Evaluation and decision models a critical perspective

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Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Boston [u.a.] Kluwer Acad. Publ. 2000
Schriftenreihe:International series in operations research and management science 32
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Datensatz im Suchindex

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adam_text Contents 1 Introduction 1 1.1 Motivations 1 1.2 Audience 3 1.3 Structure 3 1.4 Outline 3 1.5 Who axe the authors? 5 1.6 Conventions 6 1.7 Acknowledgements 6 2 Choosing on the basis of several opinions 7 2.1 Analysis of some voting systems 9 2.1.1 Uninominal election 9 2.1.2 Election by rankings 13 2.1.3 Some theoretical results 16 2.2 Modelling the preferences of a voter 18 2.2.1 Rankings 19 2.2.2 Fuzzy relations 22 2.2.3 Other models 23 2.3 The voting process 24 2.3.1 Definition of the set of candidates 24 2.3.2 Definition of the set of the voters 25 2.3.3 Choice of the aggregation method 25 2.4 Social choice and multiple criteria decision support 25 2.4.1 Analogies 25 2.5 Conclusions 27 3 Building and aggregating evaluations 29 3.1 Introduction 29 3.1.1 Motivation 29 3.1.2 Evaluating students in Universities 30 3.2 Grading students in a given course 31 3.2.1 What is a grade? 31 3.2.2 The grading process 32 3.2.3 Interpreting grades 37 ¦1 vi ¦ 3.2.4 Why use grades? 40 3.3 Aggregating grades 41 ; 3.3.1 Rules for aggregating grades 41 3.3.2 Aggregating grades using a weighted average 43 3.4 Conclusions 52 4 Constructing measures 53 4.1 The human development index 54 4.1.1 Scale Normalisation 56 4.1.2 Compensation 57 4.1.3 Dimension independence 58 4.1.4 Scale construction 59 4.1.5 Statistical aspects 60 4.2 Air quality index 61 4.2.1 Monotonicity 62 4.2.2 Non compensation 62 4.2.3 Meaningfulness 63 4.3 The decathlon score 64 4.3.1 Role of the decathlon score 66 4.4 Indicators and multiple criteria decision support 67 4.5 Conclusions 70 5 Assessing competing projects 73 5.1 Introduction 73 5.2 The principles of CBA 75 5.2.1 Choosing between investment projects in private firms . . 75 5.2.2 From Corporate Finance to CBA 77 5.2.3 Theoretical foundations 79 5.3 Some examples in transportation studies 82 5.3.1 Prevision of traffic 82 5.3.2 Time gains 83 5.3.3 Security gains 84 5.3.4 Other effects and remarks 85 5.4 Conclusions 86 6 Comparing on several attributes 91 6.1 Thierry s choice 91 6.1.1 Description of the case 92 6.1.2 Reasoning with preferences 95 6.2 The weighted sum 102 6.2.1 Transforming the evaluations 102 6.2.2 Using the weighted sum on the case 103 6.2.3 Is the resulting ranking reliable? 104 6.2.4 The difficulties of a proper usage of the weighted sum . . 105 6.2.5 Conclusion 109 vii 6.3 The additive value model 110 6.3.1 Direct methods for determining single attribute value functions Ill 6.3.2 AHP and Saaty s eigenvalue method 115 6.3.3 An indirect method for assessing single attribute value functions and trade ofls 122 6.3.4 Conclusion 128 6.4 Outranking methods 129 6.4.1 Condorcet like procedures in decision analysis 129 6.4.2 A simple outranking method 134 6.4.3 Using ELECTEE I on the case 135 6.4.4 Main features and problems of elementary outranking ap¬ proaches 144 6.4.5 Advanced outranking methods: from thresholding towards valued relations 146 6.5 General conclusion 149 7 Deciding automatically 153 7.1 Introduction 153 7.2 A System with Explicit Decision Rules 155 7.2.1 Designing a decision system for automatic watering.... 156 7.2.2 Linking symbolic and numerical representations 156 7.2.3 Interpreting input labels as scalars 159 7.2.4 Interpreting input labels as intervals 161 7.2.5 Interpreting input labels as fuzzy intervals 167 7.2.6 Interpreting output labels as (fuzzy) intervals 171 7.3 A System with Implicit Decision Rules 176 7.3.1 Controlling the quality of biscuits during baking 176 7.3.2 Automatising human decisions by learning from examples 178 7.4 An hybrid approach for automatic decision making 181 7.5 Conclusion 183 8 Dealing with uncertainty 185 8.1 Introduction 185 8.2 The context 185 8.3 The model 186 8.3.1 The set of actions 186 8.3.2 The set of criteria 187 8.3.3 Uncertainties and scenarios 188 8.3.4 The temporal dimension 190 8.3.5 Summary of the model 192 8.4 A didactic example 192 8.4.1 The expected value approach 193 8.4.2 Some comments on the previous approach 193 8.4.3 The expected utility approach 195 8.4.4 Some comments on the expected utility approach 197 viii I 8.4.5 The approach applied in this case: first step 198 ; 8.4.6 Comment on the first step 202 8.4.7 The approach applied in this case: second step 205 8.5 Conclusions 207 9 Supporting decisions 211 9.1 Preliminaries 212 9.2 The Decision Process 213 9.3 Decision Support 216 9.3.1 Problem Formulation 217 9.3.2 The Evaluation Model 219 9.3.3 The final recommendation 225 9.4 Conclusions 233 Appendix A 235 Appendix B 238 10 Conclusion 243 10.1 Formal methods are all around us 243 10.2 What have we learned? 246 10.3 What can be expected? 249 Bibliography 253 Index 269
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physical VIII, 274 S. Ill., graph. Darst.
publishDate 2000
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series International series in operations research and management science
series2 International series in operations research and management science
spellingShingle Evaluation and decision models a critical perspective
International series in operations research and management science
Pesquisa operacional larpcal
Tomada de decisão (administração executiva) larpcal
Decision making
Operations research
Entscheidungsmodell (DE-588)4121201-0 gnd
Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 gnd
Operations Research (DE-588)4043586-6 gnd
subject_GND (DE-588)4121201-0
(DE-588)4113446-1
(DE-588)4043586-6
title Evaluation and decision models a critical perspective
title_auth Evaluation and decision models a critical perspective
title_exact_search Evaluation and decision models a critical perspective
title_full Evaluation and decision models a critical perspective Denis Bouyssou ...
title_fullStr Evaluation and decision models a critical perspective Denis Bouyssou ...
title_full_unstemmed Evaluation and decision models a critical perspective Denis Bouyssou ...
title_short Evaluation and decision models
title_sort evaluation and decision models a critical perspective
title_sub a critical perspective
topic Pesquisa operacional larpcal
Tomada de decisão (administração executiva) larpcal
Decision making
Operations research
Entscheidungsmodell (DE-588)4121201-0 gnd
Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 gnd
Operations Research (DE-588)4043586-6 gnd
topic_facet Pesquisa operacional
Tomada de decisão (administração executiva)
Decision making
Operations research
Entscheidungsmodell
Entscheidungsfindung
Operations Research
url http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016139806&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA
volume_link (DE-604)BV011630976
work_keys_str_mv AT bouyssoudenis evaluationanddecisionmodelsacriticalperspective