Agricultural price analysis and forecasting
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| 1. Verfasser: | |
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| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
New York [u.a.]
Wiley
1994
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| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
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| 100 | 1 | |a Goodwin, John W. |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Agricultural price analysis and forecasting |c John W. Goodwin |
| 264 | 1 | |a New York [u.a.] |b Wiley |c 1994 | |
| 300 | |a XII, 344 S. |b Ill., graph. Darst. | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 650 | 7 | |a Agriculture - Aspect économique - Modèles mathématiques |2 ram | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Landbouwprijzen |2 gtt | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Prijsanalyse |2 gtt | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Prix agricoles - Modèles mathématiques |2 ram | |
| 650 | 7 | |a Wiskundige modellen |2 gtt | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Landwirtschaft | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Mathematisches Modell | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Agricultural prices |x Mathematical models | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Agriculture |x Economic aspects |x Mathematical models | |
| 650 | 0 | 7 | |a Preisentwicklung |0 (DE-588)4125931-2 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
| 650 | 0 | 7 | |a Mathematisches Modell |0 (DE-588)4114528-8 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
| 650 | 0 | 7 | |a Agrarpreis |0 (DE-588)4141644-2 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804123948504317952 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
Foreword vii
Contents ix
1 Introduction 1
Fixing Standards of Value 3
Organizing Production 3
Distribution of Production 5
Short Run Rationing of Products 8
Providing for Economic Maintenance and Growth 10
2 Price Determination versus Price Discovery 13
3 Correcting for Inflation—The Use of
Index Numbers 23
The Importance and Limitations of the Base Year in Index
Numbers 27
Deflating Prices to Adjust for Inflation 35
The Base Period Revisited 39
The Parity Ratio 40
Appendix 42
Changing Base Periods 42
Deflating Price and Income Data 48
ix
x —. Contents
4 Price Movements Over Time—Analysis of Trends 51
Selecting a Period for Trend Analysis 57
Fitting Trends 59
5 Simple Linear Regression and the Estimation
of Trends 63
The Concepts of Variance and Standard Deviation 65
The Significance of Degrees of Freedom 68
The Regression Relationship 68
Estimating a Regression Line 69
How Good is the Fit?
The R2 Statistic 76
The Standard Error of the Estimate (Sy) 77
The Standard Error of the b Value (Sb) 78
Some Shortcuts for Computations 79
Using Simple Regression in Trend Analysis 80
Tests of Significance Using Sb 85
Appendix 87
Quick and Dirty Regression Calculations 91
Alternatives to Linear Regression 92
SemiLogarithmic Functions 92
Full Logarithmic Trends 98
6 Price Movements Over Time—Cycles 99
7 Measuring Cycles 113
The Use of Trends in Measuring Cycles 116
The Use of Moving Averages in Measuring Cycles 118
Appendix 129
Measuring Cyclical Variations 130
Deviations from a Trend 130
Constructing Moving Averages 132
8 Price Movements Over Time—Seasonality 135
Measuring Seasonality 140
The Simple Average Approach 140
The Moving Average Approach 150
Appendix 161
Simple Average Seasonal Calculations 161
Modified Simple Average Seasonal Price Calculations 163
Contents xi
Calculation of the 12 Month Moving Average Seasonal
Index 164
9 Supply Demand Relationships—Supply 171
Anticipating the Impact of Ceteris Paribus Conditions of
Supply 177
Cost of Resources 177
Weather and Levels of Fixed Resources 179
Other Production and Profit Opportunities for Resources 183
Technology 187
Institutional Arrangements 187
10 Supply Demand Relationships—Demand 189
The Impact of Tastes and Preferences 194
The Impact of Income 195
Changes in the Price of Alternative Goods 196
Price Effects versus Income Effects 198
Consumer Habits 200
11 Demand and Elasticity 203
Elasticity Defined 207
Arc Elasticity 208
Point Elasticity 211
Price Flexibility 215
12 Estimation of Demand and Supply—Multiple
Graphic Correlation 221
Trend Estimate of Expected Production and Price 223
Approaches to Supply Analysis 227
Deviations from Trend in Supply Analysis 230
First Differences in Supply Analysis 232
Approaches to Demand Analysis 236
Using First Differences to Estimate Demand 248
13 Estimation of Demand and Supply—
Regression Revisited 259
Gaining Degrees of Freedom 271
Appendix 279
Potential Errors Associated with Ordinary Least Squares
Regression Analysis 280
xii Contents
14 Marketing Margins 283
The Constant Cost per Unit Type of Marketing Margin 289
The Constant Percentage of Retail Price Type of Marketing
Margin 292
The Increasing Cost per Unit Type of Marketing Margin 294
15 Market Structure—Pure Competition 299
The Effects of Polyopoly 303
The Effects of Polyopsony 304
The Implications of Pure Competition 305
16 Market Structure—Monopoly and Monopsony 307
Monopoly 308
Monopsony 314
Monopoly Monopsony 318
17 Market Structure—Oligopoly and Oligopsony 319
Oligopoly 321
Organized, Collusive Oligopoly 322
Unorganized, Collusive Oligopoly 324
Price Leadership by a Dominant Firm 324
Price Leadership by a Low Cost Firm 325
Unorganized, Noncollusive Oligopoly 328
Oligopsony 331
Organized, Collusive Oligopsony 331
Unorganized, Collusive Oligopsony—Price Leadership by a
Dominant or Low Cost Firm 332
Unorganized, Noncollusive Oligopsony 333
Oligopoly Oligopsony 335
Index 341
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Goodwin, John W. |
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| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV009607979 |
| callnumber-first | H - Social Science |
| callnumber-label | HD1447 |
| callnumber-raw | HD1447 |
| callnumber-search | HD1447 |
| callnumber-sort | HD 41447 |
| callnumber-subject | HD - Industries, Land Use, Labor |
| classification_rvk | QS 200 ZB 86200 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)28929577 (DE-599)BVBBV009607979 |
| dewey-full | 338.1/3/0112 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 338 - Production |
| dewey-raw | 338.1/3/0112 |
| dewey-search | 338.1/3/0112 |
| dewey-sort | 3338.1 13 3112 |
| dewey-tens | 330 - Economics |
| discipline | Agrar-/Forst-/Ernährungs-/Haushaltswissenschaft / Gartenbau Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| format | Book |
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| id | DE-604.BV009607979 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T17:37:53Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 0471304476 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-006350711 |
| oclc_num | 28929577 |
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| owner | DE-12 DE-521 DE-11 DE-188 |
| owner_facet | DE-12 DE-521 DE-11 DE-188 |
| physical | XII, 344 S. Ill., graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 1994 |
| publishDateSearch | 1994 |
| publishDateSort | 1994 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Goodwin, John W. Verfasser aut Agricultural price analysis and forecasting John W. Goodwin New York [u.a.] Wiley 1994 XII, 344 S. Ill., graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Agriculture - Aspect économique - Modèles mathématiques ram Landbouwprijzen gtt Prijsanalyse gtt Prix agricoles - Modèles mathématiques ram Wiskundige modellen gtt Landwirtschaft Mathematisches Modell Agricultural prices Mathematical models Agriculture Economic aspects Mathematical models Preisentwicklung (DE-588)4125931-2 gnd rswk-swf Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd rswk-swf Agrarpreis (DE-588)4141644-2 gnd rswk-swf Agrarpreis (DE-588)4141644-2 s Preisentwicklung (DE-588)4125931-2 s Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 s DE-604 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=006350711&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Goodwin, John W. Agricultural price analysis and forecasting Agriculture - Aspect économique - Modèles mathématiques ram Landbouwprijzen gtt Prijsanalyse gtt Prix agricoles - Modèles mathématiques ram Wiskundige modellen gtt Landwirtschaft Mathematisches Modell Agricultural prices Mathematical models Agriculture Economic aspects Mathematical models Preisentwicklung (DE-588)4125931-2 gnd Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd Agrarpreis (DE-588)4141644-2 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4125931-2 (DE-588)4114528-8 (DE-588)4141644-2 |
| title | Agricultural price analysis and forecasting |
| title_auth | Agricultural price analysis and forecasting |
| title_exact_search | Agricultural price analysis and forecasting |
| title_full | Agricultural price analysis and forecasting John W. Goodwin |
| title_fullStr | Agricultural price analysis and forecasting John W. Goodwin |
| title_full_unstemmed | Agricultural price analysis and forecasting John W. Goodwin |
| title_short | Agricultural price analysis and forecasting |
| title_sort | agricultural price analysis and forecasting |
| topic | Agriculture - Aspect économique - Modèles mathématiques ram Landbouwprijzen gtt Prijsanalyse gtt Prix agricoles - Modèles mathématiques ram Wiskundige modellen gtt Landwirtschaft Mathematisches Modell Agricultural prices Mathematical models Agriculture Economic aspects Mathematical models Preisentwicklung (DE-588)4125931-2 gnd Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd Agrarpreis (DE-588)4141644-2 gnd |
| topic_facet | Agriculture - Aspect économique - Modèles mathématiques Landbouwprijzen Prijsanalyse Prix agricoles - Modèles mathématiques Wiskundige modellen Landwirtschaft Mathematisches Modell Agricultural prices Mathematical models Agriculture Economic aspects Mathematical models Preisentwicklung Agrarpreis |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=006350711&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT goodwinjohnw agriculturalpriceanalysisandforecasting |