Fertility transition in South India

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adam_text CONTENTS List of Tables 9 List of Figures 13 ListofMaps 14 List of Colour Plates 15 List of Abbreviations 16 Préface 18 Introduction: Emerging Démographie Change in South India 23 S. Irudaya Rajan Part I: Trends, Differentials, and Spatial Variations 1. South Indian Fertility in Past Times: The Colonial Period 53 Ravindran Gopinath 2. Mapping Out Fertility in South India: Methodology and Results 90 Sébastien Oliveau 3. Fertility Trends and Differentials in Andhra Pradesh 114 P. Ramachandran and P. Ramesh 4. Fertility Transition in Karnataka: Levels, Trends and Implications 137 T.V. Sekher, K.N.M. Raju and M.N. Sivakumar 5. Fertility Change in Kerala 167 S. Irudaya Rajan and Sabu Aliyar 6. Fertility in Tamil Nadu: Level and Récent Trends 191 P.N. Rajna, P.M. Kuïkami and N. Thenmozhi 8 Fertility Transition in South India Part II: Field Studies and Qualitative Approach 7. Causes of Fertility Transition in Tamil Nadu 227 S. Krishnamoorthy, P.M. Kidkami and N. Audinarayana 8. Low Fertility and Female Discrimination in South India: The Puzzle of Salem District, Tamil Nadu 248 Stéphanie Vella 9. Family and Fertility Décisions: An Anthropological Enquiry 282 K.NM. Raju Part III: Quantitative Analysis and Fertility Modelling 10. Significance of Médical and Paramédical Personnel in Démographie Transition: An Empirical Analysis 309 K. Srinivasan and Sanjay Kumar 11. An Analysis of the Déterminants of Fertility Behaviour in South India at the Village Level 324 Manisha Chakrabarty and Christophe Z. Guilmoto 12. Décline in Fertility in Andhra Pradesh: A Re examination of Conflicting Arguments 357 K.S. ]ames and S.V. Subramanian 13. Fertility Décline in India: Maps, Models and Hypothèses 385 Christophe Z. Guilmoto About the Editors and Contributors 436 Index 439 LIST OF TABLES 1 Social, Economie and Démographie Indicators of South India, 2001 24 2 Estimâtes of Fertility for South India, Various Sources, 1995 2001 34 3 Fertility and Family Planning Indicators for South India, NFHS, 1998 99 36 1.1 Population and Area of the Madras Presidency, 1801 1951 57 1.2 Indices of Age Accuracy for Southern Zone and India, 1881 1961 60 1.3 Fertility Estimâtes from Various Sources, South India, 1881 1951 62 1.4 SMAM, CWR and Proportion Married in the Madras Presidency, 1901 31 64 1.5 Percentage Aged 0 14 of Total Population for Southern Zone and India 65 1.6 Broad Age Distribution, Districts of Bellary, Krishna, Thanjavur and Malabar, 1901 31 73 1.7 Singulate Mean Age at Marriage in Selected Districts 74 1.8 CWR and CMWR in Three Districts of the Madras Presidency, 1901 31 74 1.9 Corrélation Matrix for Marital Status and Fertility Indicators in Madras Presidency Districts, 1911 75 1.10 Corrélation Matrix for CWR, Widowhood and Fevers in Madras Presidency Districts, 1911 80 1.11 Proportion Married in the Différent Census Divisions of Madras Presidency, 1921 51 80 2.1 Descriptive Data for the Villages of the SIFP Database 93 3.1 Population Size and Growth in Six Régions of Andhra Pradesh, 2001 117 3.2 Selected Démographie Parameters for the Districts of Andhra Pradesh, 2001 117 3.3 Trends in TFR 1971 96, Andhra Pradesh 119 3.4 Trends of Truncated Fertility among Women of Ages 15 34 between 1978 82 and 1993 97, Andhra Pradesh 121 3.5 Estimâtes of CBR and TFR by Région, Andhra Pradesh 122 ! 3.6 The Three Phases of Fertility Transition in Andhra Pradesh 122 I 3.7 Classification of Districts According to the LevelofTFRs, 1977 96 123 ï 1 10 Fertility Transition in South India 3.8 Fertility Differentials in Andhra Pradesh 125 3.9 Régression of Socioeconomic and Infrastructure Variables on CWR; Village level Analysis by Régions, Andhra Pradesh, 1991 Census 131 3.10 CWR Values, Déviations, Predicted Values and Residuals. Means for Districts of Andhra Pradesh: 1991 Census Village Data 133 4.1 Basic Démographie Data for Districts of Karnataka, 2001 141 4.2 Decadal Population Growth in Karnataka, 1901 2001 144 4.3 Decadal Variation in Population Growth by Région in Karnataka, 1901 2001 145 4.4 Mean Age at Marriage by Sex in Districts of Karnataka, 1991 149 4.5 Comparison of Selected Démographie Indicators—Karnataka 151 4.6 Levels and Trends in TFR in Karnataka and India, 1971 97 152 4.7 Intercensal Estimâtes for CBR in Southern States 154 4.8 Selected Indicators of Fertility by Geographical Area in Karnataka from MPS and BPS 154 4.9 TFR and IMR by District—Karnataka 155 4 10 Influence of Socioeconomic and Infrastructural Variables on CWR: Village level Analysis, Karnataka, 1991 159 4.11 Démographie and Socioeconomic Indicators by Région— Karnataka (NFHS 1) 161 4 12 Human Development Indices and Health Infrastructural Indicators by Districts of Kamataka 162 5.1 Démographie Profile ofKerala, 1901 2001 169 5.2 District Profile of Kerala as of 2001 Census 170 5.3 Mean Age at Marriage for Kerala, 1901 91 173 5.4 Trends in the Mean Age at Marriage 173 5.5 Médian Age at First Marriage among Females by Socioeconomic Differentials, 1992 93 and 1998 99 174 5.6 CPR for Kerala, 1981 97 175 5.7 CPR by District, 1981 99 176 5.8 Estimâtes of CBR and TFR, Kerala and India, 1951 91 177 5.9 Changes in CWRs in Kerala, 1951 91 178 5.10 SRS Estimâtes of CBR and TFR, Kerala and India 180 5.11 CBR by Districts 182 5.12 TFR and Children Ever Born to Women Aged 45 49 in Kerala 185 5.13 Estimâtes of Fertility by Socioeconomic Differentials, 1991 Census 186 5.14 Fertility by Background Characteristics, 1992 93 and 1998 99 187 5.15 Results of Régression Analysis 188 6.1 Population Trends in Tamil Nadu and India, 1901 2001 197 6.2 Population Size, Growth, Sex Ratio, and Density, Districts of Tamil Nadu, 2001 Census 198 List of Tables 11 6.3 Trends in Fertility and Mortality, Tamil Nadu and India, 1901 2000 200 6.4 CBR, CDR and IMR, SRS Estimâtes, Tamil Nadu and India, 1971 2000 201 6.5 Trends in Urbanization, Tamil Nadu and India, 1901 2001 203 6.6 Récent Trends in Age specific Fertility Rates in Tamil Nadu, Assessed from the NFHS 1 and the NFHS 2 206 6.7 Trends in Family Planning Acceptance in Tamil Nadu and in CPRs, Tamil Nadu and India 209 6.8 Proximate Déterminants of Fertility, Tamil Nadu, 1972, 1983, 1992 211 6.9 Fertility Trends in Rural and Urban Areas, Tamil Nadu and India, Assessed from the SRS Estimâtes, 1971 2000 212 6.10 Fertility Differentials in Tamil Nadu 213 6.11 Fertility Indicators at District Level, Tamil Nadu, 1981 and 1991 Census Estimâtes 215 6.12 Reverse Survival Estimâtes of CBR and TFR for Districts of Tamil Nadu, from 1981, 1991, and 2001 Censuses 216 7.1 Démographie and Socioeconomic Indicators, India and Tamil Nadu, Around 1991 232 7.2 Reasons Given in Focus Group Discussions (FGDs) for Fertility Décline 240 8.1 SR of Population below 7 (Females per 1,000 Maies), Total, Rural and Urban, South India and India, 1991 253 8.2 JSR (Females per 1,000 Maies of 0 6), in South India and India, 1961 2001 254 8.3 Estimated SRB (Females per 1,000 Maies), Rural and Urban, 1981 and 1991 256 8.4 SR of Population 0 4, 5 9 and 10 14, Salem, Dharmapuri Districts and Tamil Nadu, 1961 2001 260 8.5 Percentage of Infant Deaths by Age (in Days), Tamil Nadu, 1995 262 8.6 IFEIM, SRB, 1999 and Sex Ratio of Children below 7 Years, 2001, Selected Districts of Tamil Nadu 263 10.1 Time Lag (in Years) between States and Kerala on Selected Démographie and Health Parameters in 1998 310 10.2 YearbywhichTFRof2.1willbeRealized 311 10.3 Mean and Standard Déviation of Variables 315 10.4 Resuit of Multiple Régressions (Standardized Coefficient)—National Level 317 10.5 Resuit of Multiple Régressions (Standardized Coefficient) for the Selected States, India 318 10.6 Direct, Indirect and Total Effects of Socioeconomic, t Programme and Coast Variables on TFR, India, 1991 320 12 Fertility Transition in South India 11.1 Preliminary Data Description for Inhabited Villages 327 11.2 Variables Employed to Construct Infrastructure Indicators by Factor Analysis 329 11.3 Description of Variables 330 11.4 Size and Homogeneity for the Aggregated Cluster, Taluk and District Level of South India 333 11.5 Descriptive Statistics of Ail Variables 336 11.6 Régression Results for South India (Various Levels of Aggregation) 338 11.7 Régression Models for South India (Village Level) 345 11.8 Régression Results for Five Différent States (Village Level) 346 11.9 Régression Results for Determining the Effect of Female Literacy on CWR 348 11.10 ICC Coefficient for CWR and Régression Residuals (e) 351 12.1 Intercensal Estimâtes for CBR during Différent Periods in Three Southern States 359 12.2 TFR by Différent Background Characteristics in Andhra Pradesh, 1989 91 and 1996 98 362 12.3 District wise TFR for 1981 and 1991 Census 364 12.4 Percentage of Literacy (Age 7 and above) in the Districts of Andhra Pradesh, 2001 368 12.5 IMR among the Districts of Andhra Pradesh, 1991 369 12.6 Percentage Distribution of Live Births Three Years Preceding the Survey by Sources of Antenatal Care during Pregnancy by Selected Characteristics, Andhra Pradesh, 1998 99 370 12.7 Public Spending on the Major PAP in Three States, 1993 94 (Rupees Million) 373 12.8 Percentage of Unemployed by Sex for Various Years, Andhra Pradesh, Rural (Current Daily Status) 374 12.9 Results of Multi level Model for Rural Areas of Andhra Pradesh, 1998 99 (in Logits) 379 13.1 Idéal Number of Children per Woman Classified by Age Groups 388 13.2 Description of Variables Used in the Régression Analysis 393 13.3 Results from Principal Components Analysis Applied to Reproductive Health Variables from the RCH Survey 395 13.4 Results from Régression Analysis of Fertility Rates. Socioeconomic Variables and Régional Dummies 396 13.5 Results from Two stage Régression Analysis of Fertility Rates. Test of Endogeneity of the Survival Variable 400 13.6 Results from Two stage Régression Analysis of Fertility Rates. Test of Endogeneity of the Reproductive Health Index 402 13.7 Models of District level Fertility in India, 1981 2001 405 13.8 Fertility Differentials in Andhra Pradesh and in India, 1998 99 416 LIST OF FIGURES 1.1 Crude Birth Rates in Madras Presidency, 1891 1950 63 1.2 Crude Birth and Death Rates in Malabar, Bellary and Thanjavur Districts, 1900 40 66 4.1 Infant Mortality Rates, 1971 99, Karnataka and India 147 4.2 Couple Protection Rates, 1969 98, Karnataka and India 151 4.3 Total Fertility Rates, 1971 97, Karnataka and India 153 5.1 Population Growth Rates (%), India and Kerala, 1901 2001 171 5.2 Crude Birth Rate for India and Kerala, 1970 2001 179 5.3 Total Fertility Rate for India and Kerala, 1970 2001 180 5.4 Age Sex Pyramids for Kerala, 1961 and 2001 181 8.1 Sex Ratio of Population below 7 (Females per 1,000 Maies), Total, Rural and Urban, South India and India, 2001 254 8.2 Juvénile Sex Ratio (Girls per 1,000 Boys below 7) in South India and India, 1961 2001 255 8.3 Index of Female Excess Infant Mortality (Female/Male IMR) in South India and India, 1996 255 8.4 Child Sex Ratio Estimated Using Census Age Distribution, Salem, Dharmapuri and Tamil Nadu, 1950 2000 261 10.1 Path Diagram 314 11.1 Modelling the Literacy Fertility Relationship 349 12.1 Total Fertility Rates in India and Selected States (Three year Moving Average), 1971 97 360 13.1 Fertility (TFR) and Reproductive Health (MCH) Index, Indian Districts, 1998 99 401 13.2 Semi variogram of Various District Variables, 2001 418 13.3 Quinquennial Fertility Indices, South Indian Districts, 1951 90 423 LIST OF MAPS 1.1 Madras Presidency District Boundaries 55 1.2 Child Woman Ratio in the Madras Presidency, District Average, 1911 21 76 1.3 Proportion of Married Women Aged 15 49 Years in the Madras Presidency, District Average, 1911 21 77 1.4 Proportion of Widows Aged 15 49 Years in the Madras Presidency, District Average, 1911 21 78 2.1 Villages in Three Districts of North East Andhra Pradesh 95 2.2 Clusters of 5 km 96 2.3 Smoothed Fertility Values Obtained by Kriging Cluster Values 97 2.4 Fertility Contours Obtained from Kriged Cluster Values 100 2.5 Low Fertility Areas in Rural Tamil Nadu, 1991 101 2.6 Smoothed Literacy Estimâtes in Rural South India, 1991 107 2.7 Smoothed Gender Index of Literacy in Rural South India, 1991 108 2.8 Smoothed Tribal Proportion in South India, 1991 109 2.9 Urban Densities and Networking in Rural South India, 1991 110 13.1 Fertility Residuals arter Controlling for Socioeconomic Factors (Model A) 397 LIST OF COLOUR PLATES Plate 1. Fertility and Growth in Indian Districts, 2001 Plate 2. Child Woman Index in Indian Districts, 1951 91 Plate 3. Smoothed Fertility (CWR) Estimâtes in South India, 1991 Plate 4 Rural Fertility Differentials, Andhra Pradesh, 1991 Plate 5. Rural Fertility Differentials, Karnataka, 1991 Plate 6. Map A: Rural Fertility Differentials, Kerala, 1991; Map B: Rural Fertility Differentials, Tamil Nadu, 1991 Plate 7. Map A: Sex Ratio below 7, Rural South India, 1991; Map B: Sex Ratio below 7, Rural Tamil Nadu, 1991 Plate 8. Child Woman Ratio, Female Literacy and Régression Residuals, Rural South India, 1991 Note: Thèse cohur plates are located at the end of the book.
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spellingShingle Fertility transition in South India
Demographic transition India
Fertility, Human India
Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd
subject_GND (DE-588)4006292-2
(DE-588)4026754-4
title Fertility transition in South India
title_auth Fertility transition in South India
title_exact_search Fertility transition in South India
title_full Fertility transition in South India ed. by Christophe Z. Guilmoto ...
title_fullStr Fertility transition in South India ed. by Christophe Z. Guilmoto ...
title_full_unstemmed Fertility transition in South India ed. by Christophe Z. Guilmoto ...
title_short Fertility transition in South India
title_sort fertility transition in south india
topic Demographic transition India
Fertility, Human India
Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd
topic_facet Demographic transition India
Fertility, Human India
Bevölkerungsentwicklung
Indien
Indien Süd
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