An econometric model of the U.S. copper and aluminum industries how cost changes affect substitution and recycling
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| Format: | Abschlussarbeit Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
New York u.a.
Garland
1984
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| Schriftenreihe: | Outstanding dissertations in economics
|
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| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a An econometric model of the U.S. copper and aluminum industries |b how cost changes affect substitution and recycling |
| 264 | 1 | |a New York u.a. |b Garland |c 1984 | |
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| 650 | 4 | |a Copper industry and trade |z United States |x Mathematical models | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Copper |x Recycling |z United States |x Mathematical models | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Aluminum industry and trade |z United States |x Mathematical models | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Aluminum |x Recycling |z United States |x Mathematical models | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Substitution (Economics) |x Mathematical models | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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|---|---|
| adam_text | An Econometric Model
of the U S Copper
and Aluminum Industries
How Cost Changes Affect
Substitution and Recycling
Margaret E Slade
Garland Publishing, Inc
New York amp; London, 1984
TABLE OF CONTENTS
LIST OF FIGURES vii
LIST OF TABLES xi
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS xiv
Chapter I: BACKGROUND AND INTRODUCTION 1
1 Changing Mineral Industry Costs 1
2 Estimating the Effects of Cost Changes 4
3 Model Overview and Study Outline 7
4 Limitations of the Analysis 12
Chapter II: ECONOMETRIC COMMODITY MODELS ~ REVIEW
AND COMPARISON 1 14
1 Econometric Non-Ferrous Metal-Market Models 14
2 Comparison With the Copper-Aluminum
Substitution Model 21
1 The Primary Industries 21
2 The Secondary Industries 24
3 A Classification of Econometric Models of
Copper and Aluminum Markets 28
4 The Assumptions Made in Modeling Such
Markets 32
Chapter III: PRIMARY COPPER AND ALUMINUM 37
1 The Structure of the Primary Industries 38
1 The Relevant Market 38
2 Concentration 40
3 Barriers to Entry 46
2 Cost Trends in Primary Production 49
1 The Technology of Primary Copper and
Aluminum Production 49
2 The Prices of the Principal Inputs to
Primary Production and Their Effect
on Cost 57
3 Natural Resource Costs — Ore Quality
Measures 65
4 Transport Costs 76
3 Estimating the Equations in the Copper and
Aluminum Industry Models 78
iii
4 Primary Prices — Mechanisms and Trends 81
1 Definition of Alternative Behavioral
Pricing Mechanisms 83
2 Primary Price History: 1954 to 1976 88
3 Specification of a Primary Price
Equation 93
4 Estimation of the U S Producer Price
Equations 102
1 The Data 102
2 The Primary Price Equations 105
5 Primary Production 115
1 The Sources of Primary Supply 116
2 Trends in Primary Production 121
3 Specification of a Primary Production
Equation 123
4 The Econometric Estimates 130
1 The Data 130
2 The Primary Production Equations 131
Appendix 111:1 Estimating Equations With Lagged
Endogenous Variables and First-
Order Serially Correlated
Errors 136
Appendix 111:2 An Attempt to Measure Scarcity
Rent in the Copper Industry 141
Appendix 111:3 Non-Market Mechanisms — Price
Controls and Rationing 146
Chapter IV: SECONDARY COPPER AND ALUMINUM 150
1 The Structure of the Secondary Industries 151
1 Industry Description 151
2 Concentration and Barriers to Entry 154
2 Cost Trends in Secondary Production 157
1 Secondary Production Technology 157
2 Energy Usage in Secondary Production 159
3 Secondary Prices — Mechanisms and Trends 164
1 Definition and Historic Behavior of
Secondary Metal Prices 166
2 Specification of a Secondary-Price
Equation 170
3 Estimation of the Secondary-Price
Equations 175
4 Secondary Supply — Recycling 178
1 Production from New Scrap 179
2 Production from Old Scrap 183
iv
Chapter V: THE USING SECTORS 194
1 The Pattern of Consumption 194
1 Copper and Aluminum Apparent Consumption
1954 to 1976 196
2 The Major Markets 199
2 Substitution Between Copper and Aluminum 204
1 Areas of Potential Substitution 204
2 Elasticities of Substitution 207
1 The Two-Level CES Production
Function 210
2 Shiller Distributed Lags 214
3 The Data 218
4 The Elasticity of Substitution
Equations 219
5 Comparison With Other Elasticity
Estimates 229
6 Interpretation of the Elasticity
Results 233
3 The Demand for Copper and Aluminum 235
1 Specification of a Derived Demand
Equation 236
2 Estimation of the Derived Demand
Equations 241
1 The Data 241
2 The Derived Demand Equations 243
Appendix V:1 Estimation Method for the Elas
ticity of Substitution Equations 248
Appendix V:2 Estimation Method for the Derived
Demand Equations 251
Chapter VI: THE BALANCE BETWEEN DOMESTIC PRODUCTION
AND CONSUMPTION 252
1 Copper and Aluminum Inventories 253
1 Private Inventories 2 53
2 The Government Stockpile 257
3 Specification of an Inventory Equation 259
4 Estimation of the Inventory Equations 261
2 Copper and Aluminum Net Imports 265
1 Historic Behavior of Net Imports 265
2 Specification of a Net-Import Equation 267
v
Chapter VII: SIMULATION, FORECASTING, AND POLICY
ANALYSIS 269
1 Methodology — An Overview 270
2 Forecasts of the Exogenous Variables 275
1 Box-Jenkins Forecasts 276
1 The Technique 276
2 The Forecasts 283
2 Energy Price Forecasts 287
3 Ore Quality Forecasts 292
3 Simulations 297
1 The Historic Period: 1962 to 1976 297
2 The Forecast Period: 1977 to 1986 302
1 Low, Intermediate, and High Energy
Price Scenararios 302
2 A Successful Bauxite Cartel 313
3 Closure of Domestic Copper Mines
Due to a Depressed World Copper
Market 318
Chapter VIII: CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS 326
1 Metal Pricing 327
2 Primary Production 331
3 Consumption and Substitution 335
4 Recycling 337
REFERENCES CITED 340
APPENDICES
A Variable Names A-l
B Model Equations B-l
C Data Sources and Listing ; C-l
D Computer Printouts of the Model Simulations D-l
vi
|
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| dewey-search | 338.2/743/0724 338.27430724 |
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| dewey-tens | 330 - Economics |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| format | Thesis Book |
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| publishDate | 1984 |
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| publisher | Garland |
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| series2 | Outstanding dissertations in economics |
| spellingShingle | Slade, Margaret E. An econometric model of the U.S. copper and aluminum industries how cost changes affect substitution and recycling Mathematisches Modell Copper industry and trade United States Mathematical models Copper Recycling United States Mathematical models Aluminum industry and trade United States Mathematical models Aluminum Recycling United States Mathematical models Substitution (Economics) Mathematical models Kupferindustrie (DE-588)4166120-5 gnd Aluminiumindustrie (DE-588)4142121-8 gnd Ökonometrisches Modell (DE-588)4043212-9 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4166120-5 (DE-588)4142121-8 (DE-588)4043212-9 (DE-588)4078704-7 (DE-588)4113937-9 |
| title | An econometric model of the U.S. copper and aluminum industries how cost changes affect substitution and recycling |
| title_auth | An econometric model of the U.S. copper and aluminum industries how cost changes affect substitution and recycling |
| title_exact_search | An econometric model of the U.S. copper and aluminum industries how cost changes affect substitution and recycling |
| title_full | An econometric model of the U.S. copper and aluminum industries how cost changes affect substitution and recycling |
| title_fullStr | An econometric model of the U.S. copper and aluminum industries how cost changes affect substitution and recycling |
| title_full_unstemmed | An econometric model of the U.S. copper and aluminum industries how cost changes affect substitution and recycling |
| title_short | An econometric model of the U.S. copper and aluminum industries |
| title_sort | an econometric model of the u s copper and aluminum industries how cost changes affect substitution and recycling |
| title_sub | how cost changes affect substitution and recycling |
| topic | Mathematisches Modell Copper industry and trade United States Mathematical models Copper Recycling United States Mathematical models Aluminum industry and trade United States Mathematical models Aluminum Recycling United States Mathematical models Substitution (Economics) Mathematical models Kupferindustrie (DE-588)4166120-5 gnd Aluminiumindustrie (DE-588)4142121-8 gnd Ökonometrisches Modell (DE-588)4043212-9 gnd |
| topic_facet | Mathematisches Modell Copper industry and trade United States Mathematical models Copper Recycling United States Mathematical models Aluminum industry and trade United States Mathematical models Aluminum Recycling United States Mathematical models Substitution (Economics) Mathematical models Kupferindustrie Aluminiumindustrie Ökonometrisches Modell USA Hochschulschrift |
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