Mathematical theory of reliability of time dependent systems with practical applications

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Hauptverfasser: Kovalenko, Igorʹ N. 1934-2019 (VerfasserIn), Kuznecov, Nikolaj Ju (VerfasserIn), Pegg, Philip A. (VerfasserIn)
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Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Chichester u.a. Wiley 1997
Schriftenreihe:Wiley series in probability and statistics
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Datensatz im Suchindex

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adam_text IMAGE 1 MATHEMATICAL THEORY OF RELIABILITY OF TIME DEPENDENT SYSTEMS WITH PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS IGOR N. KOVALENKO UNIVERSITY OF NORTH LONDON AND NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OFTHE UKRAINA, KYIV, UKRAINA NICKOLAJ YU. KUZNETSOV V.M. GLUSHKOV INSTITUTE OF CYBERNETICS, KYIV, UKRAINA PHILIP A. PEGG UNIVERSITY OF NORTH LONDON JOHN WILEY & SONS CHICHESTER * NEW YORK * WEINHEIM * BRISBANE * SINGAPORE * TORONTO IMAGE 2 CONTENTS PREFACE XI 1 INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 INTRODUCTORY REMARKS 1 1.2 CONTEXT 2 1.3 BASIC MATHEMATICAL CONCEPTS OF RELIABILITY 4 1.4 NON-REPAIRABLE SYSTEMS 6 1.5 REPAIRABLE SYSTEMS 15 1.6 ALTERNATIVE MODEIS FOR THE RELIABILITY OF SYSTEMS 17 1.7 QUALITY CONTROL AND IMPROVEMENT AND RELIABILITY 21 1.8 STATISTICAL INFERENCE OF RELIABILITY PARAMETERS 23 1.9 MONTE CARLO METHODS 23 1.10 CONTENTS OF THIS BOOK 24 REFERENCES 26 2 MARKOV AND SEMI-MARKOV MODELS AS A BASIS FOR THE MATHEMATICAL ANALYSIS OF SYSTEM RELIABILITY 27 2.1 REVIEW OF SOME RELEVANT PROBABILITY CONCEPTS 27 2.2 MARKOV PROCESSES 30 2.3 SEMI-MARKOV PROCESS (SMP) 40 2.4 MARKOV MODEIS OF SYSTEMS WITH DISCRETE EVENTS 44 2.5 SEMI-MARKOV MODEIS OF SYSTEMS WITH DISCRETE EVENTS 45 2.6 IMPORTANT SPECIAL CASES 48 REFERENCES 53 3 METHODS FOR INVESTIGATING HOMOGENEOUS AND NON-HOMOGENEOUS POINT PROCESSES (EVENT FLOWS) 55 3.1 POINT PROCESSES 55 3.2 ERGODICITY 57 3.3 THE /C-INTENSITY OF THE POINT PROCESS 58 3.4 EQUILIBRIUM EQUATIONS 60 3.5 APPLICATION TO SEMI MARKOV PROCESSES 61 3.6 FURTHER ERGODIC RELATIONS 62 3.7 REGENERATIVE MODEIS FOR FAILURE FLOWS 64 3.8 THE MAIN RELIABILITY PARAMETERS VIA POINT PROCESS PARAMETERS 69 REFERENCES 73 4 FAULT TREES -THE CURRENT STATE OF RESEARCH 75 4.1 INTRODUCTION 75 4.2 MAIN DEFINITIONS AND NOTATIONS 76 4.3 SYSTEM RELIABILITY ANALYSIS USING FAULT TREES 79 4.4 PROBABILITY EVALUATION OF FAULT TREES 81 IMAGE 3 VLLL CONTENTS 4.5 FAULT TREE EVALUATION BASED ON MINIMAL CUT SETS 84 4.6 PROBLEMS ARISING IN CUT SET EVALUATION FOR LARGE FAULT TREES 88 4.7 A MULTI-LEVEL REPRESENTATION OF A FAULT TREE CONTAINING REPLICATED GATES 89 4.8 DESCRIPTION OF GATE AND COMPONENT TYPES 96 4.9 FAMOCUTN-ANALYTICAL EVALUATION OF MAIN MODULE CUT SETS 96 4.10 EXAMPLES 103 REFERENCES 107 BIBLIOGRAPHY 109 5 THEORY OF REDUNDANT SYSTEMS 111 5.1 PRELIMINARY REMARKS 111 5.2 FINITE VARIATES ANALYSIS 112 5.3 BUSY PERIOD ANALYSIS: ANALYTICAL EXPRESSIONS 113 5.4 SMALL PARAMETER ANALYSIS OF BUSY PERIOD VARIABLES 118 5.5 FAILURE PROBABILITY WITHIN A BUSY PERIOD THROUGH HYPER-ERLANGIAN APPROXIMATION 125 5.6 TIME-VARYING RELIABILITY PARAMETERS VIA BUSY PERIOD PARAMETERS 128 REFERENCES 130 BIBLIOGRAPHY 132 6 MONTE CARLO METHODS 133 6.1 RANDOM VARIABLE GENERATION 133 6.2 MODELLING OF A NON-HOMOGENEOUS POISSON PROCESS 140 6.3 MODELLING OF A MARKOV CHAIN IN CONTINUOUS TIME 141 6.4 MODELLING OF SEMI-MARKOV PROCESSES 141 6.5 ACCURACY OF ESTIMATORS AND THE NECESSARY NUMBER OF REALISATIONS 143 6.6 APPLICATIONS TO RELIABILITY PROBLEMS 148 REFERENCES 152 BIBLIOGRAPHY 153 7 RELIABILITY ANALYSIS USING PERTURBATION METHODS 155 7.1 INTRODUCTORY REMARKS 155 7.2 THE PROBLEM FOR MARKOV RELIABILITY MODEIS 158 7.3 LIGHT TRAFFIC LIMITS 160 7.4 PHASE-TYPE AND MATRIX-EXPONENTIAL APPROXIMATIONS 162 7.5 INFINITESIMAL PERTURBATION ANALYSIS 164 REFERENCES 167 BIBLIOGRAPHY 167 8 STIFF PROCESSES IN RELIABILITY ANALYSIS 169 8.1 INTRODUCTION REMARKS 169 8.2 SMALL PARAMETERS IN DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS (REGULAER CASE) 170 8.3 SMALL PARAMETERS IN DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS (SINGULAR CASE) 172 8.4 THE SADDLE POINT METHOD 174 8.5 ASYMPTOTIC AGGREGATION OF STATES OF SEMI-MARKOV PROCESS 176 8.6 MODELS OF PROCESSES IN DIFFERENT SCALES 181 8.7 USE OF THE INVARIANCE PRINCIPLE 186 8.8 SOME TECHNIQUES FOR THE INTRODUCTION OF A SMALL PARAMETER INTO STOCHASTIC RELATIONS 186 IMAGE 4 CONTENTS IX REFERENCES 190 BIBLIOGRAPHY 190 9 VARIANCE REDUCTION METHODS 193 9.1 INTRODUCTION 193 9.2 IMPORTANCE SAMPLING 195 9.3 STRATIFIED SAMPLING 203 9.4 CONTROL VARIABLE SAMPLING 206 9.5 METHOD OF ANTITHETIC VARIABLES 209 9.6 COMMON RANDOM NUMBERS TECHNIQUE 210 9.7 ANALYTICAL-STATISTICAL METHODS 210 9.8 SOME ESTIMATES FOR SYSTEMS DESCRIBED BY REGENERATIVE PROCESSES 213 REFERENCES 215 BIBLIOGRAPHY 218 10 ANALYTICAL-STATISTICAL METHODS FOR RAPID SIMULATION OF REPAIRABLE SYSTEMS WITH STRUCTURE REDUNDANCY 221 10.1 INTRODUCTION 221 10.2 RAPID SIMULATION OF M OUT OF N STRUCTURES 222 10.3 BOUNDED COEFFICIENT OF VARIATION FOR HIGHLY RELIABLE SYSTEMS 228 10.4 EXAMPLES 232 10.5 THE ANALYTICAL-STATISTICAL METHOD FOR THE EVALUATION OF THE RELIABILITY OF REPAIRABLE SYSTEMS 240 10.6 EVALUATION OF NON-STATIONARY STATE PROBABILITIES OF ALTERNATING RENEWAL PROCESSES 246 10.7 ANALYTICAL-STATISTICAL METHOD FOR THE EVALUATION OF THE SOJOURN TIME DISTRIBUTION FOR A MARKOV PROCESS 251 10.8 EVALUATION OF THE UNAVAILABILITY OF REPAIRABLE SYSTEMS 254 REFERENCES 261 11 MEASURES OF RELIABILITY IMPORTANCE OF COMPONENTS 263 11.1 THE PURPOSE OF IMPORTANCE MEASURES 263 11.2 BIRNBAUM IMPORTANCE OF COMPONENTS 264 11.3 SOME GENERALISATIONS OF THE BIRNBAUM MEASURE 268 11.4 VESELY-FUSSELL COMPONENT IMPORTANCE MEASURE 270 11.5 BARLOW-PROSCHAN IMPORTANCE OF COMPONENTS 273 11.6 NATVIG IMPORTANCE MEASURES 277 11.7 IMPORTANCE OF MODULES AND CUT SETS 281 11.8 METHODS FOR EVALUATING RELIABILITY IMPORTANCE 285 11.9 INCREASE OF SYSTEM RELIABILITY BY PARALLEL REDUNDANCY AND COMPONENT IMPROVEMENT 288 11.10 CONCLUDING REMARKS 294 REFERENCES 295 BIBLIOGRAPHY 296 INDEX 299
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author Kovalenko, Igorʹ N. 1934-2019
Kuznecov, Nikolaj Ju
Pegg, Philip A.
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spellingShingle Kovalenko, Igorʹ N. 1934-2019
Kuznecov, Nikolaj Ju
Pegg, Philip A.
Mathematical theory of reliability of time dependent systems with practical applications
Betrouwbaarheid gtt
Fiabilité - Modèles mathématiques ram
Machines gtt
Markov, Processus de ram
Wiskundige modellen gtt
Mathematisches Modell
Reliability (Engineering) -- Mathematical models
Markov processes
Reliabilität (DE-588)4213628-3 gnd
subject_GND (DE-588)4213628-3
title Mathematical theory of reliability of time dependent systems with practical applications
title_auth Mathematical theory of reliability of time dependent systems with practical applications
title_exact_search Mathematical theory of reliability of time dependent systems with practical applications
title_full Mathematical theory of reliability of time dependent systems with practical applications Igor N. Kovalenko ; Nickolaj Yu. Kuznetsov ; Philip A. Pegg
title_fullStr Mathematical theory of reliability of time dependent systems with practical applications Igor N. Kovalenko ; Nickolaj Yu. Kuznetsov ; Philip A. Pegg
title_full_unstemmed Mathematical theory of reliability of time dependent systems with practical applications Igor N. Kovalenko ; Nickolaj Yu. Kuznetsov ; Philip A. Pegg
title_short Mathematical theory of reliability of time dependent systems with practical applications
title_sort mathematical theory of reliability of time dependent systems with practical applications
topic Betrouwbaarheid gtt
Fiabilité - Modèles mathématiques ram
Machines gtt
Markov, Processus de ram
Wiskundige modellen gtt
Mathematisches Modell
Reliability (Engineering) -- Mathematical models
Markov processes
Reliabilität (DE-588)4213628-3 gnd
topic_facet Betrouwbaarheid
Fiabilité - Modèles mathématiques
Machines
Markov, Processus de
Wiskundige modellen
Mathematisches Modell
Reliability (Engineering) -- Mathematical models
Markov processes
Reliabilität
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