Investing Institutions Must Do 114
A Debilitating Pension Fund Governance Problem 115
Light at the End of the Beauty Contest Tunnel? 117
CHAPTER 18
Hkjh Performance Cultures: Impossible Dream for Pension
Funds? 118
Thinking and Acting Like Goldman Sachs 118
New Research Results 119
Specific Governance and Management Challenges 121
In Conclusion 122
XJV CONTENTS
CHAPTER 19
How Much Is Good Governance Worth? 124
Governance Quality and Organization Performance Should
Be Related 124
A Road Map for the Journey of Discovery 125
The Pension CEO Score and NVA Metrics: The Data 126
Pension CEO Scores Meet NVA Metrics 127
Further Insights 128
The Value of Good Governance 129
PART FOUR
Investment Beliefs
CHAPTER 20
The 10 Percent Equity Return Huston: Possible Consequences 133
Consequential Miscalculations 133
Why 10 Percent Doesn t Work 134
Painted into an Awkward Corner? 136
Consequences 137
CHAPTER 21
Stocks for the Long Run?... or Not? 139
A Debate with Jeremy Siegel 139
How Investment Theory Became Investment Practice 140
What Is Wrong with These Proofs 141
What if Reality Is Not a Random Walk? 141
Investment Regimes, Dividend Yields, and ERPs 143
The Post Bubble Blues Decade 143
CHAPTER 22
Persistent Investment Regimes or Random Walk ? Even
Shakespeare Knew the Answer 145
The Ambachtsheer Siegel Debate Revisited 145
History on Our Side 146
The Investment Returns Story: How to Tell It 147
The Investment Regime Game: Spot Today s Well Before
It s Over, and Tomorrow s Before It s Gone on Too Long 148
Regime Spotting versus Random Walk : Which Is More
Useful? 149
Contents XV
Theory on Our Side, Too 150
Fellow Travelers 150
CHAPTB23
The Fuss about Policy Portfolios: Adrift in Institutional Wonderland 151
Tempest in a Teapot... or Not? 151
Duality in Finance: A Brief History 152
Financial Duality in Pension and Endowment Funds:
Building the Conceptual Framework 153
New Insights from the CEM Database 154
Enter Organizational Dysfunction 155
Decisions by Default 156
CHAPTB124
Shifting the Investment Paradigm: A Progress Report 157
The Policy Portfolio Debate Continues 157
A Lens to See the World 158
Why the Old Lens Distorts 158
A Varying Equity Risk Premium 159
A New Lens 160
A Higher Level of Thinking 161
Glimmers of Light 163
CHAPTHI25
Whose Investment Beliefs Do You BeBeve? 164
Writing an Investment Beliefs Statement 164
Inferring Beliefs from Actions 165
Measuring Predictive Ability 166
What about Market Timing and Strategic Asset Allocation? 167
Expected ERP Powerful Predictor 167
Enter Woody Brock 168
In Conclusion 169
CHAPTBI26
Our 60 40 Asset Mix Policy Advice in 1987: Wise or Foolsh? 171
Why Roll the Clock Back 20 Years? 171
Leibowitz s Immunization Campaign 172
Investment Beliefs in 1987 173
Investment Beliefs in 1997 173
The Right Kind of Active Management 174
Wise or Foolish? 175
XVJ CONTENTS
CHAPTER 27
But What Does the Turtle Rest On? A Further Exploration
of Investment Belefs 177
But What Does the Turtle Rest On? 177
The Efficient Markets Hypothesis: Fact or Fiction? 178
The Three Strikes against the EMH 179
Economists and Operationally Meaningful Theorems 180
The Adaptive Markets Hypothesis 180
The AMH s Five Practical Implications 182
The AMH and Integrative Investment Theory 182
CHAPTER 28
Pnjfess()rMai(JeJandtheltewlnvesuiiemParaoT9m:Ralnlngonthe
Parade? 184
Raining on the New Paradigm Parade? 184
The Bases for Malkiel s Skepticism 185
An Alternative Conclusion 186
Winning Evidence 187
The Good Governance Boost 188
We re Both Right 189
CHAPTER 29
The Post Bubble Hues Decade : A Progress Report 180
Another Nail in the IID Coffin 190
Why Non IID Logic Wins 191
Investment Regimes in the Real World 192
What Seems to Actually Be Happening? 193
Some Actual Numbers 194
The Bottom Line 195
PARTHVE
Risk in Pension Plans
CHAPTER 80
Rethinking Fuming Poicy and Regulation: How ShouM Pension Plans
Be Financed? 189
The Devil in the Details 199
How Many Course Correction Tools? 200
Making Financing Decisions: In Whose Interest? 201
Contents XVj
An Analytical Framework for Assessing DB Plan Financing
Decisions 202
Rational Explanations 203
Four Principles to Fund By 204
CHAPTH131
Funding PoNcy and Investment PoHcy: How ShouM They Be Integrated
in DB Pension Plans? 206
Principles to Fund and Invest By 206
What Makes DB Pension Contracts Risky? 208
Should DB Funding Target Calculations Assume That More
Risk Means More Return? 208
Is Current Accepted Actuarial Practice Unacceptable? 209
What Is an Acceptable Level of Certainty ? 210
Surplus Ownership 211
Cleaning Up Our Act 212
CHAPTHI32
Resurrecting Ranva: Adjusting Investment Returns lor Risk 218
Resurrecting RANVA 213
RANVA in 1998 214
Measuring RANVA in the Real World 215
The 2000 to 2004 Experience: Lessons 216
Remaining Barriers 217
CHAPTBtSS
Adjusting Investment Returns tor Risk: What s the Best Way? 219
Resurrecting RANVA 219
The Cost of Market Volatility Approach 220
The Cost of Insurance Approach with Risk Buffers 222
The Cost of Insurance Approach with Put Options 223
PART SX
Measuring Results
CHAPTH34
PwhmPlMuiTjanizatJons:lvteasur^ 227
Pension Plan Organizations and Legitimacy 227
Provider of Choice for Which Services? 228
xviii contents
Benchmarking Pension Services 229
Costing the Benefit Administration Business 229
The Benefit Administration Cost Equation 231
Build or Buy? 232
CHAPTER 35
Measuring DC Plans as Value Propositions : The New Imperative for
Plan Sponsors 233
Silk Purses from Sows Ears 233
Measures of Prudence 234
The Own Company Stock Phenomenon 234
Understanding DC Plan Total Returns 235
DC versus DB Plan Cost Performance 237
Other DC Plan Performance Metrics 239
Value Proposition : Yes or No? 239
CHAPTER 30
Measuring Pension Fund Behavior (1992 to 2004): What Can We
Learn? 240
A Well Endowed Database 240
Current International Investment Policy and Implementation
Style Differences 241
Ten Year Investment Policy and Implementation Style
Trends for U.S. Funds 242
Did Active Management Add Value? 243
The Selection Alphas : Good News and Bad News 244
Is There Also a Payoff from Actively Managing Pension Fund
Costs? 247
Two Important Lessons Learned Thus Far 249
PART SEVEN
Pensions, Politics, and the Investment Industry
CHAPTER 37
Whither Security Analysis? 253
Bubble, Bubble, Toil and Trouble 253
Fortune Trashes Wall Street 254
Is Better Regulation the Answer? 255
Reversing the Financial Food Chain 256
Contents XJX
What Is Security Analysis, Anyway? 257
Even Good Security Analysis Needs Context 257
Effective Buy Side Structures 258
In Conclusion 259
CHAPTB138
Pension Funds and Investment Firms: Redefining the Relationship 260
Who Are the Simbas of the Pension Investment Kingdom? 260
The Money Flood 261
A Question of Governance 261
Enter the Anthropologists 262
A Call to Excellence 263
What Do Excellent Pension Funds Look Like? 264
A Supplier Driven Market 265
The Tiny Equity Risk Premium Factor 265
New Paradigm Pension Funds: What Kind of Investment
Services Do They Want? 267
New Pension Fund Investment Firm Partnerships 270
Could You Be a New Paradigm Player? 271
CHAPTB39
The New Pension Fund Management Paradigm: Feedback from
Financial Analysts 272
Test Driving the New Paradigm 272
Pension Politics and Economics 273
Pension Plan Governance 276
The New Pension Fund Management Paradigm 277
Putting the Paradigm in Practice 278
Performance Measurement 281
Did the Yardsticks Move Forward or Backward? 282
CHAPTFJ140
Reconnecting GAAP and Common Sense: The Cases of Stock Options
and Pensions 283
Closing the Information GAAP 283
When Are Employee Stock Options Expenses ? 284
The Common Sense Solution in Action 285
Current Pension Accounting Rules Defy Common Sense, Too 285
Sensible Pension Accounting Rules 287
Common Sense in Action 288
Carpe Diem 289
XX CONTENTS
CHAPTER 41
Is Sri Bunk? 290
SRI and Zen 290
What Is Socially Responsible Investing ? 290
A Slippery Slope? 291
Sustainable Investing 292
Assessing the Sustainability of Dividend Growth 293
From Saying to Doing: A Case Study 294
Redefining the SRI Revolution 294
CHAPTER 42
Alpha, Beta, Bafflegab: Investment Theory as Marketing
Strategy 296
Giving Alpha and Beta a Rest 296
The Beautiful Art of Language 297
The Myth of Absolute Return Investing 298
Investment Theory with the End in Mind 298
The Critical Role of Fund Governance 299
Pension Revolution 300
CHAPTER 43
The Turner Pensions Commission Report: A Blueprint for Global
Pension Reform 302
Pension Wisdom from the United Kingdom 302
Turner s Recommendations 303
The Power of Integrative Thinking 303
Blueprint for Global Pension Reform 304
NPSS Governance, Management, and Investment
Options 307
Moving Forward 308
CHAPTER 44
More Pension Wisdom from Europe: The Geneva Report
on Pension Reform 309
Eight Hands, Four Economists, and One Point of View 309
Powerful Pension Policy Implications 310
Labor Markets and Human Capital 311
Optimal Risk Sharing 312
Contents XXi
Optimal Pension Fund Organizations 313
A Powerful Pension Vision 314
PARTBGHT
The Case of PfflS
CHAPTK45
PHIS and the Pension Revolution: Active Participant... or Passive
Bystander? 317
Alyson Green s New Job 317
History of Workplace Pensions 319
The 1976 to 2005 Period 319
Governance Organizational Issues at PERS 320
Finance Investment Beliefs 321
Pension Contract Risk Issues at PERS 321
Is a Higher Contribution Rate the Answer? 323
More Drastic Action Indicated 324
Spreading the Pain Evenly 326
Is Risk Sharing an Essential Pension Plan Feature? 327
Getting from Here to There 329
Devising an Action Plan 329
CHAPTBttt
Advice for Alyson Green: How PHIS Can Join the Pension
Revolution 831
Case Discussion Summary from October 25, 2005 331
The PERS Situation 332
The PERS Debate 332
In Conclusion: A Call to Arms 335
|
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spellingShingle | Ambachtsheer, Keith P. Pension revolution a solution to the pensions crisis Pension trusts Pension trusts Management Pension trusts Investments Altersversorgung (DE-588)4001479-4 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4001479-4 (DE-588)4078704-7 |
title | Pension revolution a solution to the pensions crisis |
title_auth | Pension revolution a solution to the pensions crisis |
title_exact_search | Pension revolution a solution to the pensions crisis |
title_full | Pension revolution a solution to the pensions crisis Keith P. Ambachtsheer |
title_fullStr | Pension revolution a solution to the pensions crisis Keith P. Ambachtsheer |
title_full_unstemmed | Pension revolution a solution to the pensions crisis Keith P. Ambachtsheer |
title_short | Pension revolution |
title_sort | pension revolution a solution to the pensions crisis |
title_sub | a solution to the pensions crisis |
topic | Pension trusts Pension trusts Management Pension trusts Investments Altersversorgung (DE-588)4001479-4 gnd |
topic_facet | Pension trusts Pension trusts Management Pension trusts Investments Altersversorgung USA |
url | http://www.loc.gov/catdir/enhancements/fy0741/2006024003-b.html http://www.loc.gov/catdir/enhancements/fy0741/2006024003-d.html http://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/ecip0617/2006024003.html http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016244639&sequence=000010&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
work_keys_str_mv | AT ambachtsheerkeithp pensionrevolutionasolutiontothepensionscrisis |