Concepts of epidemiology an integrated introduction to the ideas, theories, principles and methods of epidemiology

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1. Verfasser: Bhopal, Raj S. (VerfasserIn)
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Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Oxford Oxford Univ. Press 2002
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adam_text Contents Glossary xx 1 What is epidemiology? The nature and scope of a biological, social, and ecological science and of epidemiological variables and outcomes 1 1.1 The individual and the population 1 1.2 Definition of epidemiology and statement of its central paradigm 2 1.3 Directions in epidemiology and its uses 3 1.4 Epidemiology as a science, practice, and craft 4 1.5 The nature of epidemiological variables 7 1.6 A disease and health problem: an illustration of the interdependence of clinical medicine and epidemiology J1 1.7 Seeking the theoretical foundations of epidemiology 14 Summary 15 2 The epidemiological concept of population 17 2.1 The individual and the population 17 2.2 Harnessing heterogeneity in individual and group level disease and risk factor patterns 21 2.3 Disease patterns as a manifestation of individuals living in changing social groups 22 2.4 Sick populations and sick individuals 26 2.5 Individual and population level epidemiological variables 31 2.6 Epidemiology and demography: interdependent population sciences 33 2.7 The dynamic nature of human population 39 2.8 Applications of the population concept 40 2.9 Conclusion 42 Summary 43 3 Variation in disease by time, place, and person: A framework for analysis 44 3.1 Introduction 44 3.2 Reasons for analysing disease variations 45 3.3 Variations and associations: real or artefact? 47 3.4 Applying the real artefact framework 52 3.5 Disease clustering and clusters in epidemiology 59 3.6 Applications of observations of disease variation 67 3.7 Epidemiological theory underpinning or arising from this chapter 68 3.8 Conclusion 68 Summary 68 4 Variation: Role of error, bias, and confounding 69 4.1 Introduction 69 4.2 A classification of error and bias 72 4.2.1 The research question, theme or hypothesis 73 4.2.2 Choice of population 76 4.2.3 Non participation 79 4.2.4 Comparing disease patterns and risk factor disease outcome relationships in populations which differ (confounding) 79 4.2.5 Measurement 86 4.2.6 Misclassification bias 88 4.2.7 Analysis and interpretation 90 4.2.8 Publication 91 4.2.9 Judgement and action 91 4.3 A practical application of the research chronology schema of bias and error 92 4.4 Conclusion 94 Summary 97 5 Cause and effect: The epidemiological approach 98 5.1 Introduction: causality in science and philosophy 98 5.2 Epidemiological causal strategy and reasoning: the example of Semmelweiss 101 5.3 Models of cause in epidemiology 103 5.3.1 Interplay of host, agent, and environment 103 5.3.2 Necessary and sufficient cause 113 5.4 Guidelines for epidemiological reasoning on cause and effect 115 5.4.1 Comparison of epidemiological and other concepts of causal reasoning 115 5.4.2 Application of criteria to associations 121 5.4.3 Interpretation of data, study design, and causal criteria 129 5.5 Epidemiological theory illustrated by this chapter 130 5.6 Conclusion 130 Summary 132 6 Natural history, spectrum, iceberg, population patterns, and screening: Interrelated concepts in the epidemiology of disease 133 6.1 Natural history of disease 134 6.2 The population pattern of disease 139 6.3 Spectrum of disease 140 6.4 The unmeasured burden of disease: the metaphors of the iceberg and the pyramid 142 6.5 Screening 145 6.6 Applications of the concepts of natural history, spectrum, and screening 156 6.7 Epidemiological theory: symbiosis with clinical medicine and social sciences 160 6.8 Conclusion 161 Summary 161 7 The concept of risk and measures of disease frequency: Incidence and prevalence 163 7.1 Introduction: risks, risk factors, and causes 163 7.2 Quantifying disease frequency, risk factors, and their relationships 164 7.3 Incidence and incidence rate: the concepts of incidence density, person time incidence and cumulative incidence 167 7.4 Numerator 173 7.5 Denominator 178 7.6 Prevalence and prevalence rate 179 7.7 Relationship of incidence and prevalence 185 7.8 Choice of incidence or prevalence 188 7.9 Presenting rates 188 7.10 Conclusion 189 Summary 190 8 Presentation and interpretation of epidemiological data on risk 191 8.1 Introduction 191 8.2 Proportional morbidity or mortality ratio (PMR) 192 8.3 Adjusted overall rates: standardization and the calculation of the SMR (Standardized mortality ratio) 194 8.4 Relative measure: relative risk 198 8.5 The odds ratio (OR) 202 8.6 Measurements to assess the impact of a risk factor in groups and populations 207 8.6.1 Attributable risk/exposed group 210 8.6.2 Population attributable risk 212 8.7 Presentation and interpretation of epidemiological data in applied settings 214 8.8 Avoidable morbidity and mortality 217 8.9 Comparison of summary measures of health status 218 8.10 DALY, disability adjusted life years, and QALY, quality adjusted life years 220 8.11 Numbers needed to treat (NNT) or to prevent (NNP) 222 8.12 Describing the health status of a population 223 8.13 The construction and development of health status indicators 226 8.14 Conclusion 228 Summary 230 9 Study design 231 9.1 Introduction: interdependence of study design 231 9.2 Classifications of study design: five dichotomies 234 9.3 Case series: clinical and population based 235 9.4 Cross sectional study 242 9.5 Case control study 247 9.6 Cohort study 251 9.7 Trials 255 9.8 Overlap in the conceptual basis of the case series, cross sectional, case control, cohort, and trial designs 257 9.9 Ecological studies: design or analysis? 262 9.10 Size of the study 263 9.11 Data analysis and interpretation 264 9.12 Conclusion 265 Summary 265 10 Theoretical, ethical, contextual, practical, and critical foundations for future epidemiology 267 10.1 The interrelationship of theory, methods, and application: a question of values 267 10.2 Fundamental influences on health 269 10.3 Setting priorities in health and health care 271 10.4 Impact on health of local polluting industries: Teesside study of environment and health 274 10.5 Paradigms: the evolution of epidemiology 276 10.6 Epidemiology: forces for change 277 10.7 Scope of epidemiology and specialization 278 10.8 The context of epidemiological practice—academic and service, USA and UK 279 10.9 The practice of epidemiology in public health 280 10.10 Ethical basis and proper conduct of epidemiology: the need for a code 281 10.10.1 Tobacco industry 281 10.10.2 Authorship 281 10.10.3 Ethnicity and race 282 10.11 Ethical guidelines 284 10.12 Critical appraisal in epidemiology: separating fact from error and fallacy 285 10.12.1 The fallacy of association being causal 287 10.12.2 The weight of evidence fallacy 287 10.12.3 The fallacy of repeated citation 287 10.12.4 The fallacy of authority 288 10.12.5 The fallacy of simple explanation 288 10.12.6 The fallacy of risk 288 10.12.7 The fallacy of inappropriate extrapolation 288 10.12.8 The fallacy of significance tests 288 10.12.9 The fallacy of obfuscation 288 10.12.10 The fallacy of covert bias 289 10.12.11 The nature of critical appraisal 289 10.13 Some questions relevant to the appraisal of epidemiological research 289 10.14 Building on an epidemiological education: role of historical landmarks 291 10.15 Building on an epidemiological education: a reflection on the future of epidemiology 293 Summary 295 References and further reading 297 Index 311
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spellingShingle Bhopal, Raj S.
Concepts of epidemiology an integrated introduction to the ideas, theories, principles and methods of epidemiology
Epidemiologie (DE-588)4015016-1 gnd
subject_GND (DE-588)4015016-1
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title Concepts of epidemiology an integrated introduction to the ideas, theories, principles and methods of epidemiology
title_auth Concepts of epidemiology an integrated introduction to the ideas, theories, principles and methods of epidemiology
title_exact_search Concepts of epidemiology an integrated introduction to the ideas, theories, principles and methods of epidemiology
title_full Concepts of epidemiology an integrated introduction to the ideas, theories, principles and methods of epidemiology Raj S. Bhopal
title_fullStr Concepts of epidemiology an integrated introduction to the ideas, theories, principles and methods of epidemiology Raj S. Bhopal
title_full_unstemmed Concepts of epidemiology an integrated introduction to the ideas, theories, principles and methods of epidemiology Raj S. Bhopal
title_short Concepts of epidemiology
title_sort concepts of epidemiology an integrated introduction to the ideas theories principles and methods of epidemiology
title_sub an integrated introduction to the ideas, theories, principles and methods of epidemiology
topic Epidemiologie (DE-588)4015016-1 gnd
topic_facet Epidemiologie
Einführung
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